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Washington, D.C.
QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
UNDERSTANDING THE RAFALE'S INDUCTION INTO THE IAF Understanding the Rafale’s Induction into the IAF. On September 10, 2020 the first batch of five Rafale fighter aircrafts were formally inducted into the Indian Air Force (IAF) in the presence of French and Indian Defence Ministers at Ambala Air Base. The remaining 31 Rafale are anticipated to arrive by December 2021. UNDERSTANDING INDIA’S DEFENSE BUDGET 2021-22: EXPECTATIONS India’s 2021 Defense Budget: Expectations. Strategic priorities for the nation in the beginning of 2020 were clear: to ensure border security and to build a stronger army through increased investment in modernization. Analysts recorded an overall modernization budget of USD $12.48 billion in 2020, with the IAF provided the highest budgetof
CLIMATE, WATER, AND CONFLICT IN PAKISTAN There are a number of governance and conflict dynamics that the country must address to ensure equal and equitable access and distribution of water resources in Pakistan. For example, Lahore has seen rationing of water given the drastic decrease of PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
UNDERSTANDING THE INDO-PACIFIC: A CASE OF TWO RIVALRIES The concept of the Indo-Pacific has emerged from an evolving mental map of the increasingly contiguous Indian and Pacific Oceans, as well as the growing economic interdependence of states within the region. However, the Indo-Pacific is also a political entity best understood as a case of two rivalries on either end of the region. INDIA’S APPROACH TO NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AT CROSSROADS India’s approach to nuclear disarmament is going through a definite shift. India has been calling for global nuclear disarmament since independence. Although, at present, India continues to express its support for any initiative that can lead up to the complete elimination of nuclear weapons, the factors that contributed to its strong support for nuclear disarmament THE ISLAMIC STATE VS. THE TALIBAN: STRATEGIC COMPETITION The Islamic State vs. the Taliban: Strategic Competition in Afghanistan. Soldiers from 2nd Platoon, A Co, 1-503d Infantry Battalion, 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team and soldiers of the Afghanistan national army 6th Kandak arrive at the scene of an oil tanker that was attacked by anti-Afghanistan forces near Sheikhabad,Sayed Abad District
ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
UNDERSTANDING THE RAFALE'S INDUCTION INTO THE IAF Understanding the Rafale’s Induction into the IAF. On September 10, 2020 the first batch of five Rafale fighter aircrafts were formally inducted into the Indian Air Force (IAF) in the presence of French and Indian Defence Ministers at Ambala Air Base. The remaining 31 Rafale are anticipated to arrive by December 2021. UNDERSTANDING INDIA’S DEFENSE BUDGET 2021-22: EXPECTATIONS India’s 2021 Defense Budget: Expectations. Strategic priorities for the nation in the beginning of 2020 were clear: to ensure border security and to build a stronger army through increased investment in modernization. Analysts recorded an overall modernization budget of USD $12.48 billion in 2020, with the IAF provided the highest budgetof
CLIMATE, WATER, AND CONFLICT IN PAKISTAN There are a number of governance and conflict dynamics that the country must address to ensure equal and equitable access and distribution of water resources in Pakistan. For example, Lahore has seen rationing of water given the drastic decrease of PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
UNDERSTANDING THE INDO-PACIFIC: A CASE OF TWO RIVALRIES The concept of the Indo-Pacific has emerged from an evolving mental map of the increasingly contiguous Indian and Pacific Oceans, as well as the growing economic interdependence of states within the region. However, the Indo-Pacific is also a political entity best understood as a case of two rivalries on either end of the region. INDIA’S APPROACH TO NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AT CROSSROADS India’s approach to nuclear disarmament is going through a definite shift. India has been calling for global nuclear disarmament since independence. Although, at present, India continues to express its support for any initiative that can lead up to the complete elimination of nuclear weapons, the factors that contributed to its strong support for nuclear disarmament THE ISLAMIC STATE VS. THE TALIBAN: STRATEGIC COMPETITION The Islamic State vs. the Taliban: Strategic Competition in Afghanistan. Soldiers from 2nd Platoon, A Co, 1-503d Infantry Battalion, 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team and soldiers of the Afghanistan national army 6th Kandak arrive at the scene of an oil tanker that was attacked by anti-Afghanistan forces near Sheikhabad,Sayed Abad District
ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per S. JAISHANKAR’S U.S. VISIT: FIVE KEY TAKEAWAYS A visit to the United States by India's Minister of External Affairs S. Jaishankar revealed five takeaways for the future of theirrelationship.
