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PREDICTWISESIGNAL BY PREDICTWISEBLOGTEAMPRESSCONTACTATTRIBUTION &
MEASUREMENT
PredictWise provides completely tailored audiences at the intersection of behaviors, attitudes, and personality. We help progressive decision-makers activate and grow their core audiences while finding their most high-yield targets. OUR TEAM — PREDICTWISE Tobi has a Ph.D. from Stanford University, and has a background in researching public opinion at the forefront of Machine Learning, leveraging a plethora of disparate data streams including: everything from cell-phone telemetry data to survey data to behavioral newsconsumption data.
SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters.PREDICTWISE BLOG
November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we should start to see a larger volume of political ads filling up our digitalscreens.
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Research. Combining Forecasts for Elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely. Fundamental Models for Forecasting Elections w/ Patrick Hummel. A comparison of forecasting methods: fundamentals, polling, prediction markets, and experts w/ Deepak Pathak and Miroslav Dudik. Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and theirBiases
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Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View all CAREERS — PREDICTWISE Competitive Salaries. PredictWise offers competitive salaries, including base pay and equity-based compensation.PREDICTWISE.COM
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FALSE EQUIVALENCY, FALSE LEGITIMACY, ASYMMETRIC There are two ways to gain legitimacy as a news organization covering US politics (1) be objective or (2) be balanced. Objective means that if one side is right and the other side is wrong, the reporter makes that clear in the article. But, that means making hard calls, and backing it up with detail PART TIME DATA ANALYST Do you want to help revolutionize digital targeting and winning the 2022 election for progressives? Do you want to have a massive short-term impact at scale?Then this is for you:PredictWise is looking for a part time data analyst, with the ability to transition to fulltime.
PREDICTWISESIGNAL BY PREDICTWISEBLOGTEAMPRESSCONTACTATTRIBUTION &MEASUREMENT
PredictWise provides completely tailored audiences at the intersection of behaviors, attitudes, and personality. We help progressive decision-makers activate and grow their core audiences while finding their most high-yield targets. OUR TEAM — PREDICTWISE Tobi has a Ph.D. from Stanford University, and has a background in researching public opinion at the forefront of Machine Learning, leveraging a plethora of disparate data streams including: everything from cell-phone telemetry data to survey data to behavioral newsconsumption data.
SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters.PREDICTWISE BLOG
November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we should start to see a larger volume of political ads filling up our digitalscreens.
PRESS & RESEARCH
Research. Combining Forecasts for Elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely. Fundamental Models for Forecasting Elections w/ Patrick Hummel. A comparison of forecasting methods: fundamentals, polling, prediction markets, and experts w/ Deepak Pathak and Miroslav Dudik. Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and theirBiases
PREDICTWISE
Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View all CAREERS — PREDICTWISE Competitive Salaries. PredictWise offers competitive salaries, including base pay and equity-based compensation.PREDICTWISE.COM
predictwise.com
FALSE EQUIVALENCY, FALSE LEGITIMACY, ASYMMETRIC There are two ways to gain legitimacy as a news organization covering US politics (1) be objective or (2) be balanced. Objective means that if one side is right and the other side is wrong, the reporter makes that clear in the article. But, that means making hard calls, and backing it up with detail PART TIME DATA ANALYST Do you want to help revolutionize digital targeting and winning the 2022 election for progressives? Do you want to have a massive short-term impact at scale?Then this is for you:PredictWise is looking for a part time data analyst, with the ability to transition to fulltime.
