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PHYSICS OF THE MIND
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* Super Bowl 53 – Low scores, Defensive duke-out! * Predicting Super Bowl LIII * In a world of content, context holds the trump card! * Technology, Devices, Information and oh yeah, privacy! * The end of (in)glorious workaholismRECENT COMMENTS
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SUPER BOWL 53 – LOW SCORES, DEFENSIVE DUKE-OUT! 4th February, 2019 · inspiredblogger · 236Comments
This is not an excuse. I am neither smart enough nor am I Nostradamus’ protege to have predicted what happened today at Super Bowl LIII. There is no way I could have conjured this game as one of my probabilistic models. The game between the top 2 teams, played at the highest level, took 53 minutes to find the first touchdown of the game, the defense on both sides fought like gladiators and ended up creating the lowest score in Super Bowl history. It was an exhausting game, even for the fans, definitely for the defense because they seemed to be on the field way too long and exhausting for the offense because they were on the sidelines for too long in the game. Tom Brady did not seem his amazing best but he did not need to be that guy. The relentless pressure by the Patriots, the physical onslaught on Goff and the baffling decision to not beef up the coverage on Edelman, even when he was single-handedly racking up yards more than the entire Rams offense combined as factors to keep the New England Patriots in the game, who kept searching for that elusive crack that will let them through and they found it in the middle of the 4th quarter….and everyone, including the Rams knew at that time that this was almost done, unless a miracle came by in the waning seconds. The New England Patriots are too disciplined to let a miracle slip by them and the game ended just that way. It is easy to sit back and watch the game on TV and wonder why this play was not executed well or that call was not made. It is easy to collect numbers and build a probabilistic model to call the winner and put it on social media. But it is unimaginably difficult to deal with the complexities of the game on the field and make those split-second calls that make or break a game. We cannot take anything away fromeither team!
In the end, the New England Patriots knew where they were going and kept consistently tapping into their vault of experience to find answers to keep going towards the end zone and that paid off for them. As for the Los Angeles Rams, they end with a great season as a defense powerhouse that can (almost) stop anyone. Sadly for them, the 2018-19 New England Patriots are not one of them. This is just the beginning for that awesome team. Congratulations New England Patriots, the Super Bowl champions! Bravo Los Angeles Rams!! Posted in Uncategorized | PREDICTING SUPER BOWL LIII 3rd February, 2019 · inspiredblogger · 2 Comments Super Bowl LIII is here! To say that I was conflicted about my data model results and tossed and turned about it till this morning is a testament to how close these teams are positioned for a win and how little there is to separate between them. A resurgent New England Patriots, replete with confidence that experience is key to success will face an absolutely exciting Los Angeles Rams, who have become the epitome of young power in the 2018-19 season. But there can be only one winner! By the tiniest of margins (and this margin is so low, it is within the margin of error of my data models), the projected winner of Super Bowl LIII is… THE LOS ANGELES RAMS Tom Brady is one of the greatest QBs of the game, arguably the best. Age has no impact on him as he figuratively and literally stands tall against the opposition and his keen football mind sees plays before anyone can fathom such moves. It is this power that has taken him and his team above any other team on this stage for many, many years. However, there is something different this time. In the 2018-19 season, one thing stood clearer with every passing game. Brady needs the team as much as his team needs him. His days of pulling his team through by his sheer determination and capabilities are history. He may have 4 more years left in him, but not at the level he has performed in the past. While he has the amazing Gronkowski who can get free anywhere and anytime, the best place kicker in Gostowski, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are coming into some headwind and that is slowing them down a few knots. This year, they are facing the Los Angeles Rams who need just those few knots of slowdown to power through to victory. There is not one single factor that defines the Los Angeles Rams’ spectacular success this year. They have the greatest Offensive Line this year, Todd Gurley is fantastic, Aaron Donald is unstoppable and Goff is one of the most patient yet resilient young QBs you can ask for, not to mention their greatest asset, Head Coach Sean McVay who makes his debut as the youngest head coach in Super Bowl history. They seem to have everything and lack only one thing…..fear! That lack of fear, even, rather especially, in their Head Coach’s mind, clinchesit for them.