UNDERSTANDING THE RAFALE'S INDUCTION INTO THE IAF Understanding the Rafale’s Induction into the IAF. On September 10, 2020 the first batch of five Rafale fighter aircrafts were formally inducted into the Indian Air Force (IAF) in the presence of French and Indian Defence Ministers at Ambala Air Base. The remaining 31 Rafale are anticipated to arrive by December 2021. COMPARING INDIA AND PAKISTAN’S APPROACHES TO A POSSIBLE A few months into President Biden’s presidential term, reports emerged that Saudi Arabia and Iran, traditional adversaries, were now sitting across the table in Baghdad negotiating improvement in ties. A few days later, Saudi Arabia’s de facto ruler, Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman, surprised the world by declaring, “We aspire for a good and special relationship with Iran.” PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or SAV VISITING FELLOWSHIP The call for applications for the SAV 2021 Visiting Fellowship is now closed. Check back in Fall 2021 for information on how to apply for the 2022 cohort. The Stimson Center’s South Asia Program offers South Asian Voices Visiting Fellowships annually to outstanding analysts, scholars, and students dedicated to the study of South Asia. The year-long fellowship combines professional INDIA-CHINA RELATIONS TO STAY CONTRARIAN IN 2021 Trust deficit. Despite their protracted rivalry, India and China may also rebuild ties in 2021, albeit to a rather limited extent. President Xi Jinping will be hosting the 100th anniversary of the founding of the CCP and the People’s Republic of China in 2021, and marking the first of China’s two centennial goals set by Xi in 2012. THE FUTURE OF THE INDIA-PAKISTAN NUCLEAR RIVALRY The Future of the India-Pakistan Nuclear Rivalry. This month marks 22 years since the nuclearization of India and Pakistan. These last 22 years have seen multiple Indo-Pak crises, each evoking at least some nuclear overtones. In the past year, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s August 5, 2019 decision to abrogate Articles 370 and 35A NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone UNDERSTANDING THE INDO-PACIFIC: A CASE OF TWO RIVALRIES The concept of the Indo-Pacific has emerged from an evolving mental map of the increasingly contiguous Indian and Pacific Oceans, as well as the growing economic interdependence of states within the region. However, the Indo-Pacific is also a political entity best understood as a case of two rivalries on either end of the region. PAKISTAN’S CONSOLIDATING CONVENTIONAL DETERRENCE: AN Pakistan’s Consolidating Conventional Deterrence: An Assessment. Before the overt nuclearization of South Asia in 1998, three major wars between India and Pakistan highlighted the latter’s struggle to bridge the conventional imbalance. During this time, Pakistan’s latent nuclear capability provided an effective deterrent, whichserved to
SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
COVID-19 VACCINATION IN BANGLADESH: A RACE AGAINST TIME Bangladesh has so far secured over 10.2 million doses of the CoviShield vaccine, which includes a gift of 3.2 million doses from India. The government has secured priority contracts for 30 million doses of the vaccine from Serum Institute, with 5 million coming in every month. However, as India’s COVID-19 cases spiral out of control, the country has enacted a temporary freeze on its vaccine PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone ONE YEAR IN OFFICE: REVISITING IMRAN KHAN’S FOREIGN POLICY One Year in Office: Revisiting Imran Khan’s Foreign Policy. When Prime Minister Imran Khan assumed office a year ago, in August 2018, Pakistan-United States relations were at a low point following the Trump administration freezing aid over Pakistan’s “failure” to take decisive action against the Afghan Taliban and the HaqqaniNetwork
PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per UNDERSTANDING THE CONTROVERSY AROUND SPY CHRONICLES Understanding the Controversy Around Spy Chronicles. Written by Shazar Shafqat. May 31, 2018 6 min read. Authored by former intelligence agency chiefs from India and Pakistan, the newly released book, The Spy Chronicles: RAW, ISI and the Illusion of Peace, has already begun causing uproar in Pakistan’s intelligence and military community. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS: OVERCOMING WATER SCARCITY IN Policy Recommendations: Overcoming Water Scarcity in Pakistan. May 23, 2016 by Kishwar Munir. “Under the present situation, in the next six to seven years, Pakistan can be a water-starved country,” stated Pakistan’s Minister for Water and Power, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, in February 2015. Pakistan is hardly alone in its water struggles, as SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