PREDICTWISE
Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View all CONTACT — PREDICTWISE Contact our experts. Contact us. If you would like to speak to our experts about PredictWise products & solutions, please fill out the form and we’ll contact you shortly.PREDICTWISE.COM
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PREDICTWISE: 20-FOR-20 The problem does not stop there. On many issues. Republicans have convinced a sizable chunk of Americans that a Republican administration serves their interests better, while in fact their policy preferences are much more in line with Democrats.Example: 81% of Americans support Medicare Buy-in, 57% of Americans disapprove of a healthcare market allowing insurance polices NOT covering pre PREDICTWISE SEGMENTATION & AUDIENCES TECHNOLOGY Targeting advertising on the basis of individual-level segmentations is not a new idea: other organizations have collected custom survey data – time- and cost-intensive, to create static segmentation of persuadable, as a one-size-fits-all solution forWWW.PREDICTWISE.COM
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FUNDAMENTAL MODEL PREDICTS ELECTORAL COLLEGE TIE Today, February 27, 2020, we release our fundamental Electoral College model for 2020. I want to emphasize that I ran the data without knowing what would happen: it PREDICTWISE CALIBRATED POLLING What did we do differently here? For one, we had a real-world outcome that we could calibrate against: the 2016 gubernatorial elections. That allowed us to address uncertainty in the turnout space by calibrating the space in such a way that it reproduced the “true” margin in the gubernatorial race 2016, assuming that the partisan breakdown of the Montana electorate had not changed from REPUBLICANS HATE THE CONSTITUTION This is an update to a piece I wrote in early 2018. Republicans, media, and sadly Democrats all seem to believe that Republicans are into the Constitution. THE DIGITAL CLASH OF DEMOCRATS VS REPUBLICANS BY GABRIELLE November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we shouldstart to
PREDICTWISESIGNAL BY PREDICTWISEBLOGTEAMPRESSCONTACTATTRIBUTION &MEASUREMENT
PredictWise provides completely tailored audiences at the intersection of behaviors, attitudes, and personality. We help progressive decision-makers activate and grow their core audiences while finding their most high-yield targets. “PredictWise has built a unique solution that allows for novel ways of looking at voters. SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters. Signal audiences are designed to produce high yields with data you can trust. Signal by PredictWise gives you complete access to all our audience models OUR TEAM — PREDICTWISE Giovanna is a Data Scientist switching careers after several years in Communications. She is a graduate from Flatiron School Data Science Bootcamp and has written on a variety of Data Science topics for Towards Data Science, The Startup, and Level Up Coding. Before joining PredictWise she has worked for clients such as Shutterstock, ListerinePREDICTWISE BLOG
November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we should start to see a larger volume of political ads filling up our digitalscreens.
PREDICTWISE
Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View allPRESS & RESEARCH
November 1, 2012 on New York Times. Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise – The Trail Video on October 19, 2012 on Reuters TV. Why the President Is Still a Heavy Favorite on the Prediction Markets October 12, 2012 on PBS NewsHour. Political Polls, Professors and Election Markets Predict the Presidential Race Video onOctober
PREDICTWISE: 20-FOR-20 Toward a Permanent Campaign: 20-For-20. To combat these dynamics, our PredictWise 20-For-20 vision centers around a permanent campaign, focusing on positive progressive messaging. Data Collection/Analytics: Continuous surveys with ad-hoc additions combined with behavioral data should be used to develop key attitudinal insights and value frames FALSE EQUIVALENCY, FALSE LEGITIMACY, ASYMMETRIC Balance creates perverse incentives in a two-party duopoly for one or both parties to become increasingly extreme in their policies and behavior. Generally this theory is rolled-up into false equivalency, but let me parse it into three related concepts: false equivalency, false legitimacy, and asymmetric accountability. PREDICTWISE SEGMENTATION & AUDIENCES TECHNOLOGY Targeting advertising on the basis of individual-level segmentations is not a new idea: other organizations have collected custom survey data – time- and cost-intensive, to create static segmentation of persuadable, as a one-size-fits-all solution for REPUBLICANS HATE THE CONSTITUTION Jan 18. Written By David Rothschild. This is an update to a piece I wrote in early 2018. Republicans, media, and sadly Democrats all seem to believe that Republicans are into the Constitution. But, they are not: Republicans hate the Constitution. Here is the full text of the Constitution. You should read it, it is not that long. PREDICTWISESIGNAL BY PREDICTWISEBLOGTEAMPRESSCONTACTATTRIBUTION &MEASUREMENT
PredictWise provides completely tailored audiences at the intersection of behaviors, attitudes, and personality. We help progressive decision-makers activate and grow their core audiences while finding their most high-yield targets. “PredictWise has built a unique solution that allows for novel ways of looking at voters. SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters. Signal audiences are designed to produce high yields with data you can trust. Signal by PredictWise gives you complete access to all our audience models OUR TEAM — PREDICTWISE Giovanna is a Data Scientist switching careers after several years in Communications. She is a graduate from Flatiron School Data Science Bootcamp and has written on a variety of Data Science topics for Towards Data Science, The Startup, and Level Up Coding. Before joining PredictWise she has worked for clients such as Shutterstock, ListerinePREDICTWISE BLOG
November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we should start to see a larger volume of political ads filling up our digitalscreens.