The fearless Los Angeles Rams led by McVay, are best positioned to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy and make it their crowning glory for anamazing season!
In many ways, this Super Bowl is a microcosm of the entire season. Youth vs Experience, Foundational thinking vs Creative ideas….and as we step into the big day, this exercise of finding the potential winner of what is almost certainly to be a close game has been fun and painful, at the same time…..but like the prediction, fun wins by atiny margin!
Go Los Angeles Rams! Thank you New England Patriots! Posted in Predicting the Future|
IN A WORLD OF CONTENT, CONTEXT HOLDS THE TRUMP CARD!4th April, 2015 ·
inspiredblogger · Leave acomment
We live in a world of key-value pairs. Every person, object and shred of content is paired with innumerable attributes that makes up for a database whose size obviously beats human comprehension. The race has, understandably so, moved into being able to harness this information and serve it up to the users when the user asks for it. Therein liesthe next battle.
The key phrase of the last paragraph was “when the user asks for it”. Systems at this time, while appearing to understand the user are largely placing the burden of knowing what to ask for, back on the user. From Google Search to Siri, we live in a world of amazing technological growth and yet, we have not gotten nearly close in making the journey from the science of pairing and annotation to the art of understanding the context of the user’s mind. Big Data remains an abstract concept to end-users primarily due to our inability in making this journey. This is where the key to tomorrow’s success is to be found. Let us take a simple example – a sentence as simple as “The chocolate brown truck went fast on the road”. When you tell this sentence to an astute ten year old kid, he/she will, in a few attempts say UPS. Naturally so, because the human mind has associated a fast moving chocolate brown truck to UPS. However, when you enter the same sentence in a search engine, UPS is not one of the top search results (and I am using top very liberally). How is it possible that a ten year old kid has built the knowledge and capability that outsmarts the brainpower of numerous data scientists and organizations? The answer lies in the ability to understand the context. In this case, the mapping is not between chocolate brown truck and UPS but that it is fast moving as well. I am not saying that this is a dud. Associating a verb and adverb (fast moving) with a key value pair (chocolate brown truck and UPS) is not easy and is wrought with so many inconsistencies when you extend it, it is going to be incredibly hard to avoid misses that will drown out successes in this effort. To this, when you add the ever-growing axis of the Internet of Things, it becomes a puzzle whose boundaries are incredibly hard to fathom. But then, when has the awesomeness of a good problem ever stopped the human mind? We live in a reactive world of computing. We always burden the user with this question of “Ask me anything and I will find an answer”. We cannot scale up to the users’ expectations by repeating that question through various mediums (search engine, personal assistant etc.). Sooner than later, we have to get truly predictive about the users’ intent and then, we can build intelligent systems to get proactive about the best solution for the question that the user has not yet come up with, in his/her mind. If we have to make that transformation, we have to leap forward from today’s world of content into tomorrow’s world of context. That is truly the trump card of tomorrow’s computing success! Posted in Technolgy | TECHNOLOGY, DEVICES, INFORMATION AND OH YEAH, PRIVACY! 12th February, 2015 · inspiredblogger · Leave acomment
In the world of technology, software and devices, we are standing at a precipice. Like any precipice, the view is awe-inspiring, inviting and full of potential. It seems a waste of time to just stand and think while every ounce of thinking pushes the mind to take a leap. But then again, like any leap out of any precipice, it can either fill our wings and back with fresh, powerful winds or gravity could take us down to hurt and pain that the mind shudders to fathom. Before we leap, let us take a step back. The age of connected devices is not coming, it has already arrived. It is not a vision into the near future, it is today’s reality. The shock waves of this transformation have already come and settled in and we now have to be ready to become the prepared, informed end-users of this new reality. It is time to ask the critical questions and know when to get back onto the precipice and thrust forward for the leap. Such momentous transformations have a similar metamorphosis. First, the breadth of technology is explored. Next, the depth of the expanse is tested and finally, the firewalls are erected. That is an exhilarating ride…if you are in the middle of that exploration. For an end-user who sits on top for this ride, it could be a roller coaster, the kind that could malfunction and