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PEAK OIL BARREL
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for April 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is March 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). Figure 1.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel.. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM. After the production charts, an analysis of three EIA monthly reports that project future US production is provided. MAY 2021 – PEAK OIL BARREL The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for May 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is April 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). INDONESIA – PEAK OIL BARREL Recent Posts. Annual Reserve Revisions Part III: Larger Independents; Open Thread Non-Petroleum, June 5, 2021; US March Oil Production Rebounds Strongly From Winter Storm Low OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MAY 29, 2021 New Hollywood film ‘Dark Waters’ highlights the shocking reality of PFAS pollution “PFAS (per- and polyfluorinated alkyl substances) are known as the ‘forever chemicals’ as they do not break down easily and will persist in the environment for decades.PFAS are used in a wide range of consumer products, including non-stick pans, cosmetics, waterproof clothing, grease-proof paper and ANNUAL RESERVE CHANGES PART I: EIA AND SUPER-MAJORS Super-Major Reserves. The largest IOCs (with the I variously standing for integrated, international or independent) are Chevron, ExxonMobil, BP and Shell, which can have various and changing rankings depending on market worth, reserve holdings orRON PATTERSON
Ron Patterson 144 Comments. All OPEC data for this report is from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. All data is through October 2020 and is in thousand barrels per day. The combined production of all OPEC nations was up 322,000 barrels per day in October. However, that was after September production had been revised downward by 41,000 barrelsPEAK OIL BARREL
Current oil reserves are 3.569 Gb, which is 15% of the estimated original reserve (aka ultimate recovery). BOEM give the reserves as 2P (i.e. proven and probable) but they look very conservative and are actually lower than the EIA numbers, shown below, given for proven only and based on the operators own numbers, although the two areconverging.
CARRYING CAPACITY, OVERSHOOT AND SPECIES EXTINCTION Overshoot: When a population surpasses its carrying capacity it enters a condition known as overshoot. Because carrying capacity is defined as the maximum population that an environment can maintain indefinitely, overshoot must by definition be temporary. Populations always decline to (or below) the carrying capacity.PEAK OIL BARREL
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for April 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is March 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). Figure 1.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states. MAY 2021 – PEAK OIL BARREL The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for May 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is April 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d).PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel.. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM. After the production charts, an analysis of three EIA monthly reports that project future US production is provided. INDONESIA – PEAK OIL BARREL Recent Posts. Annual Reserve Revisions Part III: Larger Independents; Open Thread Non-Petroleum, June 5, 2021; US March Oil Production Rebounds Strongly From Winter Storm Low OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MAY 29, 2021 New Hollywood film ‘Dark Waters’ highlights the shocking reality of PFAS pollution “PFAS (per- and polyfluorinated alkyl substances) are known as the ‘forever chemicals’ as they do not break down easily and will persist in the environment for decades.PFAS are used in a wide range of consumer products, including non-stick pans, cosmetics, waterproof clothing, grease-proof paper andRON PATTERSON
Ron Patterson 144 Comments. All OPEC data for this report is from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. All data is through October 2020 and is in thousand barrels per day. The combined production of all OPEC nations was up 322,000 barrels per day in October. However, that was after September production had been revised downward by 41,000 barrels ANNUAL RESERVE CHANGES PART I: EIA AND SUPER-MAJORS Super-Major Reserves. The largest IOCs (with the I variously standing for integrated, international or independent) are Chevron, ExxonMobil, BP and Shell, which can have various and changing rankings depending on market worth, reserve holdings orPEAK OIL BARREL
Current oil reserves are 3.569 Gb, which is 15% of the estimated original reserve (aka ultimate recovery). BOEM give the reserves as 2P (i.e. proven and probable) but they look very conservative and are actually lower than the EIA numbers, shown below, given for proven only and based on the operators own numbers, although the two areconverging.
