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WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Metals lose some sheen. Gold, silver and copper all pulled back during the holiday-shortened week. Gold, which was top performer during the onset of COVID-19, is fractionally lower this year. After copper’s strong run this year, the metal pulled back more than 4% this week. Natural gas prices perked higher, returning over 1% this week. INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? What is tapering? In the immediate aftermath of the pandemic-induced economic shut-downs, the Fed effectively cut short-term interest rates to zero and reinstated a number of bond buying programs to help provide liquidity and financial stability to markets. While a number of these programs have expired, the Fed continues to buy $80 billionof
END OF RECESSION CALL MAY COME SOON As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, they’ve typically had to wait an average of 15 months after a recession is over before they’ve had the clarity needed to make a call, a process they’ve been doing in real time since the late 1970s. View enlarged chart. While the average time from the end of a recession to NBER’s call has been 15 WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE According to the U.S. Department of Labor, over 470,000 Americans filed for unemployment insurance last week, which was better than the Bloomberg consensus of 490,000 and a new pandemic low. Continuing claims were slightly higher than consensus as well as last weeks’ claims reading. Even given the improvement in initial claims, sluggish THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER Market Blog. Tuesday, June 1, 2021. The amount of negative yielding debt is shrinking and that’s a good sign that the global economic recovery is well underway. INFLATION OR REFLATION? THAT IS THE QUESTION The Philips curve, a measure of the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation, has flattened over time, suggesting that the US economy is able to stomach lower levels of unemployment before the labor market causes inflation to heat up—for example, the environment we saw in 2019 when the unemployment rate crossed below 4% GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS ON THE RISE As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, not only is gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the U.S. expected to outpace Europe, the UK, Japan, and the broad emerging markets this year, but the U.S. has also seen the biggest increase in consensus expectations for GDP growth year to date—an increase of 1.9 percentage points to near 6% (source WHERE DO PRESIDENT BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS STACK UP VERSUS As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Dow has averaged 4.3% the first 100 days of a new President, while it has been higher the first 100 days in office for five of the past six Presidents. In fact, President Biden’s return currently ranks as the third best LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG VIA EMAIL. LPLResearch.com is the official Research blog of LPL Financial.Enter your email address to subscribeto
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Metals lose some sheen. Gold, silver and copper all pulled back during the holiday-shortened week. Gold, which was top performer during the onset of COVID-19, is fractionally lower this year. After copper’s strong run this year, the metal pulled back more than 4% this week. Natural gas prices perked higher, returning over 1% this week. INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? What is tapering? In the immediate aftermath of the pandemic-induced economic shut-downs, the Fed effectively cut short-term interest rates to zero and reinstated a number of bond buying programs to help provide liquidity and financial stability to markets. While a number of these programs have expired, the Fed continues to buy $80 billionof
END OF RECESSION CALL MAY COME SOON As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, they’ve typically had to wait an average of 15 months after a recession is over before they’ve had the clarity needed to make a call, a process they’ve been doing in real time since the late 1970s. View enlarged chart. While the average time from the end of a recession to NBER’s call has been 15 WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE According to the U.S. Department of Labor, over 470,000 Americans filed for unemployment insurance last week, which was better than the Bloomberg consensus of 490,000 and a new pandemic low. Continuing claims were slightly higher than consensus as well as last weeks’ claims reading. Even given the improvement in initial claims, sluggish THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER Market Blog. Tuesday, June 1, 2021. The amount of negative yielding debt is shrinking and that’s a good sign that the global economic recovery is well underway. INFLATION OR REFLATION? THAT IS THE QUESTION The Philips curve, a measure of the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation, has flattened over time, suggesting that the US economy is able to stomach lower levels of unemployment before the labor market causes inflation to heat up—for example, the environment we saw in 2019 when the unemployment rate crossed below 4% GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS ON THE RISE As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, not only is gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the U.S. expected to outpace Europe, the UK, Japan, and the broad emerging markets this year, but the U.S. has also seen the biggest increase in consensus expectations for GDP growth year to date—an increase of 1.9 percentage points to near 6% (source WHERE DO PRESIDENT BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS STACK UP VERSUS As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Dow has averaged 4.3% the first 100 days of a new President, while it has been higher the first 100 days in office for five of the past six Presidents. In fact, President Biden’s return currently ranks as the third best NEW HIGHS IN STOCKS AND INFLATION 21 hours ago · Friday, June 11, 2021. Top Story . New highs in stocks and inflation . The S&P 500 Index soared to its 27 th new high of 2021, while inflation also jumped to multiple year highs.. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May jumped 5.0% year-over-year, the most since June 2008.; Stripping out volatile food and energy, the core CPI added 3.8% year-over-year, the most since June 1992. WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Metals lose some sheen. Gold, silver and copper all pulled back during the holiday-shortened week. Gold, which was top performer during the onset of COVID-19, is fractionally lower this year. After copper’s strong run this year, the metal pulled back more than 4% this week. Natural gas prices perked higher, returning over 1% this week. CPI INFLATION BEATS EXPECTATIONS AGAIN 1 day ago · Thursday, June 10, 2021. Top Story . CPI Inflation Beats Expectations Again. The Bureau of Labor Statistics released May data for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this morning showing headline CPI jumped 0.6% month over month vs. estimates of 0.5%, while core CPI jumped 0.7% month over month vs. estimates of 0.5%. We examine today’s data release as well as implications for future inflation in A CLOSER LOOK AT NEW HIGHS Market Blog. Wednesday, June 9, 2021. The S&P 500 Index is flirting with new highs unlike nearly any time in history. In fact, it has now gone nine days in a row closing within 1% of an all-time high withoutbreaking through.
S&P 500 FLIRTS WITH A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH Tuesday, June 8, 2021. Top Story . Meme Stock Mania. Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder examine what meme mania means for investors, explore how policy could impact things for the rest of 2021, and dissect the recent weaker than expected monthly jobs data on today’s LPL Research Market Signals podcast.. Daily Insights SMALL BUSINESS PULSE CHECK 20 hours ago · Friday, June 11, 2021. While U.S. economic conditions have certainly improved, and earnings momentum for S&P 500 companies has been strong, U.S. small business conditions remain somewhat lessstable.
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE 16 hours ago · Market Blog. Friday, June 11, 2021. Index Performance . U.S. and international equities. The major US markets ended the week mixed with the growth-laden Nasdaq Composite finishing the week higher, while the Dow Jones gave back ground. SUPPLY CHAIN BOTTLENECKS PUSH CPI HIGHER 1 day ago · Economic Blog. Thursday, June 10, 2021. Make that two consecutive months that CPI inflation has surprised meaningfully to the upside. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its May inflation report this morning, June 10, revealing that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.6% month over month and 5% year overyear.
THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER Market Blog. Tuesday, June 1, 2021. The amount of negative yielding debt is shrinking and that’s a good sign that the global economic recovery is well underway. HOW STOCKS PERFORM IN A PRESIDENT’S FIRST YEAR 2021 kicks off the first year of a new four-year presidential cycle. One of the most popular questions we’ve received lately is how have stocks performed historically during this political year. For starters, the S&P 500 Index historically has gained 6.8% per year during the first year of the four-year presidential cycle, but stockshave done
LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG VIA EMAIL. LPLResearch.com is the official Research blog of LPL Financial.Enter your email address to subscribeto
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Metals lose some sheen. Gold, silver and copper all pulled back during the holiday-shortened week. Gold, which was top performer during the onset of COVID-19, is fractionally lower this year. After copper’s strong run this year, the metal pulled back more than 4% this week. Natural gas prices perked higher, returning over 1% this week. INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? What is tapering? In the immediate aftermath of the pandemic-induced economic shut-downs, the Fed effectively cut short-term interest rates to zero and reinstated a number of bond buying programs to help provide liquidity and financial stability to markets. While a number of these programs have expired, the Fed continues to buy $80 billionof
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE According to the U.S. Department of Labor, over 470,000 Americans filed for unemployment insurance last week, which was better than the Bloomberg consensus of 490,000 and a new pandemic low. Continuing claims were slightly higher than consensus as well as last weeks’ claims reading. Even given the improvement in initial claims, sluggish THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER As mentioned, at one point there was over $18 trillion of negatively yielding debt but that amount has come down and currently stands at just over $13 trillion. The average yield associated with all that debt has steadily moved higher as well, from -0.40% at its lows to -0.27% now. The majority of negatively yielding debt has a maturity offive
