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GETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list. NEWS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET | THE WORLD'S LARGEST CLIMATE Dry, hot summers – similar to the one Scotland experienced in 2018 – are set to become the norm and the country should prepare accordingly, researchers say. Analysis of UK climate projections by university researchers and Met Office staff suggest a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levelsbetween now
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION Global Atmospheric Circulation. The circulation of the atmosphere is responsible for about 50% of the transport of energy from the tropics to the poles. The basic mechanism is very simple: hot air rises in the tropics, reducing the pressure at the surface and increasing it higher up. This forces the air to spread away polewards at high levels CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – ABOUT | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NETSEE MORE ON CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET MODELS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Models. Four main models are currently available on climateprediction.net:. HadAM4 – A high resolution Met Office Hadley Centre global atmospheric model. This runs at two resolutions on climateprediction.net which corresponds to ~90km and ~60km.; HadCM3 – A Met Office Hadley Centre coupled model of the ocean and atmosphere.; OpenIFS@home – A global atmospheric model from theGETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list. NEWS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET | THE WORLD'S LARGEST CLIMATE Dry, hot summers – similar to the one Scotland experienced in 2018 – are set to become the norm and the country should prepare accordingly, researchers say. Analysis of UK climate projections by university researchers and Met Office staff suggest a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levelsbetween now
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION Global Atmospheric Circulation. The circulation of the atmosphere is responsible for about 50% of the transport of energy from the tropics to the poles. The basic mechanism is very simple: hot air rises in the tropics, reducing the pressure at the surface and increasing it higher up. This forces the air to spread away polewards at high levels MODELS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Models. Four main models are currently available on climateprediction.net:. HadAM4 – A high resolution Met Office Hadley Centre global atmospheric model. This runs at two resolutions on climateprediction.net which corresponds to ~90km and ~60km.; HadCM3 – A Met Office Hadley Centre coupled model of the ocean and atmosphere.; OpenIFS@home – A global atmospheric model from the PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events) NEWS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET | THE WORLD'S LARGEST CLIMATE Dry, hot summers – similar to the one Scotland experienced in 2018 – are set to become the norm and the country should prepare accordingly, researchers say. Analysis of UK climate projections by university researchers and Met Office staff suggest a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levelsbetween now
HOW IT WORKS
How it works. Distributed computing involves using the processing power of many computers to solve a large problem. The internet allows volunteers from across the globe to contribute to large-scale projects, such as climateprediction.net, to achieve results that would take many times longer to process on an individual super-computer.. Climateprediction.net runs in the background on your PEOPLE | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Prof Myles R. Allen School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford. Myles Allen is the founder of climateprediction.net and was the first to propose the use of Probabilistic Event Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and other external influences on climate to specific individual weather events.He is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School ofGeography and the
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS
Operating system Hardware Disk space RAM; Microsoft Windows: 1.6GHz: 1GB: 512MB: Mac OS (pre-Catalina) 1.66GHz: 600MB: 192MB: Linux (with 32-bit libraries) 1.6GHz GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION Global Atmospheric Circulation. The circulation of the atmosphere is responsible for about 50% of the transport of energy from the tropics to the poles. The basic mechanism is very simple: hot air rises in the tropics, reducing the pressure at the surface and increasing it higher up. This forces the air to spread away polewards at high levels INTRODUCING CLIMATE PREDICTION Introducing Climate Prediction Find out what happens to radiation from the Sun when it reaches the Earth and what this means for the temperature of the planet. 2015 DECEMBER EXTREME WEATHER IN THE UK 2015 December Extreme weather in the UK. Applying three independent methodologies of extreme event attribution, we show that temperatures and precipitation in the UK in December 2015 were extremely unlikely even in a warming world with observed SST patterns, including El Niño, as an additional driver. CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – ABOUT | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NETSEE MORE ON CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events)GETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list. REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a MANAGING THE RISKS, IMPACTS AND UNCERTAINTIES OF DROUGHT Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) Droughts and water scarcity pose a significant risk to the environment, society and the economy. MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING M. R. ALLEN et al.:MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING variables simulated by individual members of that ensemble to be consistent with observations. A forecast that gets the warming rate wrong to 2020 is likely to continue getting it wrong to 2050. CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – ABOUT | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NETSEE MORE ON CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events)GETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list. REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a MANAGING THE RISKS, IMPACTS AND UNCERTAINTIES OF DROUGHT Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) Droughts and water scarcity pose a significant risk to the environment, society and the economy. MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING M. R. ALLEN et al.:MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING variables simulated by individual members of that ensemble to be consistent with observations. A forecast that gets the warming rate wrong to 2020 is likely to continue getting it wrong to 2050. PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events)HOW IT WORKS
How it works. Distributed computing involves using the processing power of many computers to solve a large problem. The internet allows volunteers from across the globe to contribute to large-scale projects, such as climateprediction.net, to achieve results that would take many times longer to process on an individual super-computer.. Climateprediction.net runs in the background on your NEWS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET | THE WORLD'S LARGEST CLIMATE Dry, hot summers – similar to the one Scotland experienced in 2018 – are set to become the norm and the country should prepare accordingly, researchers say. Analysis of UK climate projections by university researchers and Met Office staff suggest a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levelsbetween now
EDUCATION | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Education. Helping people understand the role of computer models in researching the changing climate is an important part of the work of climateprediction.net.The educational support that we offer includes materials for school curriculum and specialised online learningcourses.