CARRYING CAPACITY, OVERSHOOT AND SPECIES EXTINCTION Overshoot: When a population surpasses its carrying capacity it enters a condition known as overshoot. Because carrying capacity is defined as the maximum population that an environment can maintain indefinitely, overshoot must by definition be temporary. Populations always decline to (or below) the carrying capacity.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.PEAK OIL BARREL
Current oil reserves are 3.569 Gb, which is 15% of the estimated original reserve (aka ultimate recovery). BOEM give the reserves as 2P (i.e. proven and probable) but they look very conservative and are actually lower than the EIA numbers, shown below, given for proven only and based on the operators own numbers, although the two areconverging.
MAY 2021 – PEAK OIL BARREL The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for May 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is April 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d).PEAK OIL BARREL
A guest post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to January 2021. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia, Norway and China is used to provide a short term outlook for future output andPEAK OIL BARREL
The Libra (now Mero) extended test FPSO came on line in November but had achieved only 11 kbpd. Pre-salt production exceeded 50% for the first time. It was 1356 kbpd, or 52%, in December compared to 1262, or 46%, for December 2016. There were 85 pre-salt wells up from 68, but average production for each had fallen from 19 kbpd to 16, which is MEXICO – PEAK OIL BARREL Recent Posts. Annual Reserve Revisions Part III: Larger Independents; Open Thread Non-Petroleum, June 5, 2021; US March Oil Production Rebounds Strongly From Winter Storm LowPEAK OIL BARREL
The latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is out with production numbers for December 2017. All data is in thousand barrels per day. Total OPEC crude only production was up by 42,400 barrels per day in December. However, that was after November production was revised downward by 75,000 bpd. So OPEC production was actually down 33,000bpd from
WORLDWIDE DRILLING PRODUCTIVITY REPORT The EIA publishes what they call a Drilling Productivity Report in which they claim that each rig is getting more productive, that is each rig produces just a little more oil each month than it did the previous month. But over the long haul, I find that the exact opposite is true. In every place in the world, each rig produces a little lessoil every year.
PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by Islandboy. The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on July 24th, with data for May 2018. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and the year to date.AFRICA IN PERIL
The population of Africa, in 2016, was 1.22 billion. The UN estimates that in 2100 the population of Africa will be about 4.45 billion. Notice that is an increase of about 300 million from their estimate just five years ago. But their 2100 population estimate has doubled since theit 1998 estimate.PEAK OIL BARREL
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for April 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is March 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). Figure 1.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states. OPEC UPDATE, MAY 2021 The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for May 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is April 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d).PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan Crude and Condensate Reserves. BOEM remaining C&C reserve estimates for GoM increased by 649 mmbbls for 2016 (i.e. to 31st December 2016). This was 112% reserve replacement and followed a similar growth of 618 mmbbls (111% reserve replacement)for 2015.