END OF RECESSION CALL MAY COME SOON As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, they’ve typically had to wait an average of 15 months after a recession is over before they’ve had the clarity needed to make a call, a process they’ve been doing in real time since the late 1970s. View enlarged chart. While the average time from the end of a recession to NBER’s call has been 15 INFLATION OR REFLATION? THAT IS THE QUESTION The Philips curve, a measure of the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation, has flattened over time, suggesting that the US economy is able to stomach lower levels of unemployment before the labor market causes inflation to heat up—for example, the environment we saw in 2019 when the unemployment rate crossed below 4% GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS ON THE RISE As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, not only is gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the U.S. expected to outpace Europe, the UK, Japan, and the broad emerging markets this year, but the U.S. has also seen the biggest increase in consensus expectations for GDP growth year to date—an increase of 1.9 percentage points to near 6% (source WHERE DO PRESIDENT BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS STACK UP VERSUS As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Dow has averaged 4.3% the first 100 days of a new President, while it has been higher the first 100 days in office for five of the past six Presidents. In fact, President Biden’s return currently ranks as the third best LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG VIA EMAIL. LPLResearch.com is the official Research blog of LPL Financial.Enter your email address to subscribeto
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Metals lose some sheen. Gold, silver and copper all pulled back during the holiday-shortened week. Gold, which was top performer during the onset of COVID-19, is fractionally lower this year. After copper’s strong run this year, the metal pulled back more than 4% this week. Natural gas prices perked higher, returning over 1% this week. INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? What is tapering? In the immediate aftermath of the pandemic-induced economic shut-downs, the Fed effectively cut short-term interest rates to zero and reinstated a number of bond buying programs to help provide liquidity and financial stability to markets. While a number of these programs have expired, the Fed continues to buy $80 billionof
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE According to the U.S. Department of Labor, over 470,000 Americans filed for unemployment insurance last week, which was better than the Bloomberg consensus of 490,000 and a new pandemic low. Continuing claims were slightly higher than consensus as well as last weeks’ claims reading. Even given the improvement in initial claims, sluggish THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER As mentioned, at one point there was over $18 trillion of negatively yielding debt but that amount has come down and currently stands at just over $13 trillion. The average yield associated with all that debt has steadily moved higher as well, from -0.40% at its lows to -0.27% now. The majority of negatively yielding debt has a maturity offive
END OF RECESSION CALL MAY COME SOON As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, they’ve typically had to wait an average of 15 months after a recession is over before they’ve had the clarity needed to make a call, a process they’ve been doing in real time since the late 1970s. View enlarged chart. While the average time from the end of a recession to NBER’s call has been 15 INFLATION OR REFLATION? THAT IS THE QUESTION The Philips curve, a measure of the relationship between the unemployment rate and inflation, has flattened over time, suggesting that the US economy is able to stomach lower levels of unemployment before the labor market causes inflation to heat up—for example, the environment we saw in 2019 when the unemployment rate crossed below 4% GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS ON THE RISE As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, not only is gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the U.S. expected to outpace Europe, the UK, Japan, and the broad emerging markets this year, but the U.S. has also seen the biggest increase in consensus expectations for GDP growth year to date—an increase of 1.9 percentage points to near 6% (source WHERE DO PRESIDENT BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS STACK UP VERSUS As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Dow has averaged 4.3% the first 100 days of a new President, while it has been higher the first 100 days in office for five of the past six Presidents. In fact, President Biden’s return currently ranks as the third best NEW HIGHS IN STOCKS AND INFLATION 12 hours ago · Friday, June 11, 2021. Top Story . New highs in stocks and inflation . The S&P 500 Index soared to its 27 th new high of 2021, while inflation also jumped to multiple year highs.. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May jumped 5.0% year-over-year, the most since June 2008.; Stripping out volatile food and energy, the core CPI added 3.8% year-over-year, the most since June 1992. WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Metals lose some sheen. Gold, silver and copper all pulled back during the holiday-shortened week. Gold, which was top performer during the onset of COVID-19, is fractionally lower this year. After copper’s strong run this year, the metal pulled back more than 4% this week. Natural gas prices perked higher, returning over 1% this week. CPI INFLATION BEATS EXPECTATIONS AGAIN 1 day ago · Thursday, June 10, 2021. Top Story . CPI Inflation Beats Expectations Again. The Bureau of Labor Statistics released May data for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this morning showing headline CPI jumped 0.6% month over month vs. estimates of 0.5%, while core CPI jumped 0.7% month over month vs. estimates of 0.5%. We examine today’s data release as well as implications for future inflation in A CLOSER LOOK AT NEW HIGHS Market Blog. Wednesday, June 9, 2021. The S&P 500 Index is flirting with new highs unlike nearly any time in history. In fact, it has now gone nine days in a row closing within 1% of an all-time high withoutbreaking through.