hurt the rider. It behooves the implementers to make this transformation not from the breadth to depth to firewalls but to go with the firewalls as the breadth is explored and make the depths exhilarating, not painful. The Internet of Things is going to be a quantum leap of proportions that we have not experienced before because of five aspects. DESIGN: First among them is Design. No matter where we come from, it is impossible to not acknowledge that Apple has transformed our Design thinking approach. Success in this realm comes only if we take painstaking efforts in designing a pleasing solution set. Like it or not, the end-users are not going to wear, carry or use devices if it does not make them look trendy and feel savvy. For the first time, it is not just the hardware or just the software but the appearance of the hardware and the efficiency of the software that becomes the first yardstick that will be used by end-users to measure thistransformation.
INFORMATION: I hate the term Big Data. It gives the impression that there is a big world of data that the end-users can wade into and find what they want and need. We cannot thrust end-users into a sea of data. We have to usher them into a world of information and that is the only measure of success in this aspect. End-users are quickly moving away from searching for information into asking for information. It is not the same verb and it is critical that any design makes the full effort into trying to understand the needs of the end-user…and provide targeted information, not a sea of data. CONTEXT, NOT JUST CONTENT: We are past the Search engine era where just content ruled the realm. It is not enough to provide a sea of content, even if it is information pertinent to the user. This has been the weakest link in the age of computing. We have never pursued understanding context with the same vigor as we have raced to catalog the world into a sea of data. The result of this pursuit has put us in front of the mountain called Big Data without the tools of human context. We have techniques to scale this mountain but not the right tools to make our step stick into the ground. The human mind, which understands context better than any other living being in this world, maybe this universe, has not found a way to make software understandit.
FORGET REACTION, WE NEED TO PREDICT: Anyone can react to a need. We reacted to the need to feed by hunting and cultivating and thus gave rise to civilizations. Civilizations gave rise to countries. Countries formalized trade and sustenance. We know the trait of reaction so well that it has become a reflex action. We know to predict what we ourselves need and that has helped us minimize the sudden impact of reaction. We know to look for what we want before we need it. That has been the bedrock of technology. What we need to now do is to algorithmically predict what the end-users wants beyond their needs. And prediction becomes reality when we understand the context. Context is clearly understood when we provide information and not data. Information is given to us only when we please the end-user with thebest design.
SO, IS IT SECURE? This question almost always hits us sooner than we can imagine. Technologists always think that there is time to react to this question and almost always, we find out through painful breaches like the Target breach or the currently unfolding Anthem breach that we don’t have the luxury of time to react. The Christmas Day attack on Sony PlayStation and Xbox One shows that even if we have the luxury of time, the impact which is the product of damage and the impending risk, is painful and severe. Scrambling for a response at that time is not the best option – just ask my angry son when he could not play his new game on the Xbox. Security cannot be an after-thought, not when we are looking at an expanse as wide as everything on us and around us communicating with each other for us and scarily, trying to find out what we are going to comprehend next. That is the reality of a secure world of the Internet of Devices. ABOVE IT ALL IS RESPECT FOR PRIVACY: Google Glass was a response to scientific fantasy. A glass that tells us everything about everything in front of us is something dreamt out of Star Trek. Suddenly it is reality. It supposedly has all the ingredients of success. WRONG. Google Glass has a fatal flaw – enough to singularly destroy it. It’s failure to respect privacy. It is a costly lesson, not just for Google but for the entire industry. We are humans of a society, but we treasure and guard our own privacy much beyond the coolest implementation of the coolest fantasy. Any implementation of Internet or Internet of Things has to respect that fire-line of privacy and integrate the acknowledgement and willingness of the end-user to share information. That acknowledgement trumps design. It supersedes the urgency of transforming data into information. It is the core of context. It is the first lesson of predictive and proactive analysis. It is this fire-line that will separate the successful ones from thefailed efforts.