US OIL OUTPUT CONTINUES ITS STEADY DECLINE Today’s June 1 update shows the continuous slow decline in oil output from US oil fields from November 2019 to March 2020. March output was 12,716 kb/d, down by 28 kb/d from February’s 12,744 kb/d. Also it should be noted that February’s output estimate from the EIA’s earlier May report, 12,833 kb/d, has been revised to 12,744kb/d, a
OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MAY 15, 2021 Share of non-fossil new truck sales in the US needs to reach 10% in 2024 and 49% in 2028. Solar PV power output needs to grow from an estimated 100 TWh in 2021 to 2200 TWh in 2030. Wind power output needs to grow from an estimated 400 TWh in 2021 to 2500 TWh in 2030. Some 1500 GW of solar capacity and 700 GW of wind capacity needs to beadded
PERMIAN BASIN- THE DEATH OF TIGHT OIL HAS BEEN GREATLY Output increased in the Permian Basin by roughly a factor of 4 from 2015 to 2020 (from 1000 kbo/d to 4000 kbo/d). My scenario has output increasing from about 4000 kbo/d in 2023 to 8000 kb/d (a factor of 2 increase) in 2036, so 13 years for a doubling vsPEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan EIA Reserves. EIA provides estimates of proved reserves based on information from the E&Ps on form EIA-23 for crude only, and also shows the categories for changes (discoveries, production, revisions etc.). This data with updates for 2016 has been due since November but so far has been twice delayed. OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MAY 22, 2021 05/23/2021 at 10:34 am. After one minute of research on Google, here is “just one”. “In the long term, the Volkswagen Group has set itself a very ambitious goal: to recycle 97 percent of all raw materials. Today, it is 53 percent, and the pilot plant in Salzgitter will bring this figure up to 72 percent. CARRYING CAPACITY, OVERSHOOT AND SPECIES EXTINCTION Overshoot: When a population surpasses its carrying capacity it enters a condition known as overshoot. Because carrying capacity is defined as the maximum population that an environment can maintain indefinitely, overshoot must by definition be temporary. Populations always decline to (or below) the carrying capacity.PEAK OIL BARREL
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for April 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is March 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). Figure 1.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states. OPEC UPDATE, MAY 2021 The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for May 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is April 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d).PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan Crude and Condensate Reserves. BOEM remaining C&C reserve estimates for GoM increased by 649 mmbbls for 2016 (i.e. to 31st December 2016). This was 112% reserve replacement and followed a similar growth of 618 mmbbls (111% reserve replacement)for 2015.
US OIL OUTPUT CONTINUES ITS STEADY DECLINE Today’s June 1 update shows the continuous slow decline in oil output from US oil fields from November 2019 to March 2020. March output was 12,716 kb/d, down by 28 kb/d from February’s 12,744 kb/d. Also it should be noted that February’s output estimate from the EIA’s earlier May report, 12,833 kb/d, has been revised to 12,744kb/d, a
OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MAY 15, 2021 Share of non-fossil new truck sales in the US needs to reach 10% in 2024 and 49% in 2028. Solar PV power output needs to grow from an estimated 100 TWh in 2021 to 2200 TWh in 2030. Wind power output needs to grow from an estimated 400 TWh in 2021 to 2500 TWh in 2030. Some 1500 GW of solar capacity and 700 GW of wind capacity needs to beadded
PERMIAN BASIN- THE DEATH OF TIGHT OIL HAS BEEN GREATLY Output increased in the Permian Basin by roughly a factor of 4 from 2015 to 2020 (from 1000 kbo/d to 4000 kbo/d). My scenario has output increasing from about 4000 kbo/d in 2023 to 8000 kb/d (a factor of 2 increase) in 2036, so 13 years for a doubling vsPEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan EIA Reserves. EIA provides estimates of proved reserves based on information from the E&Ps on form EIA-23 for crude only, and also shows the categories for changes (discoveries, production, revisions etc.). This data with updates for 2016 has been due since November but so far has been twice delayed. OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MAY 22, 2021 05/23/2021 at 10:34 am. After one minute of research on Google, here is “just one”. “In the long term, the Volkswagen Group has set itself a very ambitious goal: to recycle 97 percent of all raw materials. Today, it is 53 percent, and the pilot plant in Salzgitter will bring this figure up to 72 percent. CARRYING CAPACITY, OVERSHOOT AND SPECIES EXTINCTION Overshoot: When a population surpasses its carrying capacity it enters a condition known as overshoot. Because carrying capacity is defined as the maximum population that an environment can maintain indefinitely, overshoot must by definition be temporary. Populations always decline to (or below) the carrying capacity.NON-OPEC PRODUCTION
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to October 2020. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia and Norway is used to provide a short term outlook for future output and direction for aA UNITED KINGDOM
Recent Posts. Annual Reserve Revisions Part III: Larger Independents; Open Thread Non-Petroleum, June 5, 2021; US March Oil Production Rebounds Strongly From Winter Storm LowPEAK OIL BARREL
A guest post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to January 2021. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia, Norway and China is used to provide a short term outlook for future output andPEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan Crude and Condensate Reserves. BOEM remaining C&C reserve estimates for GoM increased by 649 mmbbls for 2016 (i.e. to 31st December 2016). This was 112% reserve replacement and followed a similar growth of 618 mmbbls (111% reserve replacement)for 2015.
PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan Brazil. Brazil had a fairly uneventful 2017 for C&C production. Overall production was up 4.5% at 957 mmbbls (114 kbpd average), but the December exit rate was down 4.5%, or 124kbpd, at 2612 kbpd.
PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to October 2020. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia and Norway is used to provide a short term outlook for future output and direction for aPEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan Introduction. In many ways the US side of the Gulf of Mexico shows signs of a production basin at the end of life. Most of the sort historic of charts that would normally plotted – discoveries, drilling, active wells, active leases, leasing activity, natural gas production – show classic bell shapes, with current conditions on the tail; and yet oil productionRON PATTERSON
Ron Patterson 144 Comments. All OPEC data for this report is from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. All data is through October 2020 and is in thousand barrels per day. The combined production of all OPEC nations was up 322,000 barrels per day in October. However, that was after September production had been revised downward by 41,000 barrelsPEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by Islandboy. The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on August 24th, with data for June 2018. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and the year todate.
EPM201903TOTALVSSOLARTWHCHART Name *. Email *. Website. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.PEAK OIL BARREL
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for April 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is March 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). Figure 1.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan. The story here is of a gradual decline in the size and importance of most of these (once) large independents. Their combined reserves and production is not sizeable compared to the super majors and majors but their history may be indicative ofPEAK OIL BARREL
By Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to February 2020 for the 10 largest US oil producing states. DENMARK – PEAK OIL BARREL Recent Posts. Annual Reserve Revisions Part III: Larger Independents; Open Thread Non-Petroleum, June 5, 2021; US March Oil Production Rebounds Strongly From Winter Storm Low THE EIA’S OPTIMISTIC OUTLOOK Most of the data below is taken from from the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook.The data through February, 2019 is the EIA’s best estimate of past production and all data from March 2019 through December 2020 is the EIA’s best estimate of future production. US OIL OUTPUT CONTINUES ITS STEADY DECLINE Today’s June 1 update shows the continuous slow decline in oil output from US oil fields from November 2019 to March 2020. March output was 12,716 kb/d, down by 28 kb/d from February’s 12,744 kb/d. Also it should be noted that February’s output estimate from the EIA’s earlier May report, 12,833 kb/d, has been revised to 12,744kb/d, a
PERMIAN BASIN- THE DEATH OF TIGHT OIL HAS BEEN GREATLY Output increased in the Permian Basin by roughly a factor of 4 from 2015 to 2020 (from 1000 kbo/d to 4000 kbo/d). My scenario has output increasing from about 4000 kbo/d in 2023 to 8000 kb/d (a factor of 2 increase) in 2036, so 13 years for a doubling vsPAUL PUKITE
Paul Pukite 490 Comments. The climate change scientific consensus is summarized via the annual IPCC documents. In one of the IPCC sections, projections of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel usage are made in the context of several scenarios, which are referred to as Representation Concentration Pathways (RCP). Historically, the “business-as-usualRON PATTERSON
Ron Patterson 144 Comments. All OPEC data for this report is from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. All data is through October 2020 and is in thousand barrels per day. The combined production of all OPEC nations was up 322,000 barrels per day in October. However, that was after September production had been revised downward by 41,000 barrelsPEAK OIL BARREL
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for April 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is March 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). Figure 1.PEAK OIL BARREL
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to March 2021 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.NON-OPEC PRODUCTION