S&P 500 FLIRTS WITH A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH Tuesday, June 8, 2021. Top Story . Meme Stock Mania. Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder examine what meme mania means for investors, explore how policy could impact things for the rest of 2021, and dissect the recent weaker than expected monthly jobs data on today’s LPL Research Market Signals podcast.. Daily Insights THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER As mentioned, at one point there was over $18 trillion of negatively yielding debt but that amount has come down and currently stands at just over $13 trillion. The average yield associated with all that debt has steadily moved higher as well, from -0.40% at its lows to -0.27% now. The majority of negatively yielding debt has a maturity offive
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE 8 hours ago · Market Blog. Friday, June 11, 2021. Index Performance . U.S. and international equities. The major US markets ended the week mixed with the growth-laden Nasdaq Composite finishing the week higher, while the Dow Jones gave back ground. SMALL BUSINESS PULSE CHECK 11 hours ago · Friday, June 11, 2021. While U.S. economic conditions have certainly improved, and earnings momentum for S&P 500 companies has been strong, U.S. small business conditions remain somewhat lessstable.
SUPPLY CHAIN BOTTLENECKS PUSH CPI HIGHER 1 day ago · Economic Blog. Thursday, June 10, 2021. Make that two consecutive months that CPI inflation has surprised meaningfully to the upside. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its May inflation report this morning, June 10, revealing that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.6% month over month and 5% year overyear.
HOW STOCKS PERFORM IN A PRESIDENT’S FIRST YEAR 2021 kicks off the first year of a new four-year presidential cycle. One of the most popular questions we’ve received lately is how have stocks performed historically during this political year. For starters, the S&P 500 Index historically has gained 6.8% per year during the first year of the four-year presidential cycle, but stockshave done
LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG VIA EMAIL. LPLResearch.com is the official Research blog of LPL Financial.Enter your email address to subscribeto
INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? What is tapering? In the immediate aftermath of the pandemic-induced economic shut-downs, the Fed effectively cut short-term interest rates to zero and reinstated a number of bond buying programs to help provide liquidity and financial stability to markets. While a number of these programs have expired, the Fed continues to buy $80 billionof
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE According to the U.S. Department of Labor, over 470,000 Americans filed for unemployment insurance last week, which was better than the Bloomberg consensus of 490,000 and a new pandemic low. Continuing claims were slightly higher than consensus as well as last weeks’ claims reading. Even given the improvement in initial claims, sluggish LEI GROWTH CONTINUES ITS BOUNCE LEI Growth Continues Its Bounce. The Conference Board released its Leading Economic Index (LEI) report for April on Thursday, showing the series rose 1.6% month over month. This represents the second straight month in which the index bounced strongly, following a weak winter. In fact, this marks a new all-time high for the nominal index GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS ON THE RISE As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, not only is gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the U.S. expected to outpace Europe, the UK, Japan, and the broad emerging markets this year, but the U.S. has also seen the biggest increase in consensus expectations for GDP growth year to date—an increase of 1.9 percentage points to near 6% (source WHERE DO PRESIDENT BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS STACK UP VERSUS As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Dow has averaged 4.3% the first 100 days of a new President, while it has been higher the first 100 days in office for five of the past six Presidents. In fact, President Biden’s return currently ranks as the third best ANATOMY OF A BOND MARKET SELL-OFF Coming into the year, our end-of-year forecast range for the 10-Year Treasury yield was 1.25% – 1.75%, and we still think 1.75% is a realistic high-end range. The Treasury market has moved sharply higher from its lows back in August, so we expect rates to remain range bound in the near term, but they may move higher in the coming months.LPL HOUSE OF CHARTS