COVID-19 VACCINATION IN BANGLADESH: A RACE AGAINST TIME Bangladesh has so far secured over 10.2 million doses of the CoviShield vaccine, which includes a gift of 3.2 million doses from India. The government has secured priority contracts for 30 million doses of the vaccine from Serum Institute, with 5 million coming in every month. However, as India’s COVID-19 cases spiral out of control, the country has enacted a temporary freeze on its vaccine PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone ONE YEAR IN OFFICE: REVISITING IMRAN KHAN’S FOREIGN POLICY One Year in Office: Revisiting Imran Khan’s Foreign Policy. When Prime Minister Imran Khan assumed office a year ago, in August 2018, Pakistan-United States relations were at a low point following the Trump administration freezing aid over Pakistan’s “failure” to take decisive action against the Afghan Taliban and the HaqqaniNetwork
PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per UNDERSTANDING THE CONTROVERSY AROUND SPY CHRONICLES Understanding the Controversy Around Spy Chronicles. Written by Shazar Shafqat. May 31, 2018 6 min read. Authored by former intelligence agency chiefs from India and Pakistan, the newly released book, The Spy Chronicles: RAW, ISI and the Illusion of Peace, has already begun causing uproar in Pakistan’s intelligence and military community. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS: OVERCOMING WATER SCARCITY IN Policy Recommendations: Overcoming Water Scarcity in Pakistan. May 23, 2016 by Kishwar Munir. “Under the present situation, in the next six to seven years, Pakistan can be a water-starved country,” stated Pakistan’s Minister for Water and Power, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, in February 2015. Pakistan is hardly alone in its water struggles, as COVID-19 VACCINATION IN BANGLADESH: A RACE AGAINST TIME Bangladesh has so far secured over 10.2 million doses of the CoviShield vaccine, which includes a gift of 3.2 million doses from India. The government has secured priority contracts for 30 million doses of the vaccine from Serum Institute, with 5 million coming in every month. However, as India’s COVID-19 cases spiral out of control, the country has enacted a temporary freeze on its vaccine GRANTS AVAILABLE FOR RESEARCH ON SOUTH ASIAN … Since 2013, South Asian Voices (SAV) has featured analysis on the security, politics, and economics of the subcontinent. Now, in partnership with CRDF Global, SAV is pleased to offer eight grants to emerging analysts, scholars, and researchers from Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. The grant of $1,000 per awardee will support research and UNDERSTANDING THE RAFALE'S INDUCTION INTO THE IAF Understanding the Rafale’s Induction into the IAF. On September 10, 2020 the first batch of five Rafale fighter aircrafts were formally inducted into the Indian Air Force (IAF) in the presence of French and Indian Defence Ministers at Ambala Air Base. The remaining 31 Rafale are anticipated to arrive by December 2021. HOW BIDEN'S WIN IS LIKELY TO AFFECT U How Biden’s Win is Likely to Affect U.S.-Pakistan Ties. November 24, 2020 by Zeeshan Salahuddin. Democrats in the United States are celebrating a Biden victory, ecstatic over the ousting of Trump and the end of what they consider a long, painful chapter in U.S. politics. For the rest of the world, a change of guard has separateimplications.
A LUKEWARM COMMITMENT: INDIA AND GENDER EQUALITY IN A Lukewarm Commitment: India and Gender Equality in Security Affairs. January 16, 2020 by Akanksha Khullar. Nearly two decades after the United Nations adopted the landmark Women, Peace, and Security (WPS) agenda, India remains one of the many member states that are yet to develop a WPS National Action Plan (NAP). SHORT TAKES: BENEFITS OF GWADAR PORT-AN EXPLAINER Recently, Pakistan’s Gwadar Port, renovated and expanded with the assistance of China, was finally operationalized, with the first set of Chinese trucks arriving at the port and their contents being shipped overseas.Located close to international oil trade and sea shipping routes and being an integral instrument of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), Gwadar Port holds immense ECONOMICS AND INFLUENCE: CHINESE INVESTMENT IN NEPAL According to a report by the research lab AidData, Chinese “financial diplomacy” in various infrastructure projects in Nepal, including road and hydropower, was just under USD $1 billion between the years 2000 and 2017. More generally, China’s investment in Nepal can be understood to fall into one of two categories—state-owned orprivate.