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to October 2020. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia and Norway is used to provide a short term outlook for future output and direction for aPEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan. The story here is of a gradual decline in the size and importance of most of these (once) large independents. Their combined reserves and production is not sizeable compared to the super majors and majors but their history may be indicative of THE EIA’S OPTIMISTIC OUTLOOK Most of the data below is taken from from the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook.The data through February, 2019 is the EIA’s best estimate of past production and all data from March 2019 through December 2020 is the EIA’s best estimate of future production. QATAR – PEAK OIL BARREL Name *. Email *. Website. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. US OIL OUTPUT CONTINUES ITS STEADY DECLINE Today’s June 1 update shows the continuous slow decline in oil output from US oil fields from November 2019 to March 2020. March output was 12,716 kb/d, down by 28 kb/d from February’s 12,744 kb/d. Also it should be noted that February’s output estimate from the EIA’s earlier May report, 12,833 kb/d, has been revised to 12,744kb/d, a
PERMIAN BASIN- THE DEATH OF TIGHT OIL HAS BEEN GREATLY Output increased in the Permian Basin by roughly a factor of 4 from 2015 to 2020 (from 1000 kbo/d to 4000 kbo/d). My scenario has output increasing from about 4000 kbo/d in 2023 to 8000 kb/d (a factor of 2 increase) in 2036, so 13 years for a doubling vsRON PATTERSON
Ron Patterson 144 Comments. All OPEC data for this report is from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. All data is through October 2020 and is in thousand barrels per day. The combined production of all OPEC nations was up 322,000 barrels per day in October. However, that was after September production had been revised downward by 41,000 barrelsPAUL PUKITE
Paul Pukite 490 Comments. The climate change scientific consensus is summarized via the annual IPCC documents. In one of the IPCC sections, projections of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel usage are made in the context of several scenarios, which are referred to as Representation Concentration Pathways (RCP). Historically, the “business-as-usualWORLD OIL RESERVES
A new independent estimate of world oil reserves has been released by Rystad Energy, showing that the US now holds more recoverable oil reserves than both Saudi Arabia and Russia. For US, more than 50% of remaining oil reserves is unconventional shale oil. Texas alone holds more than 60 billion barrels of shale oil according to this new data.PEAK OIL BARREL
By Ovi at peakoilbarrel. All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM.The charts below are updated to February 2020 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by George Kaplan. The story here is of a gradual decline in the size and importance of most of these (once) large independents. Their combined reserves and production is not sizeable compared to the super majors and majors but their history may be indicative ofPEAK OIL BARREL
A guest post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel. Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to January 2021. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia, Norway and China is used to provide a short term outlook for future output and THE CASE FOR PEAK OIL The Case For Peak Oil. All charts below were created with data from JODI, the EIA and OPEC MOMR. It is in thousand barrels per day and the last data point is September 2015. World crude oil production has taken off during the last two years due primarily to US shale oil production and higher output from OPEC.PEAK OIL BARREL
Data for the OPEC charts below are from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report.All OPEC data are through August 2018 and in thousand barrels per day.. OPEC 15 crude only production was up 278,000 barrels per day in August to 32,565,000 bpd. US OIL OUTPUT CONTINUES ITS STEADY DECLINE Today’s June 1 update shows the continuous slow decline in oil output from US oil fields from November 2019 to March 2020. March output was 12,716 kb/d, down by 28 kb/d from February’s 12,744 kb/d. Also it should be noted that February’s output estimate from the EIA’s earlier May report, 12,833 kb/d, has been revised to 12,744kb/d, a
WHY WE ARE AT PEAK OIL RIGHT NOW In this life nothing is certain. Therefore I am not declaring, absolutely, that we are at peak oil, only that it is a near certainty. But I am putting my reputation on the line in making the claim that the period, September 2014 through August 2015 will be the year ofPeak Oil.
PEAK OIL BARREL
All OPEC data is from the latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report and is in thousand barrels per day. All data is through July 2018. OPEC crude oil production was up 41,000 barrels per day in July but that was after June production was revised down by 43,000 bpd.PEAK OIL BARREL
A Guest Post by Islandboy. The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on January 24th, with data for November 2017. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and theyear 2017 to date.