Macro Market Movers Blog. lpl house of charts. Published May 25, 2018at 915 × 623
WHAT MIGHT FUTURE BOND RETURNS LOOK LIKE? In other words, the coupon may be the most significant factor in your total return over the long term. Through Wednesday’s close, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index returned 4.8% year to date, following last year’s nearly 9% return. But because yields fall as bond prices rise, the yield on the benchmark bond index recently hit LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG VIA EMAIL. LPLResearch.com is the official Research blog of LPL Financial.Enter your email address to subscribeto
INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? What is tapering? In the immediate aftermath of the pandemic-induced economic shut-downs, the Fed effectively cut short-term interest rates to zero and reinstated a number of bond buying programs to help provide liquidity and financial stability to markets. While a number of these programs have expired, the Fed continues to buy $80 billionof
WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE According to the U.S. Department of Labor, over 470,000 Americans filed for unemployment insurance last week, which was better than the Bloomberg consensus of 490,000 and a new pandemic low. Continuing claims were slightly higher than consensus as well as last weeks’ claims reading. Even given the improvement in initial claims, sluggish LEI GROWTH CONTINUES ITS BOUNCE LEI Growth Continues Its Bounce. The Conference Board released its Leading Economic Index (LEI) report for April on Thursday, showing the series rose 1.6% month over month. This represents the second straight month in which the index bounced strongly, following a weak winter. In fact, this marks a new all-time high for the nominal index GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS ON THE RISE As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, not only is gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the U.S. expected to outpace Europe, the UK, Japan, and the broad emerging markets this year, but the U.S. has also seen the biggest increase in consensus expectations for GDP growth year to date—an increase of 1.9 percentage points to near 6% (source WHERE DO PRESIDENT BIDEN’S FIRST 100 DAYS STACK UP VERSUS As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Dow has averaged 4.3% the first 100 days of a new President, while it has been higher the first 100 days in office for five of the past six Presidents. In fact, President Biden’s return currently ranks as the third best ANATOMY OF A BOND MARKET SELL-OFF Coming into the year, our end-of-year forecast range for the 10-Year Treasury yield was 1.25% – 1.75%, and we still think 1.75% is a realistic high-end range. The Treasury market has moved sharply higher from its lows back in August, so we expect rates to remain range bound in the near term, but they may move higher in the coming months. WHAT MIGHT FUTURE BOND RETURNS LOOK LIKE? In other words, the coupon may be the most significant factor in your total return over the long term. Through Wednesday’s close, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index returned 4.8% year to date, following last year’s nearly 9% return. But because yields fall as bond prices rise, the yield on the benchmark bond index recently hit LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH Economic Blog Thursday, May 20, 2021 Inflation was the word of the week. In this week’s LPL Market Signals Podcast, LPL Research’s Ryan Detrick and Jeff Buchbinder dive into the hotter than expected recent inflation data and explain why they still S&P 500 FLIRTS WITH A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH 1 day ago · Tuesday, June 8, 2021. Top Story . Meme Stock Mania. Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder examine what meme mania means for investors, explore how policy could impact things for the rest of 2021, and dissect the recent weaker than expected monthly jobs data on today’s LPL Research Market Signals podcast.. Daily Insights NEW MARKET HIGHS ARE CLOSE 15 hours ago · Wednesday, June 9, 2021. Top Story . New highs are close . The S&P 500 Index is very close to another new high but is having trouble getting there.. Three days in a row it closed within 0.15% of an all-time high but didn’t make a new high—first timesince 1964.