PUBLICATIONS
Ensemble of European regional climate simulations for the winter of 2013 and 2014 from HadAM3P-RM3P Nathalie Schaller, Sarah N. Sparrow, Neil R. Massey, Andy Bowery, Jonathan Miller, Simon Wilson, David C.H. Wallom, Friederike E.L. OttoWEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.CLIMATE ENSEMBLES
Climate Ensembles. Rather than relying on the outcome of a single climate model, we run ensembles of thousands of models. Each version of the model within an ensemble is very slightly different from the others but still plausibly represents the real world, and so produces slightly different outcomes. FROM CLIMATE MODEL ENSEMBLES TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS: A climateprediction.net 2021 | Contact us | Last updated: September 9, 2014 Sitemap; Legal; Accessibility; Cookies; Site by One andUKCIPOne and UKCIP
GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION Global Atmospheric Circulation. The circulation of the atmosphere is responsible for about 50% of the transport of energy from the tropics to the poles. The basic mechanism is very simple: hot air rises in the tropics, reducing the pressure at the surface and increasing it higher up. This forces the air to spread away polewards at high levels 2015 DECEMBER EXTREME WEATHER IN THE UK 2015 December Extreme weather in the UK. Applying three independent methodologies of extreme event attribution, we show that temperatures and precipitation in the UK in December 2015 were extremely unlikely even in a warming world with observed SST patterns, including El Niño, as an additional driver. CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – ABOUT | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NETSEE MORE ON CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events)GETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list. REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a MANAGING THE RISKS, IMPACTS AND UNCERTAINTIES OF DROUGHT Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) Droughts and water scarcity pose a significant risk to the environment, society and the economy. MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING M. R. ALLEN et al.:MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING variables simulated by individual members of that ensemble to be consistent with observations. A forecast that gets the warming rate wrong to 2020 is likely to continue getting it wrong to 2050. CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – ABOUT | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NETSEE MORE ON CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events)GETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list. REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a MANAGING THE RISKS, IMPACTS AND UNCERTAINTIES OF DROUGHT Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) Droughts and water scarcity pose a significant risk to the environment, society and the economy. MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING M. R. ALLEN et al.:MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING variables simulated by individual members of that ensemble to be consistent with observations. A forecast that gets the warming rate wrong to 2020 is likely to continue getting it wrong to 2050. PROJECTS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Projects. Since Climateprediction.net was launched the combined computing power of its users has allowed scientists to carry out a large number of projects.. These projects have looked at modelling different aspects of the climate system, past and present, including: Ongoing: DOCILE (Drives Of Change In mid-Latitude weather Events) NEWS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET | THE WORLD'S LARGEST CLIMATE Dry, hot summers – similar to the one Scotland experienced in 2018 – are set to become the norm and the country should prepare accordingly, researchers say. Analysis of UK climate projections by university researchers and Met Office staff suggest a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levelsbetween now
HOW IT WORKS
How it works. Distributed computing involves using the processing power of many computers to solve a large problem. The internet allows volunteers from across the globe to contribute to large-scale projects, such as climateprediction.net, to achieve results that would take many times longer to process on an individual super-computer.. Climateprediction.net runs in the background on your EDUCATION | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Education. Helping people understand the role of computer models in researching the changing climate is an important part of the work of climateprediction.net.The educational support that we offer includes materials for school curriculum and specialised online learningcourses.