PREDICTWISE
Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View allPRESS & RESEARCH
November 1, 2012 on New York Times. Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise – The Trail Video on October 19, 2012 on Reuters TV. Why the President Is Still a Heavy Favorite on the Prediction Markets October 12, 2012 on PBS NewsHour. Political Polls, Professors and Election Markets Predict the Presidential Race Video onOctober
SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters. Signal audiences are designed to produce high yields with data you can trust. Signal by PredictWise gives you complete access to all our audience models CAREERS — PREDICTWISE Fully Remote. PredictWise is a fully remote company, our employees have the luxury to work from home from any location. CONTACT US – PREDICTWISE Contact Us. PredictWise is driven by the idea that person to person dialog can make a difference. A t-shirt is a pathway to discussion, so please get talking! Ask us 2020 MLB WORLD SERIES 2020 MLB World Series. Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets ( Betfair , PredictIt , Hypermind ), Bookie ( OddsChecker ). Click here for details of the data collection and aggregation process. Want some additional insight on the values? Research papers are at ResearchDMR or email David directly. We were unable to load Disqus. THE DIGITAL CLASH OF DEMOCRATS VS REPUBLICANS BY GABRIELLE Spending on Senate campaigns is expected to be down 14% to $789M in 2020, but with a record of $176M projected to go towards digital video online. Across all parties, $1.6B is the estimated digital video spend, much of which will be on Facebook and Google. Republicans are more flexible about their type of content and modes of reachingpeople.
PREDICTWISE CALIBRATED POLLING What did we do differently here? For one, we had a real-world outcome that we could calibrate against: the 2016 gubernatorial elections. That allowed us to address uncertainty in the turnout space by calibrating the space in such a way that it reproduced the “true” margin in the gubernatorial race 2016, assuming that the partisan breakdown of the Montana electorate had not changed from CALIBRATED POLLING: POST-MORTEM PredictWise Calibrated Polling explained . Late in the cycle, we introduced a new method we dubbed PredictWise Calibrated Polling.As a brief reminder, this is Calibrated Polling: As we have maintained through the cycle, estimating who people will vote for, conditional on them turning out, was easier than estimating the composition of the turnout composition of the electorate.FAQ – PREDICTWISE
Can I order in bulk?YES. Please email us through the contact page and we will be happy to set up your order.I'm going to a rally-- can you make a PredictWise shirt for me?Reach out to us via our contact page and tell us where you're going and we'll do our best to help you.Whatis
FUNDAMENTAL MODEL PREDICTS ELECTORAL COLLEGE TIE Fundamental Model Predicts Electoral College Tie. On February 16, 2012 Patrick Hummel and I released our fundamental model for the 2012 presidential election. A fundamental model does not include polling or market-data, but focuses on core indicators: past voting, presidential approval, incumbency, economic growth, and senatorial voting record. MARKETS.PREDICTWISE.COM markets.predictwise.com PREDICTWISESIGNAL BY PREDICTWISEBLOGTEAMPRESSCONTACTATTRIBUTION &MEASUREMENT
PredictWise provides completely tailored audiences at the intersection of behaviors, attitudes, and personality. We help progressive decision-makers activate and grow their core audiences while finding their most high-yield targets. “PredictWise has built a unique solution that allows for novel ways of looking at voters. SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters. Signal audiences are designed to produce high yields with data you can trust. Signal by PredictWise gives you complete access to all our audience models OUR TEAM — PREDICTWISE Giovanna is a Data Scientist switching careers after several years in Communications. She is a graduate from Flatiron School Data Science Bootcamp and has written on a variety of Data Science topics for Towards Data Science, The Startup, and Level Up Coding. Before joining PredictWise she has worked for clients such as Shutterstock, ListerinePREDICTWISE BLOG
November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we should start to see a larger volume of political ads filling up our digitalscreens.
