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TOPICS
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Surveillance
Automation and AI
ECONOMY & BUSINESS
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Updated Feb 12, 2020 - Politics & Policy BERNIE'S SUPER TUESDAY EDGEMike Allen
Bernie Sanders takes the stage in New Hampshire. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images Some top Democrats tell Axios that if the split 2020 field persists through Super Tuesday, Bernie Sanders could build an insurmountable delegate lead while the moderates eat each other up. WHY IT MATTERS: With California's massive delegate trove as part of Super Tuesday on March 3, whoever winds up as the survivor against Sanders could be in a deep delegate hole by the time the field thins. A DEMOCRATIC CAMPAIGN shared these scenarios to argue Sanders could walk away from Super Tuesday in control: * SCENARIO #1: Bernie's Super Tuesday vote share is five points ahead of the second candidate (say, 30% to 25%). Bernie would net 96 delegates more than the next-highest-performing candidate. At that point, it would be possible but difficult to overtake Sanders: To become the nominee, that survivor would need to beat Bernie by an average of 53% to 47% in in remaining contests. * SCENARIO #2: Bernie's Super Tuesday vote share is 10 points ahead of the second candidate (say, 30% to 20%). Bernie would net 198 delegates more than the next-highest-performing candidate. Overtaking Sanders would be unlikely: The field would need to clear, the and survivor would need to win each remaining contest on average 55% to45% over Bernie.
* SCENARIO #3: Bernie's Super Tuesday vote share is by 15 points ahead of the second candidate (say, 35% to 20%). Bernie would net 328 delegates more than the next-highest-performing candidate. The race would be all but over. A VETERAN Democratic operative told me: "Obama showed in '08 and Clinton showed in '16 once you get a lead in the Democratic primary, it is very hard to lose it. Because we don’t have winner-take-all states, the front-runner is always accumulatingdelegates."
* "Trump would not have been the nominee in '16 had the non-Trumpers consolidated. They never did and he got the nomination. We are looking at the same scenario." GO DEEPER: Bernie Sanders' uneasy New Hampshire winGO DEEPER
Axios
SANDERS CALLS FORMER CLINTON ADVISER JAMES CARVILLE A "POLITICAL HACK" 2020 candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders during the Democratic presidential primary debate at Drake University on in Des Moines on Jan. 14. Photo: Scott Olson/Getty ImagesSen. Bernie Sanders
responded on CNN Wednesday after a former Wall Street chief claimed he'd "ruin the economy"
if elected president and a veteran Democratic strategist said it'd bethe "end of days
" if he
were the party's nominee. DETAILS: On "Anderson Cooper 360° ," Sanders dismissed James Carville, a former adviser to ex-President Clinton, as a "political hack who said very terrible things ... against Barack Obama." Noting former Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein had "attacked" him, Sanders said: "We are taking on the establishment ... the grassroots movement that we are putting together of young people, of working people, of people of color, want real change."GO DEEPER:
* Bernie's Super Tuesday edge * Bernie Sanders' uneasy New Hampshire winKeep ReadingArrow
24
hours ago - Politics & PolicyRashaan Ayesh
BERNIE SANDERS' CAMPAIGN SAYS IT RAISED $25 MILLION IN JANUARY Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty Images Bernie Sanders' 2020 presidential campaign said Thursday that it raised $25 million in January. WHY IT MATTERS: It's a huge sum of money given that there is still a crowded field of Democratic candidates. In 2019's fourth quarter, Sanders pulled in $34.5 million — the most of any Democratic presidential hopeful — and he kicked off 2020 with a staggering $18.2 million incash-on-hand.
Go deeperArrow
Feb
6, 2020 - Politics & Policy Stef W. Kight , SaraFischer
BLOOMBERG'S SUPER TUESDAY SPLURGE Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty ImagesMichael Bloomberg
is funneling more than a third of his massive advertising war chest into the 14 states voting on Super Tuesday, data from AdvertisingAnalytics shows.
WHY IT MATTERS: While most candidates are focusing their dollars and efforts on early primary states, the Democratic presidential candidate has his eyes set on the states he thinks he can win — and those with the most delegates.Go deeperArrow
Feb
11, 2020 - Politics & Policy AXIOS GETS YOU SMARTER, FASTER WITH NEWS & INFORMATION THAT MATTERS. Copyright Axios Media, 2020ABOUT
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