PUBLICATIONS
Ensemble of European regional climate simulations for the winter of 2013 and 2014 from HadAM3P-RM3P Nathalie Schaller, Sarah N. Sparrow, Neil R. Massey, Andy Bowery, Jonathan Miller, Simon Wilson, David C.H. Wallom, Friederike E.L. OttoWEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.CLIMATE ENSEMBLES
Climate Ensembles. Rather than relying on the outcome of a single climate model, we run ensembles of thousands of models. Each version of the model within an ensemble is very slightly different from the others but still plausibly represents the real world, and so produces slightly different outcomes. FROM CLIMATE MODEL ENSEMBLES TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS: A climateprediction.net 2021 | Contact us | Last updated: September 9, 2014 Sitemap; Legal; Accessibility; Cookies; Site by One andUKCIPOne and UKCIP
GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION Global Atmospheric Circulation. The circulation of the atmosphere is responsible for about 50% of the transport of energy from the tropics to the poles. The basic mechanism is very simple: hot air rises in the tropics, reducing the pressure at the surface and increasing it higher up. This forces the air to spread away polewards at high levels SIMPLE CLIMATE MODELS and social equity, it focuses on local and regional levels. The IS92a scenario came out of the previous IPCC report. 4) Compare the different temperatures predicted by this model in 2100 for each of the3
CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – MODELS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Models. Four main models are currently available on climateprediction.net:. HadAM4 – A high resolution Met Office Hadley Centre global atmospheric model. This runs at two resolutions on climateprediction.net which corresponds to ~90km and ~60km.; HadCM3 – A Met Office Hadley Centre coupled model of the ocean and atmosphere.; OpenIFS@home – A global atmospheric model from the REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
PEOPLE | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Prof Myles R. Allen School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford. Myles Allen is the founder of climateprediction.net and was the first to propose the use of Probabilistic Event Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and other external influences on climate to specific individual weather events.He is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School ofGeography and the
CLIMATE ENSEMBLES
Climate Ensembles. Rather than relying on the outcome of a single climate model, we run ensembles of thousands of models. Each version of the model within an ensemble is very slightly different from the others but still plausibly represents the real world, and so produces slightly different outcomes.WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a MANAGING THE RISKS, IMPACTS AND UNCERTAINTIES OF DROUGHT Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) Droughts and water scarcity pose a significant risk to the environment, society and the economy. MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING M. R. ALLEN et al.:MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING variables simulated by individual members of that ensemble to be consistent with observations. A forecast that gets the warming rate wrong to 2020 is likely to continue getting it wrong to 2050. CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project.. We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and in the future – MODELS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Models. Four main models are currently available on climateprediction.net:. HadAM4 – A high resolution Met Office Hadley Centre global atmospheric model. This runs at two resolutions on climateprediction.net which corresponds to ~90km and ~60km.; HadCM3 – A Met Office Hadley Centre coupled model of the ocean and atmosphere.; OpenIFS@home – A global atmospheric model from the REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS Regional climate models. A key limitation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the fairly coarse horizontal resolution.For the practical planning of local issues such as water resources or flood defences, countries require information on a much more local scale than GCMs areable to provide.
PEOPLE | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Prof Myles R. Allen School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford. Myles Allen is the founder of climateprediction.net and was the first to propose the use of Probabilistic Event Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and other external influences on climate to specific individual weather events.He is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School ofGeography and the
CLIMATE ENSEMBLES
Climate Ensembles. Rather than relying on the outcome of a single climate model, we run ensembles of thousands of models. Each version of the model within an ensemble is very slightly different from the others but still plausibly represents the real world, and so produces slightly different outcomes.WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.TECHNICAL FAQS
The climate prediction .net project runs several experiments within the main project, each with its own scientific research question. An experiment will be made up of one or more batches of models. These batches are sent out to volunteers as and when the scientists and THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW The tropopause is the boundary between the troposphere (where all the weather is) and the stratosphere, and is found at about the height of the top of Mount Everest (10km) where aeroplanes tend to fly. Temperatures are typically about -60°C – not all THAT cold (central Siberia often experiences -50°C in a MANAGING THE RISKS, IMPACTS AND UNCERTAINTIES OF DROUGHT Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) Droughts and water scarcity pose a significant risk to the environment, society and the economy. MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING M. R. ALLEN et al.:MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING variables simulated by individual members of that ensemble to be consistent with observations. A forecast that gets the warming rate wrong to 2020 is likely to continue getting it wrong to 2050. ABOUT | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET About Who we are. Climateprediction.net is a volunteer computing, climate modelling project based at the University of Oxford in the Environmental Change Institute, the Oxford e-Research Centre and Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics.. We have a team of 13 climate scientists, computing experts and graduate students working on this project, as well as our partners and collaboratorsHOW IT WORKS
How it works. Distributed computing involves using the processing power of many computers to solve a large problem. The internet allows volunteers from across the globe to contribute to large-scale projects, such as climateprediction.net, to achieve results that would take many times longer to process on an individual super-computer.. Climateprediction.net runs in the background on your EDUCATION | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Education. Helping people understand the role of computer models in researching the changing climate is an important part of the work of climateprediction.net.The educational support that we offer includes materials for school curriculum and specialised online learningcourses.