PREDICTWISE
Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View allPRESS & RESEARCH
November 1, 2012 on New York Times. Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise – The Trail Video on October 19, 2012 on Reuters TV. Why the President Is Still a Heavy Favorite on the Prediction Markets October 12, 2012 on PBS NewsHour. Political Polls, Professors and Election Markets Predict the Presidential Race Video onOctober
PREDICTWISE: 20-FOR-20 Toward a Permanent Campaign: 20-For-20. To combat these dynamics, our PredictWise 20-For-20 vision centers around a permanent campaign, focusing on positive progressive messaging. Data Collection/Analytics: Continuous surveys with ad-hoc additions combined with behavioral data should be used to develop key attitudinal insights and value frames FALSE EQUIVALENCY, FALSE LEGITIMACY, ASYMMETRIC Balance creates perverse incentives in a two-party duopoly for one or both parties to become increasingly extreme in their policies and behavior. Generally this theory is rolled-up into false equivalency, but let me parse it into three related concepts: false equivalency, false legitimacy, and asymmetric accountability. PREDICTWISE SEGMENTATION & AUDIENCES TECHNOLOGY Targeting advertising on the basis of individual-level segmentations is not a new idea: other organizations have collected custom survey data – time- and cost-intensive, to create static segmentation of persuadable, as a one-size-fits-all solution for REPUBLICANS HATE THE CONSTITUTION Jan 18. Written By David Rothschild. This is an update to a piece I wrote in early 2018. Republicans, media, and sadly Democrats all seem to believe that Republicans are into the Constitution. But, they are not: Republicans hate the Constitution. Here is the full text of the Constitution. You should read it, it is not that long. PREDICTWISESIGNAL BY PREDICTWISEBLOGTEAMPRESSCONTACTATTRIBUTION &MEASUREMENT
PredictWise provides completely tailored audiences at the intersection of behaviors, attitudes, and personality. We help progressive decision-makers activate and grow their core audiences while finding their most high-yield targets. “PredictWise has built a unique solution that allows for novel ways of looking at voters. SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters. Signal audiences are designed to produce high yields with data you can trust. Signal by PredictWise gives you complete access to all our audience models OUR TEAM — PREDICTWISE Giovanna is a Data Scientist switching careers after several years in Communications. She is a graduate from Flatiron School Data Science Bootcamp and has written on a variety of Data Science topics for Towards Data Science, The Startup, and Level Up Coding. Before joining PredictWise she has worked for clients such as Shutterstock, ListerinePREDICTWISE BLOG
November is just around the corner and campaigns are gearing up for the ad war, with an ever-increasing focus on the digital space. As campaigns start to shift from a fundraising focus to a strategy focused more on persuasion and finally to get-out-the-vote, we should start to see a larger volume of political ads filling up our digitalscreens.
PREDICTWISE
Official PredictWise 2020 T-Shirt. Regular price $32.00. View allPRESS & RESEARCH
November 1, 2012 on New York Times. Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise – The Trail Video on October 19, 2012 on Reuters TV. Why the President Is Still a Heavy Favorite on the Prediction Markets October 12, 2012 on PBS NewsHour. Political Polls, Professors and Election Markets Predict the Presidential Race Video onOctober
PREDICTWISE: 20-FOR-20 Toward a Permanent Campaign: 20-For-20. To combat these dynamics, our PredictWise 20-For-20 vision centers around a permanent campaign, focusing on positive progressive messaging. Data Collection/Analytics: Continuous surveys with ad-hoc additions combined with behavioral data should be used to develop key attitudinal insights and value frames FALSE EQUIVALENCY, FALSE LEGITIMACY, ASYMMETRIC Balance creates perverse incentives in a two-party duopoly for one or both parties to become increasingly extreme in their policies and behavior. Generally this theory is rolled-up into false equivalency, but let me parse it into three related concepts: false equivalency, false legitimacy, and asymmetric accountability. PREDICTWISE SEGMENTATION & AUDIENCES TECHNOLOGY Targeting advertising on the basis of individual-level segmentations is not a new idea: other organizations have collected custom survey data – time- and cost-intensive, to create static segmentation of persuadable, as a one-size-fits-all solution for REPUBLICANS HATE THE CONSTITUTION Jan 18. Written By David Rothschild. This is an update to a piece I wrote in early 2018. Republicans, media, and sadly Democrats all seem to believe that Republicans are into the Constitution. But, they are not: Republicans hate the Constitution. Here is the full text of the Constitution. You should read it, it is not that long. SIGNAL BY PREDICTWISE Signal By PredictWise. Signal enables campaigns to build scalable customized audiences based on real-world behaviors, attitudes, and personality traits on 250 million eligible voters. Signal audiences are designed to produce high yields with data you can trust. Signal by PredictWise gives you complete access to all our audience models CAREERS — PREDICTWISE Fully Remote. PredictWise is a fully remote company, our employees have the luxury to work from home from any location. CONTACT US – PREDICTWISE Contact Us. PredictWise is driven by the idea that person to person dialog can make a difference. A t-shirt is a pathway to discussion, so please get talking! Ask us 2020 MLB WORLD SERIES 2020 MLB World Series. Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets ( Betfair , PredictIt , Hypermind ), Bookie ( OddsChecker ). Click here for details of the data collection and aggregation process. Want some additional insight on the values? Research papers are at ResearchDMR or email David directly. We were unable to load Disqus. THE DIGITAL CLASH OF DEMOCRATS VS REPUBLICANS BY GABRIELLE Spending on Senate campaigns is expected to be down 14% to $789M in 2020, but with a record of $176M projected to go towards digital video online. Across all parties, $1.6B is the estimated digital video spend, much of which will be on Facebook and Google. Republicans are more flexible about their type of content and modes of reachingpeople.