THE ISLAMIC STATE VS. THE TALIBAN: STRATEGIC COMPETITION The Islamic State vs. the Taliban: Strategic Competition in Afghanistan. Soldiers from 2nd Platoon, A Co, 1-503d Infantry Battalion, 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team and soldiers of the Afghanistan national army 6th Kandak arrive at the scene of an oil tanker that was attacked by anti-Afghanistan forces near Sheikhabad,Sayed Abad District
UNDERSTANDING THE CONTROVERSY AROUND SPY CHRONICLES Understanding the Controversy Around Spy Chronicles. Written by Shazar Shafqat. May 31, 2018 6 min read. Authored by former intelligence agency chiefs from India and Pakistan, the newly released book, The Spy Chronicles: RAW, ISI and the Illusion of Peace, has already begun causing uproar in Pakistan’s intelligence and military community. OUTSOURCING ESCALATION CONTROL Outsourcing Escalation Control. September 23, 2013 by Rabia Akhtar. In the extended deterrence literature, third party defenders play an important role in resolving a crisis primarily due to their credibility to retaliate. But the strategic dynamics in South Asia provide a complex environment for third party defenders/mediatorswhere extended
SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
COVID-19 VACCINATION IN BANGLADESH: A RACE AGAINST TIME Bangladesh has so far secured over 10.2 million doses of the CoviShield vaccine, which includes a gift of 3.2 million doses from India. The government has secured priority contracts for 30 million doses of the vaccine from Serum Institute, with 5 million coming in every month. However, as India’s COVID-19 cases spiral out of control, the country has enacted a temporary freeze on its vaccine PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone ONE YEAR IN OFFICE: REVISITING IMRAN KHAN’S FOREIGN POLICY One Year in Office: Revisiting Imran Khan’s Foreign Policy. When Prime Minister Imran Khan assumed office a year ago, in August 2018, Pakistan-United States relations were at a low point following the Trump administration freezing aid over Pakistan’s “failure” to take decisive action against the Afghan Taliban and the HaqqaniNetwork
PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per UNDERSTANDING THE CONTROVERSY AROUND SPY CHRONICLES Understanding the Controversy Around Spy Chronicles. Written by Shazar Shafqat. May 31, 2018 6 min read. Authored by former intelligence agency chiefs from India and Pakistan, the newly released book, The Spy Chronicles: RAW, ISI and the Illusion of Peace, has already begun causing uproar in Pakistan’s intelligence and military community. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS: OVERCOMING WATER SCARCITY IN Policy Recommendations: Overcoming Water Scarcity in Pakistan. May 23, 2016 by Kishwar Munir. “Under the present situation, in the next six to seven years, Pakistan can be a water-starved country,” stated Pakistan’s Minister for Water and Power, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, in February 2015. Pakistan is hardly alone in its water struggles, as SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
COVID-19 VACCINATION IN BANGLADESH: A RACE AGAINST TIME Bangladesh has so far secured over 10.2 million doses of the CoviShield vaccine, which includes a gift of 3.2 million doses from India. The government has secured priority contracts for 30 million doses of the vaccine from Serum Institute, with 5 million coming in every month. However, as India’s COVID-19 cases spiral out of control, the country has enacted a temporary freeze on its vaccine PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone ONE YEAR IN OFFICE: REVISITING IMRAN KHAN’S FOREIGN POLICY One Year in Office: Revisiting Imran Khan’s Foreign Policy. When Prime Minister Imran Khan assumed office a year ago, in August 2018, Pakistan-United States relations were at a low point following the Trump administration freezing aid over Pakistan’s “failure” to take decisive action against the Afghan Taliban and the HaqqaniNetwork
PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per UNDERSTANDING THE CONTROVERSY AROUND SPY CHRONICLES Understanding the Controversy Around Spy Chronicles. Written by Shazar Shafqat. May 31, 2018 6 min read. Authored by former intelligence agency chiefs from India and Pakistan, the newly released book, The Spy Chronicles: RAW, ISI and the Illusion of Peace, has already begun causing uproar in Pakistan’s intelligence and military community. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS: OVERCOMING WATER SCARCITY IN Policy Recommendations: Overcoming Water Scarcity in Pakistan. May 23, 2016 by Kishwar Munir. “Under the present situation, in the next six to seven years, Pakistan can be a water-starved country,” stated Pakistan’s Minister for Water and Power, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, in February 2015. Pakistan is hardly alone in its water struggles, as COVID-19 VACCINATION IN BANGLADESH: A RACE AGAINST TIME Bangladesh has so far secured over 10.2 million doses of the CoviShield vaccine, which includes a gift of 3.2 million doses from India. The government has secured priority contracts for 30 million doses of the vaccine from Serum Institute, with 5 million coming in every month. However, as India’s COVID-19 cases spiral out of control, the country has enacted a temporary freeze on its vaccine GRANTS AVAILABLE FOR RESEARCH ON SOUTH ASIAN … Since 2013, South Asian Voices (SAV) has featured analysis on the security, politics, and economics of the subcontinent. Now, in partnership with CRDF Global, SAV is pleased to offer eight grants to emerging analysts, scholars, and researchers from Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. The grant of $1,000 per awardee will support research and UNDERSTANDING THE RAFALE'S INDUCTION INTO THE IAF Understanding the Rafale’s Induction into the IAF. On September 10, 2020 the first batch of five Rafale fighter aircrafts were formally inducted into the Indian Air Force (IAF) in the presence of French and Indian Defence Ministers at Ambala Air Base. The remaining 31 Rafale are anticipated to arrive by December 2021. HOW BIDEN'S WIN IS LIKELY TO AFFECT U How Biden’s Win is Likely to Affect U.S.-Pakistan Ties. November 24, 2020 by Zeeshan Salahuddin. Democrats in the United States are celebrating a Biden victory, ecstatic over the ousting of Trump and the end of what they consider a long, painful chapter in U.S. politics. For the rest of the world, a change of guard has separateimplications.
A LUKEWARM COMMITMENT: INDIA AND GENDER EQUALITY IN A Lukewarm Commitment: India and Gender Equality in Security Affairs. January 16, 2020 by Akanksha Khullar. Nearly two decades after the United Nations adopted the landmark Women, Peace, and Security (WPS) agenda, India remains one of the many member states that are yet to develop a WPS National Action Plan (NAP). SHORT TAKES: BENEFITS OF GWADAR PORT-AN EXPLAINER Recently, Pakistan’s Gwadar Port, renovated and expanded with the assistance of China, was finally operationalized, with the first set of Chinese trucks arriving at the port and their contents being shipped overseas.Located close to international oil trade and sea shipping routes and being an integral instrument of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), Gwadar Port holds immense ECONOMICS AND INFLUENCE: CHINESE INVESTMENT IN NEPAL According to a report by the research lab AidData, Chinese “financial diplomacy” in various infrastructure projects in Nepal, including road and hydropower, was just under USD $1 billion between the years 2000 and 2017. More generally, China’s investment in Nepal can be understood to fall into one of two categories—state-owned orprivate.