A mere year ago, we would not have predicted that the Windows operating system would be given away for free. Yet, that is what Windows 10 is all about. We would not have predicted the end of Google Glass. Yet, that is the shocking realization of the day. We would not have predicted that, for the first time, we will look at wearables with nervous excitement – not just the childlike emotion of excitement but the adult, human emotion of tepidity, of nervousness at what awaits us when we take that next step. It is a new frontier for technology and it is like nothing we have faced before – because it is not just about the most superior algorithm or the best data structure or even the foremost of design thinking…but it is all that and the powerful undercurrent called human emotion and thinking. As human beings, we are in the constant pursuit of a better tomorrow. America taught the world that the pursuit of happiness is the cornerstone of successful enterprise. The emotional, technical and design struggle to understand and respect privacy is not going to be won in a few iterations of the Internet of Things or the world of connected devices. It is a continuing transition and as inquisitive minds, we are going to constantly touch, feel the heat, retract, recoup and redesign to the changing world. That difficult trek should not and will not detract us. But like any responsible trekker, we should research, understand and plan this awesome climb. And when we are doing climbing it, we will, again, find ourselves at the precipice of this awesome view. And if we would have done our homework, if we would have packed the right gear, if we are truly ready, then, we should step up to the precipice and take the leap into the amazing world of information, of devices, of human imagination. Posted in Technolgy | THE END OF (IN)GLORIOUS WORKAHOLISM 7th February, 2015 · inspiredblogger · 1 Comment When you search for the definition of addiction on the Internet, the first line in the Wikipedia article states “Addiction is a state characterized by compulsive engagement in rewarding stimuli, despite adverse consequences”. Reading that once and then once again did not diminish the gut-wrenching punch of those words. Addiction is, like the definition says, a state of mind that persists despite adverse consequences. Thankfully, that is when the society of humans comes around – to warn us of the perils of compulsive engagement and to work to reverse the impending tailspin – be it addiction to alcohol, to smoking products and so on. However, there is one form of addiction that escapes most radars until it is nearly too late – and that isaddiction to work.
I am a recovering workaholic. As simple as that statement sounds, it has been one of the hardest of discoveries. A discovery that came when I had almost found myself staring down a cliff risking everything and everyone around me. This blog was a casualty of that addiction to work. And while I have managed to get my boat steady, I know that this is not a conclusive victory, rather it is a lifeline. My ability to keep steady comes from my willpower to stay close to this lifeline. If there is ever a sobering thought, that is definitely one. What could be wrong with a guy who wants to work hard? Why is working harder than yesterday ever going to be a problem of this magnitude? The answer is simple. Unlike all other addictions, this one shreds the ability of the human mind to be creative, to be imaginative and above all, to be social. We are endowed with amazing abilities. The power to write, the strength to discover, the ability to inspire and that list of abilities goes on and on. Workaholism is the one powerful fog that can cloud out those abilities into a running, seemingly endless list of difficult yet mundane tasks. The mind gets onto a treadmill and never stops running, be it in the same place. While it may seem glorious, nothing could ever be more inglorious an addiction as theaddiction to work.
As the title of this post suggests, that run on the treadmill has ended for me. I am humbled that I am able to write these words and look back with a sigh of relief; I am overjoyed that my friends, my family, my inspiration is intact and I feel reborn. I am ready to fill the unforgiving minute with sixty seconds worth of distance run. I am ready to be me again! Posted in Discovering myself |PAGES
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