PREDICTWISE CALIBRATED POLLING What did we do differently here? For one, we had a real-world outcome that we could calibrate against: the 2016 gubernatorial elections. That allowed us to address uncertainty in the turnout space by calibrating the space in such a way that it reproduced the “true” margin in the gubernatorial race 2016, assuming that the partisan breakdown of the Montana electorate had not changed from CALIBRATED POLLING: POST-MORTEM PredictWise Calibrated Polling explained . Late in the cycle, we introduced a new method we dubbed PredictWise Calibrated Polling.As a brief reminder, this is Calibrated Polling: As we have maintained through the cycle, estimating who people will vote for, conditional on them turning out, was easier than estimating the composition of the turnout composition of the electorate.FAQ – PREDICTWISE
Can I order in bulk?YES. Please email us through the contact page and we will be happy to set up your order.I'm going to a rally-- can you make a PredictWise shirt for me?Reach out to us via our contact page and tell us where you're going and we'll do our best to help you.Whatis
FUNDAMENTAL MODEL PREDICTS ELECTORAL COLLEGE TIE Fundamental Model Predicts Electoral College Tie. On February 16, 2012 Patrick Hummel and I released our fundamental model for the 2012 presidential election. A fundamental model does not include polling or market-data, but focuses on core indicators: past voting, presidential approval, incumbency, economic growth, and senatorial voting record. MARKETS.PREDICTWISE.COM markets.predictwise.com* About
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We provide rapid, comprehensive insights into public opinion to help change-makers better understand, activate and grow their audience. Data-driven polling, change-making insights POLLING AND ANALYTICS IN THE AGE OF BIG DATA, CLIENTS SHOULD HAVE ACCESS TO A BASELINE OF ROBUST, ACTIONABLE DATA THAT INFORMS THE CREATION OF THEIR CUSTOM POLLS, AND GENERATES THE DEEPEST AUDIENCE INSIGHTS FOR EVERY DOLLAR SPENT. OUR DATA-DRIVEN POLLING LEVERAGES DIGITAL IN A WAY THAT NO OTHER SERVICE DOES TODAY, BY PROVIDING ACCESS TO AN INTERACTIVE INSIGHTS TOOL WITH BEST-IN-CLASS CUSTOM POLLING AND ANALYTICSSERVICES.
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CENTERED ON EXPERTLY DESIGNED QUESTIONS AND STATE-OF THE ART DATA COLLECTION METHODS, WE PROVIDE ACTIONABLE INSIGHTS WITHIN DAYS. WE COLLECT CUSTOM DATA AND INCORPORATE OUR BASELINE DATA TO CREATE SEGMENTS FOR YOUR ORGANIZATION, TELLING YOU WHO TO TARGET TO GROW YOUR AUDIENCE MOST EFFECTIVELY. AND, DYNAMIC SEGMENTATION ALLOWS YOU TO TRACK ROI IN REAL TIME, ENABLING YOU TO FINETUNE YOUR STRATEGYAPPROPRIATELY.