THE ISLAMIC STATE VS. THE TALIBAN: STRATEGIC COMPETITION The Islamic State vs. the Taliban: Strategic Competition in Afghanistan. Soldiers from 2nd Platoon, A Co, 1-503d Infantry Battalion, 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team and soldiers of the Afghanistan national army 6th Kandak arrive at the scene of an oil tanker that was attacked by anti-Afghanistan forces near Sheikhabad,Sayed Abad District
UNDERSTANDING THE CONTROVERSY AROUND SPY CHRONICLES Understanding the Controversy Around Spy Chronicles. Written by Shazar Shafqat. May 31, 2018 6 min read. Authored by former intelligence agency chiefs from India and Pakistan, the newly released book, The Spy Chronicles: RAW, ISI and the Illusion of Peace, has already begun causing uproar in Pakistan’s intelligence and military community. OUTSOURCING ESCALATION CONTROL Outsourcing Escalation Control. September 23, 2013 by Rabia Akhtar. In the extended deterrence literature, third party defenders play an important role in resolving a crisis primarily due to their credibility to retaliate. But the strategic dynamics in South Asia provide a complex environment for third party defenders/mediatorswhere extended
SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
ABOUT – SOUTH ASIAN VOICES About. South Asian Voices (SAV) is an online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia. Hosted by the Stimson Center in Washington, D.C., SAV seeks to encourage experienced and emerging policy analysts and academics from the region to engage in critical inquiry and free-flowing debate on South Asia’s security, political,and
PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone SOUTH ASIA NEEDS CBMS MORE THAN EVER South Asia Needs CBMs More Than Ever. In 2017, Yasir Hussain assessed opportunities to implement new bilateral confidence building measures (CBMs) to reduce nuclear risk between India and Pakistan. His words, republished below, remain timely in the context of continuing development of nuclear capabilities in South Asia in 2019. ONE YEAR IN OFFICE: REVISITING IMRAN KHAN’S FOREIGN POLICY One Year in Office: Revisiting Imran Khan’s Foreign Policy. When Prime Minister Imran Khan assumed office a year ago, in August 2018, Pakistan-United States relations were at a low point following the Trump administration freezing aid over Pakistan’s “failure” to take decisive action against the Afghan Taliban and the HaqqaniNetwork
PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
INDIA’S APPROACH TO NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AT CROSSROADS India’s approach to nuclear disarmament is going through a definite shift. India has been calling for global nuclear disarmament since independence. Although, at present, India continues to express its support for any initiative that can lead up to the complete elimination of nuclear weapons, the factors that contributed to its strong support for nuclear disarmament ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per SOUTH ASIAN VOICES (SAV)-ANALYSIS FROM THE SUBCONTINENTAUTHORSSUBMISSIONSABOUTNUCLEAR ISSUESHINDI & URDUPODCASTS South Asian Voices (SAV) is a leading online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia, hosted by the Stimson Center inWashington, D.C.
ABOUT – SOUTH ASIAN VOICES About. South Asian Voices (SAV) is an online policy platform for strategic analysis on South Asia. Hosted by the Stimson Center in Washington, D.C., SAV seeks to encourage experienced and emerging policy analysts and academics from the region to engage in critical inquiry and free-flowing debate on South Asia’s security, political,and
PERMANENT COMMISSIONS FOR WOMEN: THE PURSUIT OF GENDER In a landmark decision on February 17, 2020, the Supreme Court of India (SC) directed the government to ensure that women officers receive Permanent Commissions (PCs)—a career until retirement—in the army on par with their male counterparts, including command positions. This decision opens the door for women to serve for longer tenures and control units—such as logistics, signals, or QUAD VS. RCEP: A RESILIENT SUPPLY CHAIN, ADVANTAGE INDIA The vaccine partnership is the first initiative in creating a supply chain, diversifying the Quad’s traditional security orientation, while the RCEP has a purely economic purpose. Nevertheless, the Quad shows promise in creating a credible alternative to Chinese driven supply chains with a few inherent strengths to the supply chaininitiative