MUNIS ARE EXPENSIVE BUT TECHNICALS REMAIN FAVORABLE 1 day ago · Market Blog. Tuesday, June 8, 2021. While many of the taxable markets have generated negative returns this year, both the high quality and high yield municipal markets have generated positive returns (no guarantees that will continue, of course). A CLOSER LOOK AT NEW HIGHS 14 hours ago · Market Blog. Wednesday, June 9, 2021. The S&P 500 Index is flirting with new highs unlike nearly any time in history. In fact, it has now gone nine days in a row closing within 1% of an all-time high without breaking through. HOW TO INVEST IN HIGHER INFLATION I DAILY MARKET UPDATE Both sides continue to look for a bipartisan deal. Republicans were expected to present a plan earlier this week, but so far that hasn’t happened. President Biden originally proposed a $2.25 trillion deal, while Republicans countered with a $568 billion deal. We continue to expect a final deal in the range of between $1.0 and $1.5 trillion. JOBS GROWTH COMES IN LUKEWARM Friday, June 4, 2021. Top Story . Jobs Growth Comes in Lukewarm . The U.S. economy gained 559,000 jobs in May according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, falling short of Bloomberg survey estimates for a675,000 gain.
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TREASURY YIELDS AND MORTGAGE Market Blog. Tuesday, May 25, 2021. Mortgage rates are still around all-time lows but they may be headed higher. The 30-year national average mortgage rate hit an all-time low of 2.82% back in February, but with the U.S. economic recovery in full swing, mortgage rates have started to move higher. ANATOMY OF A BOND MARKET SELL-OFF Coming into the year, our end-of-year forecast range for the 10-Year Treasury yield was 1.25% – 1.75%, and we still think 1.75% is a realistic high-end range. The Treasury market has moved sharply higher from its lows back in August, so we expect rates to remain range bound in the near term, but they may move higher in the coming months. WHY A POTENTIAL DEMOCRAT SWEEP MAY NOT BE A MARKET WORRY Market Blog. Based on the latest polling data, there’s growing consensus that former Vice President Joe Biden potentially may win the election and Democrats possibly may sweep Congress. Some might think this could be a negative for stocks, as a higher corporate tax rate that reduces earnings could be part of the Democratic platform. TREASURY YIELDS ARE RISING. NOW WHAT? Treasury yields started moving sharply higher this past month (remember that as yields go up, prices go down). And while the upward march began in earnest last August when the 10-Year Treasury yield bottomed at an all-time low rate of 0.50% based on closing prices, the past week we saw the 10-year break through the 1.25% threshold andtouch 1
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S&P 500 FLIRTS WITH A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH 20 minutes ago · Tuesday, June 8, 2021. Top Story . Meme Stock Mania. Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder examine what meme mania means for investors, explore how policy could impact things for the rest of 2021, and dissect the recent weaker than expected monthly jobs data on today’s LPL Research Market Signals podcast.. Daily Insights INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? Market Blog. Tuesday, May 18, 2021. After the April consumer price index (CPI) release that surprised to the upside, indicating consumer prices in some areas of the economy are increasing at a faster pace than many expected, the discussion has shifted to the need for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to potentially normalize monetary policy earlier than they’ve indicated.STIMULUS DEAL NEARS
Monday, December 21, 2020. Top Story . Stocks Open Lower. The S&P 500 Index opened roughly 1.5% lower, while the tech-focused NASDAQ fared better. Stocks are responding to more curbs to contain the spread of COVID-19 and bucking a tailwind created as Congress nears agreement on a $900 billion stimulus bill. WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Market Blog. 1/22/2021. Index Performance. View enlarged chart. US and International Equities. The major market indexes finished the week higher. The tech-heavy NASDAQ had a solid week returning over 4%. ANATOMY OF A BOND MARKET SELL-OFF Coming into the year, our end-of-year forecast range for the 10-Year Treasury yield was 1.25% – 1.75%, and we still think 1.75% is a realistic high-end range. The Treasury market has moved sharply higher from its lows back in August, so we expect rates to remain range bound in the near term, but they may move higher in the coming months. TREASURY YIELDS ARE RISING. NOW WHAT? Treasury yields started moving sharply higher this past month (remember that as yields go up, prices go down). And while the upward march began in earnest last August when the 10-Year Treasury yield bottomed at an all-time low rate of 0.50% based on closing prices, the past week we saw the 10-year break through the 1.25% threshold andtouch 1