THE PREDICTWISE DIFFERENCE UNPRECEDENTED SPEED, DEPTH & GRANULARITY BE UP AND RUNNING WITH SAME-DAY POLLING. AND, INTEGRATION WITH OUR BASELINE DATA MEANS WE CAN PROVIDE DEEP *AND* FRESH INSIGHTS IN RECORD TIME DOWN TO THE HOUSEHOLD LEVEL IF NEEDED, OR AT DESIGNATED MARKET AREA FOR COMMERCIAL CLIENTS, MAKING IT MORE ACTIONABLE THAN ANY OTHER SOLUTION ON THE MARKET TODAY. DYNAMIC & COST-EFFECTIVE OUR TECHNOLOGY ALLOWS FOR DYNAMIC AUDIENCE SEGMENTATION WHICH PROVIDES ULTIMATE FLEXIBILITY OVER TIME. YOU CAN EASILY REPURPOSE AND RECONSTITUTE AUDIENCE SEGMENTS BY TYING TO HUNDREDS OF ADDITIONAL ISSUE AND VALUE FRAMES AS YOUR ORGANIZATIONAL OBJECTIVES CHANGE, SAVING YOU TIME AND THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS IN RESEARCH COSTS. STATE OF THE ART POLLING & ANALYTICS OUR DATA COLLECTION LEVERAGES STATE-OF-THE-ART RANDOM MOBILE DEVICE ENGAGEMENT TO REACH REPRESENTATIVE RESPONDENTS FAST, AND OUR ALGORITHMS PARSE OUT THE NOISE THAT MOST TRADITIONAL APPROACHES INCLUDE AND INSTEAD FOCUS ON THE “TRUE SWINGS” SO YOU CAN REACT TO REAL DYNAMICS ON THE GROUND.REAL-TIME ROI
WE ARE THE ONLY SOLUTION CONDUCTING ONGOING POPULATION LEVEL SURVEYS TO TRACK DYNAMICS IN PUBLIC OPINION OVER TIME, ALLOWING OUR CLIENTS TO MEASURE IMPACT AND ROI.Get in Touch
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"PREDICTWISE HAS BUILT A UNIQUE SOLUTION THAT ALLOWS FOR NOVEL WAYS OF LOOKING AT VOTERS. CUSTOMERS WILL BE ABLE TO MAKE DECISIONS IN NEW AND INNOVATIVE WAYS, AND ULTIMATELY BE MORE EFFECTIVE IN THEIR POLITICAL AND ISSUE OUTREACH." – Tom Bonier, CEO of TargetSmart "PREDICTWISE POLLING AND ANALYTICS PROVIDES SOME OF THE FASTEST, MOST ACCURATE AND ACTIONABLE INSIGHTS PROGRESSIVE ORGANIZATIONS CAN FIND ON THE MARKET TODAY.” – Reed Shaw, Director of Operations and Partnerships at OpenLabs / Future Forward USANEWS & UPDATES
PROGRESSIVE PENDULUM: KINDLING KEY WEST Tobias Konitzer, October 24, 2018 Today, we will zoom in on the 26th Congressional District in Florida: Relatively educated, relatively poor district, with large number of Hispanics, where President Trump is vastly unpopular. This district sees Democratic candidate Debbie Mucarsel-Powell squaring off against incumbent Carlos Curbelo. The PredictWise Progressive Pendulum has identified some openings on progressive messages around gun regulation, Dreamers, and corporate taxes, but Democratic strategists need to take into account a more conservative constituency on social issues, given the vast number of Catholics here. ContinueReading
THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS ARE NO SPECTATOR SPORT: TRY OUR NEW INTERACTIVE TOOL TO FIND OUT FOR YOURSELF Tobias Konitzer/David Rothschild, October 11, 2018 We have said it over and over again – turnout matters when it comes to control of the House of Representatives! Of
course, turnout is only part of the game. There are two aspects to elections: who will turnout to vote (turnout) and, conditional on turnout, who will voters vote for (preference)? So, why so focus on turnout, you ask? Especially in this cycle, predicting sentiment conditional on turnout, while certainly not easy, is at least easIER. Continue Reading HOW WILL THEY VOTE? DISSECTING DIRECTIONAL VOTE AMONG MILLENNIALS,MINORITIES
Tobias Konitzer, October 10, 2018 We have recently discussed the importance of turnout,
and we firmly believe that turnout will determine the outcome of this election. But, this is not to say that direction of vote conditional on turnout is not important. A lot of media attention is spent on White men without a college degree,
or suburban, college-educated, white women.
Other key demographics, that arguably receive less attention, are Milennials and African-Americans. Both demographics have been reliable Democratic blocks in recent midterms. Continue ReadingPARTNERS
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