NON-TRADITIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN As Bangladesh recovers from the second mega cyclone of the year, following Cyclone Fani in May, the impacts of climate change have never been more prominent. On November 9, Cyclone Bulbul razed parts of Bangladesh and India, with early reporting stating 24 have been killed and around 10,000 households destroyed. While the 2019 cyclones have caused nowhere close to the devastation of Cyclone SOUTH ASIA NEEDS CBMS MORE THAN EVER South Asia Needs CBMs More Than Ever. In 2017, Yasir Hussain assessed opportunities to implement new bilateral confidence building measures (CBMs) to reduce nuclear risk between India and Pakistan. His words, republished below, remain timely in the context of continuing development of nuclear capabilities in South Asia in 2019. ONE YEAR IN OFFICE: REVISITING IMRAN KHAN’S FOREIGN POLICY One Year in Office: Revisiting Imran Khan’s Foreign Policy. When Prime Minister Imran Khan assumed office a year ago, in August 2018, Pakistan-United States relations were at a low point following the Trump administration freezing aid over Pakistan’s “failure” to take decisive action against the Afghan Taliban and the HaqqaniNetwork
PAKISTAN'S CPEC REVIVAL The most recent sign of CPEC’s revival is the USD $11 billion in deals signed in June and July—as well as Pakistan’s recent approval of the most expensive component of those deals, the revival of its colonial-era train systems. Further, the inauguration of a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Faisalabad is a key component of thesecond phase
INDIA’S APPROACH TO NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AT CROSSROADS India’s approach to nuclear disarmament is going through a definite shift. India has been calling for global nuclear disarmament since independence. Although, at present, India continues to express its support for any initiative that can lead up to the complete elimination of nuclear weapons, the factors that contributed to its strong support for nuclear disarmament ALL IS NOT WELL FOR THE INDIAN WORKER: INDIA’S DECLINING For high-skilled workers, average incomes decreased from INR 48,100 (US$688) per month in 2016 to around INR 44,000 (US$572) per month in 2017. In 2014, despite a lower level of economic growth (compared to today’s growth rate), the average daily wage rate in India was INR 272.19 (US$3.89) per day, an increase from INR 255.65 (US$3.66) per INDIA'S RELUCTANCE TO SUPPORT TAIWAN AT THE WORLD HEALTH On May 18 and 19, the World Health Assembly (WHA), the decision making authority of the World Health Organization (WHO), held its first-ever virtual assembly to discuss the COVID-19 pandemic. The WHA virtual meeting garnered more attention however over the issue of admission of Taiwan than on its focus on tackling the ongoing global pandemic. SAV VISITING FELLOWSHIP The call for applications for the SAV 2021 Visiting Fellowship is now closed. Check back in Fall 2021 for information on how to apply for the 2022 cohort. The Stimson Center’s South Asia Program offers South Asian Voices Visiting Fellowships annually to outstanding analysts, scholars, and students dedicated to the study of South Asia. The year-long fellowship combines professional HOW BIDEN'S WIN IS LIKELY TO AFFECT U How Biden’s Win is Likely to Affect U.S.-Pakistan Ties. November 24, 2020 by Zeeshan Salahuddin. Democrats in the United States are celebrating a Biden victory, ecstatic over the ousting of Trump and the end of what they consider a long, painful chapter in U.S. politics. For the rest of the world, a change of guard has separateimplications.
STRATEGIC DIRECTION OR DRIFT? Strategic Direction or Drift? Ten years after the 26/11 attacks stunned Mumbai and nearly led to a military confrontation between India and Pakistan, the nuclear-armed rivals continue to update and transform their conventional and nuclear military doctrines, postures, and strategies. The past few years, in particular, have seen a rangeof
INDIA’S ARCTIC ENGAGEMENT: SHIFTING FROM SCIENTIFIC TO India’s engagement with the Arctic region dates back to 1923, when the British colonial government of India signed the Svalbard Treaty of 1920, which granted Norway sovereignty over the Arctic archipelago of Svalbard. Despite this, India’s focus has mostly been limited to scientific studies at the South Pole, beginning in 1981. TRIDIVESH SINGH MAINI, AUTHOR AT SOUTH ASIAN VOICES Tridivesh Singh Maini is a New Delhi based Policy Analyst. He is a senior research associate with The Jindal School of International Affairs, OP Jindal Global University, Sonepat, Haryana. He is a former SAV Visiting Fellow (Winter 2016). He was also an Asia Society India-Pakistan Regional Young Leaders Initiative (IPRYLI) Fellow(2013-2014
SRI LANKA’S MARITIME SECURITY DILEMMA Sri Lanka’s Maritime Security Dilemma. August 16, 2019 by Natasha Fernando. Within the broad category of maritime security—which encompasses dealing with piracy, terrorism, territorial disputes, trafficking, and natural disasters—an emerging global trend is the push for naval modernization. Naval modernization refers to how statesimprove
PAKISTAN’S FULL-SPECTRUM DETERRENCE: TRENDS AND The full-spectrum deterrence doctrine, in the eyes of Pakistan’s defense establishment, assures a sound retaliation strategy against India’s massive retaliation doctrine. Rawalpindi firmly believes that FSD has reduced the chances of war in South Asia and deterred India from any Cold Start-type operational maneuvers in the nearfuture.