WHAT MIGHT FUTURE BOND RETURNS LOOK LIKE? In other words, the coupon may be the most significant factor in your total return over the long term. Through Wednesday’s close, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index returned 4.8% year to date, following last year’s nearly 9% return. But because yields fall as bond prices rise, the yield on the benchmark bond index recently hit WHY A POTENTIAL DEMOCRAT SWEEP MAY NOT BE A MARKET WORRY Market Blog. Based on the latest polling data, there’s growing consensus that former Vice President Joe Biden potentially may win the election and Democrats possibly may sweep Congress. Some might think this could be a negative for stocks, as a higher corporate tax rate that reduces earnings could be part of the Democratic platform. LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG VIA EMAIL. LPLResearch.com is the official Research blog of LPL Financial.Enter your email address to subscribeto
S&P 500 FLIRTS WITH A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH 20 minutes ago · Tuesday, June 8, 2021. Top Story . Meme Stock Mania. Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder examine what meme mania means for investors, explore how policy could impact things for the rest of 2021, and dissect the recent weaker than expected monthly jobs data on today’s LPL Research Market Signals podcast.. Daily Insights INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN, HIGHER INCOME TAXES AND MUNICIPAL Tuesday, April 27, 2021. President Biden’s recently proposed $2 trillion infrastructure investment plan would, if enacted as-is—a big “if” for sure— provide much needed support to traditional infrastructure projects like roads and bridges amongst other projects. While the plan would tangentially support the municipal market through WHAT IS “TAPERING” AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? Market Blog. Tuesday, May 18, 2021. After the April consumer price index (CPI) release that surprised to the upside, indicating consumer prices in some areas of the economy are increasing at a faster pace than many expected, the discussion has shifted to the need for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to potentially normalize monetary policy earlier than they’ve indicated.STIMULUS DEAL NEARS
Monday, December 21, 2020. Top Story . Stocks Open Lower. The S&P 500 Index opened roughly 1.5% lower, while the tech-focused NASDAQ fared better. Stocks are responding to more curbs to contain the spread of COVID-19 and bucking a tailwind created as Congress nears agreement on a $900 billion stimulus bill. WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Market Blog. 1/22/2021. Index Performance. View enlarged chart. US and International Equities. The major market indexes finished the week higher. The tech-heavy NASDAQ had a solid week returning over 4%. ANATOMY OF A BOND MARKET SELL-OFF Coming into the year, our end-of-year forecast range for the 10-Year Treasury yield was 1.25% – 1.75%, and we still think 1.75% is a realistic high-end range. The Treasury market has moved sharply higher from its lows back in August, so we expect rates to remain range bound in the near term, but they may move higher in the coming months. TREASURY YIELDS ARE RISING. NOW WHAT? Treasury yields started moving sharply higher this past month (remember that as yields go up, prices go down). And while the upward march began in earnest last August when the 10-Year Treasury yield bottomed at an all-time low rate of 0.50% based on closing prices, the past week we saw the 10-year break through the 1.25% threshold andtouch 1
WHAT MIGHT FUTURE BOND RETURNS LOOK LIKE? In other words, the coupon may be the most significant factor in your total return over the long term. Through Wednesday’s close, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index returned 4.8% year to date, following last year’s nearly 9% return. But because yields fall as bond prices rise, the yield on the benchmark bond index recently hit WHY A POTENTIAL DEMOCRAT SWEEP MAY NOT BE A MARKET WORRY Market Blog. Based on the latest polling data, there’s growing consensus that former Vice President Joe Biden potentially may win the election and Democrats possibly may sweep Congress. Some might think this could be a negative for stocks, as a higher corporate tax rate that reduces earnings could be part of the Democratic platform. S&P 500 INDEX WITHIN A TINY FRACTION OF A NEW ALL-TIME 1 day ago · Monday, June 7, 2021. Top Story . Policy tailwinds may turn into headwinds in 2022, but economic fundamentals likely to dominate. The U.S. stock market was supported by tremendous fiscal stimulus in 2020 and into 2021 and may face some challenges as support slowly moves to the sidelines, but the continued economic recovery will likely be the most important driver for markets into 2022. WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Market Blog. Friday, June 4, 2021. Index Performance. View enlarged chart. U.S. and international equities. The major US markets were higher this week, as market participants continue to take inflationconcerns in stride.