NEWS | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET | THE WORLD'S LARGEST CLIMATE Dry, hot summers – similar to the one Scotland experienced in 2018 – are set to become the norm and the country should prepare accordingly, researchers say. Analysis of UK climate projections by university researchers and Met Office staff suggest a substantial increase in the likelihood of temperatures reaching 2018’s levelsbetween now
GETTING STARTED
4. Launch the BOINC client and add climate prediction .net as a project. Now that you’ve installed the BOINC client, it should launch itself, and you can pick climate prediction .net as the project you will run: Choose “add project”, click “next”. Scroll down the list and select “Climateprediction.net” from the list.MODELS USED
Models Used. The information below summarises the various types of climate model used by climateprediction.net, including some that are planned for future release.. Fully Coupled Global Models HadCM3. This was the standard coupled model of the Met Office until a few years ago, and is still actively used for climate change research. PEOPLE | CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET Prof Myles R. Allen School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford. Myles Allen is the founder of climateprediction.net and was the first to propose the use of Probabilistic Event Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and other external influences on climate to specific individual weather events.He is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School ofGeography and the
WEATHER@HOME
weather@home. Weather@home is a group of regional climate modelling experiments within climateprediction.net. Follow live results from the weather@home 2015 Western US Drought experiment. Thanks to your support of climateprediction.net we are able to design experiments that answer questions we otherwise could not answer without large climate model ensembles.SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS
Operating system Hardware Disk space RAM; Microsoft Windows: 1.6GHz: 1GB: 512MB: Mac OS (pre-Catalina) 1.66GHz: 600MB: 192MB: Linux (with 32-bit libraries) 1.6GHz 2015 DECEMBER EXTREME WEATHER IN THE UK 2015 December Extreme weather in the UK. Applying three independent methodologies of extreme event attribution, we show that temperatures and precipitation in the UK in December 2015 were extremely unlikely even in a warming world with observed SST patterns, including El Niño, as an additional driver.Search
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LATEST NEWS
SCOTS SHOULD GET READY FOR MORE FREQUENT HEATWAVES, EXPERTS SAY INTRODUCING THE AFLAME PROJECT (ATTRIBUTING AMAZON FOREST FIRES FROM LAND-USE ALTERATION AND METEOROLOGICAL EXTREMES) OXFORD E-RESEARCH CENTRE TEAMS UP WITH ECMWF TO ENABLE SCIENTISTS TO RUN THE OPENIFS WEATHER MODEL ON THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE’S HOMECOMPUTERS.
NEWS ABOUT LINKS TO PUBLICATIONS ADHERING TO PARIS AGREEMENT CLIMATE GOAL COULD SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE HEAT-RELATED SUMMER DEATHS TWEETS BY @CPDN_BOINC WELCOME TO THE WORLD’S LARGEST CLIMATE MODELLING EXPERIMENT Climate_prediction_.net is a volunteer computing, climate modellingproject.
We run climate models on people’s home computers to help answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world, now and inthe future –
Sign up now and help us predict the climate. Evidence of how our climate is changing is vital to encourage investment in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, as well as coping with inevitable change.You can help
discover how the climate could look by running our free software on your computer. The data generated is sent back to us and incorporated into the climate_prediction_.net projects. Our computer models simulate the climate for the next century, producing predictions of temperature, rainfall and the probability of extreme weather events. The more models that are run, the more evidence we gather on climate change. Get started and help us predict the climate.PROJECT STATUS
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September 10, 2019
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