WILLIAM C. MCQUILKIN, AUTHOR AT SOUTH ASIAN VOICES William C. McQuilkin. William C. McQuilkin retired as a Rear Admiral in the U.S. Navy after more than 33 years of service, has commanded three U.S. Navy warships and was Commander of U.S Naval Forces, Korea from 2011-2013. From 2013-2016, he served as the Director of Strategy and Policy Division on the U.S Navy Staff in the Pentagon. THE ISLAMIC STATE VS. THE TALIBAN: STRATEGIC COMPETITION The Islamic State vs. the Taliban: Strategic Competition in Afghanistan. Soldiers from 2nd Platoon, A Co, 1-503d Infantry Battalion, 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team and soldiers of the Afghanistan national army 6th Kandak arrive at the scene of an oil tanker that was attacked by anti-Afghanistan forces near Sheikhabad,Sayed Abad District
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COVID-19 VACCINE ROLLOUT IN SRI LANKA Sri Lanka’s initial successes in curbing COVID-19 spread a year ago are now a distant memory. The Sri Lankan government hoped to vaccinate at least 60 percent of its adult population by the end of the year.Like most other…
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India is being ravaged by a second COVID-19 wave with approximately 350,000 infections and 4,000 deaths reported every day. Narendra Modi government’s mal-administration, complacency, and callousness in combating COVID-19 have raised concerns about Modi’s political future, especially regarding his potential to succeed… Written by Raj Verma GEOPOLITICS AND THE SINO-INDIAN BORDER It has been a year since Chinese and Indian troops began engaging in aggressive face-offs at the disputed Sino-Indian border, including several locations in Ladakh along the Line of Actual Control (LAC). Today, the tension between the two has not… Written by Yubing Sheng INDIA, CHINA, AND THE STALEMATE BEYOND LADAKH After a major breakthrough in February when Chinese and Indian troops withdrew from the north and south banks of the Pangong Tso in Ladakh, the disengagement process appears to have lost some steam in the past months. With talks at… Written by Antara Ghosal Singh NEGOTIATION AND NEGATION: INDIA’S POST-GALWAN DIPLOMACY VIS-À-VISCHINA
After almost a year-long military stand-off at their disputed border, a complex military disengagement is still underway between India and China in the eastern Ladakh region. The latest press release from India’s Ministry of External Affairs (MEA), following a phone… Written by Jagannath Panda INDIA-CHINA STRATEGIC COMPETITION AND THE COSTS OF THE LADAKH CRISIS The Ladakh crisis is not over yet. Disengagement from front-line positions, begun with fanfare in February, has since stalled. Chinese troops remain encamped in several positions on previously Indian-controlled territory and talks to dislodge them have been fruitless. Quite apart… Written by Arzan Tarapore THE CLOCK IS TICKING FOR THE TALIBAN Following announcement of U.S. troops’ departure from Afghanistan, the world has been left to hypothesize what may come next. The current reluctance of the Taliban to come to the negotiation table might be attributed to their misperception that regional support… Written by Obaidullah Baheer PAKISTAN-UNITED STATES RELATIONS: A ROCKY ROAD AHEAD In his book entitled “No Exit from Pakistan”, Daniel Markey writes that, “both sides failed repeatedly to build a relationship to serve beyond the immediate needs of the day.” This phenomenon is likely to be… Written by Syed Ali Zia Jaffery INDIA’S COVID-19 TRAGEDY As of early April, India has been experiencing a heart-wrenching second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. India's case and death rates are currently the highest in the world, and show no signs of abating. There are reports actual rates may… Written by SAV editorial staff , Akanksha Narain , Muhsin Puthan Purayil, Rushali Saha
WATCH THE SAV WEBINAR "ONE YEAR SINCE GALWAN" SAV SERIES: ONE YEAR AFTER GALWAN In this _SAV _series, Arzan Tarapore, Antara Ghosal Singh, Jagannath Panda, and Yubing Sheng analyze the roots of the year-long India-China border standoff in Ladakh, discuss how the standoff has shaped strategic priorities and perceptions, and examine the potential trajectory of the bilateral relationship in the years ahead.Read the series
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