JOBS GROWTH COMES IN LUKEWARM Friday, June 4, 2021. Top Story . Jobs Growth Comes in Lukewarm . The U.S. economy gained 559,000 jobs in May according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, falling short of Bloomberg survey estimates for a675,000 gain.
DEFINITIONS
The term Futures refers to future contracts, a financial contract obligating the buyer to purchase an asset (or the seller to sell an asset) at a predetermined future date and price. Contracts detail the quality and quantity of the underlying asset, and are standardized to facilitate trading on a futures exchange. WEEKLY MARKET PERFORMANCE Market Blog. 1/22/2021. Index Performance. View enlarged chart. US and International Equities. The major market indexes finished the week higher. The tech-heavy NASDAQ had a solid week returning over 4%. LEI GROWTH CONTINUES ITS BOUNCE LEI Growth Continues Its Bounce. The Conference Board released its Leading Economic Index (LEI) report for April on Thursday, showing the series rose 1.6% month over month. This represents the second straight month in which the index bounced strongly, following a weak winter. In fact, this marks a new all-time high for the nominal index HOW TO INVEST IN HIGHER INFLATION I DAILY MARKET UPDATE Both sides continue to look for a bipartisan deal. Republicans were expected to present a plan earlier this week, but so far that hasn’t happened. President Biden originally proposed a $2.25 trillion deal, while Republicans countered with a $568 billion deal. We continue to expect a final deal in the range of between $1.0 and $1.5 trillion. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TREASURY YIELDS AND MORTGAGE Market Blog. Tuesday, May 25, 2021. Mortgage rates are still around all-time lows but they may be headed higher. The 30-year national average mortgage rate hit an all-time low of 2.82% back in February, but with the U.S. economic recovery in full swing, mortgage rates have started to move higher. TWO TALES OF 2020 BOND RETURNS The broad Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index had a total return of 7.5%—not as strong as 2019’s 8.7% but its fifth-best year in the last 20 and the best two-year stretch since 2001–02. “It was another good year for bonds in 2020, and some of the highest-quality areas of the bond market performed the best,” saidLPL Financial
WHY A POTENTIAL DEMOCRAT SWEEP MAY NOT BE A MARKET WORRY Market Blog. Based on the latest polling data, there’s growing consensus that former Vice President Joe Biden potentially may win the election and Democrats possibly may sweep Congress. Some might think this could be a negative for stocks, as a higher corporate tax rate that reduces earnings could be part of the Democratic platform. LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH MACRO MARKET MOVERS BLOGPOST NAVIGATION
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JOBS GROWTH COMES IN LUKEWARM | DAILY MARKET UPDATE Posted by lplresearch Friday, June 4, 2021TOP STORY
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HIRING SEEMS TO BE ACCELERATING | DAILY MARKET UPDATE Posted by lplresearch Thursday, June 3, 2021TOP STORY
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CRUDE OIL EXTENDS RALLY | DAILY MARKET UPDATE Posted by lplresearch Wednesday, June 2, 2021TOP STORY
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MAY MARKET INSIGHTS – COMMODITIES EXTEND GAINS IN MAY Posted by lplresearchMARKET BLOG
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THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT IS TRENDING LOWER Posted by lplresearchMARKET BLOG
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U.S. MARKETS OPEN IN THE GREEN I DAILY MARKET UPDATE Posted by lplresearch Tuesday, June 1, 2021TOP STORY
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