PEAK OIL BARREL
THE REPORTED DEATH OF PEAK OIL HAS BEEN GREATLY EXAGGERATEDSkip to content
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US JANUARY PRODUCTION DROPS AGAIN by Ovi Posted on 04/03/2020 A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel Preparing this March post has been a surrealistic exercise. Here I am providing a January US production update when at a time, January, the world had no clue that it was going to be hit with a double Black Swan event in early March . There was a hint in January on the coming pandemic for those who were listening. However, there was no clue of the Shock and Awe attack that would be launched by SA after Putin and his Oily Oligarch friend Sechin made the wrong move in the world’s Oil Chess Game. Russia thought that they had SA in Check, instead Russia and the rest of world were End Played. Now, a way must be found out of this mess. Reports are circulating that Trump and Putin have been talking and that an OPEC + meeting will be convened shortly. Let’s hope adult’s come to the table. The silver lining, if there is one, is that the world will need lower oil prices to come out of the current economic slowdown. The question is, if an agreement can be brokered between US, Russia and OPEC, “What will be the right price for oil for both the producers and theeconomy?
The irony here is that Trump will be holding meetings with oil company executives shortly to see how the US can help. In the meantime the NOPEC (NO OIL PRODUCING AND EXPORTING CARTELS ACT) bill keeps circulating within Congress. Interesting how the world, US positions and thinking, can be flipped upside down over night. Continue reading → Posted in Bakken , Gulfof Mexico , Oil
Production , Texas
, US Oil Production
| Tagged
Bakken , Gulf Of Mexico OilProduction
, Peak
Oil , Texas Oil Production, US Oil
Production | 321
Comments
THE OIL SHOCK MODEL AND COMPARTMENTAL MODELS by Paul Pukite Postedon 04/02/2020
_THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC AND THE GLOBAL OIL ECONOMY _Chapter 5
of
our book Mathematical Geoenergy describes a model of the production of oil based on discoveries followed by a sequence of lags relating to decisions made and physical constraints governing the flow of that oil. As it turns out, this so-named Oil Shock Model is mathematically similar to the _COMPARTMENTAL MODELS_ used to model contagion growth in epidemiology, pharmaceutical/drug deliver systems, and other applications as demonstrated in Appendix Eof
the book.
One aspect of the 2020 pandemic is that everyone with any math acumen is becoming aware of contagion models such as the SIR compartmentalmodel
,
where S I R stands for Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered individuals. The Infectious part of the time progression within a population resembles a bell curve that peaks at a particular point indicating maximum contagiousness. The hope is that this either peaks quickly or that it doesn’t peak at too high a level. Continue reading → Posted in Oil Production, Shock model
| Tagged
compartmental model
, contagion
, oil shock model
, pandemic
| 283 Comments
OPEC FEBRUARY PRODUCTION DATAby Ron Patterson
Posted on
03/27/2020
All OPEC data below is from the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. It is thousand barrels per day and is through February 2020. The OPEC data no longer includes Ecuador. OPEC 13 was down 546,000 barrels per day in February. The only major decliners were Libya and Saudi Arabia. Continue reading → Posted in Uncategorized| Tagged Algeria
, Angola
, Iran
, Iraq
, Kuwait
, Libya
, Nigeria
, OPEC
, Russia
, Saudi Arabia
, UAE
, United Arab Emerates, Venezuela
| 238 Comments
OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MARCH 27, 2020by Ron Patterson
Posted on
03/27/2020
Comments not directly related to oil and natural gas production should be in this thread. Thank you. Posted in Uncategorized| 150 Comments
OPEN THREAD NON-PETROLEUM, MARCH 19, 2020 by Dennis Coyne Postedon 03/19/2020
Comments not directly related to oil and natural gas production should be in this thread. Thank you. Posted in Uncategorized| 261 Comments
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