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ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year. CONTACT US - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET registrator@konj.se. Opening hours. Switchboard Monday-Friday 8 a.m.—5 p.m. Registrar's office 9 a.m.—3.30 p.m. Search employee or field: Search. Search suggestion is presented under search box. SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4.WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on total WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. ENGLISH - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET English - Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet. Economic Forecasts. Economic Tendency Survey. Wage Formation in Sweden. The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed further in May from 113.5 to 119.3, the highest in its 25-year history. This strong situation is largely down to thehigh-flying
ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year. CONTACT US - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET registrator@konj.se. Opening hours. Switchboard Monday-Friday 8 a.m.—5 p.m. Registrar's office 9 a.m.—3.30 p.m. Search employee or field: Search. Search suggestion is presented under search box. SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4.WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on total WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. CONTACT US - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET registrator@konj.se. Opening hours. Switchboard Monday-Friday 8 a.m.—5 p.m. Registrar's office 9 a.m.—3.30 p.m. Search employee or field: Search. Search suggestion is presented under search box. SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment amongWORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on total SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT DECEMBER 2020 Swedish Economy Report December 2020. After the sharp downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the second quarter 2020, the Swedish economy recovered more strongly than expected in the third quarter as infections eased. However, the second wave of infections now engulfing Sweden and the rest of Europe has caused the recovery to stall in the FORECASTING AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Forecasting and economic analysis. NIER monitors the current development of the economy. Four times a year, it publishes its latest analysis and forecast in a series of reports entitled The Swedish Economy. In the report Swedish Economy, forecasts for one to twoOCCASIONAL STUDIES
4/10/2017 | Occasional Studies Fiscal Sustainability Report 2017 This report presents an assessment of the sustainability of Sweden’s public finances. It is based on the NIER’s December 2016 fiscal and economic projections and Statistics Sweden’s October 2016 populationforecast.
ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY INDICATORS The Economic Tendency Indicator and other indicators by Indicator and Period . March 2021. April 2021. May 2021. Manufacturing. 117.9. 120.7. 126.0. Building and civil engineering (41+42) UNUSUALLY STRONG UPSURGE IN APRIL Unusually strong upsurge in April. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed no fewer than 7.6 points to 113.4 in April. All of the sector indicators contributed to the increase, with the retail indicator leaping 18 points. The confidence indicator for the manufacturing industry gained 3.3 points and continues to show a very strongsituation.
CONFIDENCE PROPPED UP BY STRONG MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY Confidence propped up by strong manufacturing industry. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed from 103.8 in February to 105.3 in March and thus continues to show stronger sentiment than normal in the economy. It is, however, exclusively strong signals from manufacturing that are keeping the indicator above the historical average.SPECIAL ANALYSES
2013. 2013. December. Higher Risk Weight Floor for Mortgages. House Prices and Home-building –an International Perspective. The Budget Bill for 2014. August. Labour Market Participation among Older People. The Riksbank has Systematically Overestimated Inflation. ENGLISH - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET English - Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet. Economic Forecasts. Economic Tendency Survey. Wage Formation in Sweden. The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed further in May from 113.5 to 119.3, the highest in its 25-year history. This strong situation is largely down to thehigh-flying
ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year.WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on totalOCCASIONAL STUDIES
Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001. The purpose of this paper is to present calculations of non-marketed values of changes in Swedish natural capital assets. The value of changes in natural capital, or wealth change, is then estimated as net values of current and future production of non-marketed ecosystemservices.
SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4. ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. ENGLISH - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET English - Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet. Economic Forecasts. Economic Tendency Survey. Wage Formation in Sweden. The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed further in May from 113.5 to 119.3, the highest in its 25-year history. This strong situation is largely down to thehigh-flying
ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year.WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on totalOCCASIONAL STUDIES
Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001. The purpose of this paper is to present calculations of non-marketed values of changes in Swedish natural capital assets. The value of changes in natural capital, or wealth change, is then estimated as net values of current and future production of non-marketed ecosystemservices.
SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4. ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among CONTACT US - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET registrator@konj.se. Opening hours. Switchboard Monday-Friday 8 a.m.—5 p.m. Registrar's office 9 a.m.—3.30 p.m. Search employee or field: Search. Search suggestion is presented under search box. SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT DECEMBER 2020 Swedish Economy Report December 2020. After the sharp downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the second quarter 2020, the Swedish economy recovered more strongly than expected in the third quarter as infections eased. However, the second wave of infections now engulfing Sweden and the rest of Europe has caused the recovery to stall in the FORECASTING AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Forecasting and economic analysis. NIER monitors the current development of the economy. Four times a year, it publishes its latest analysis and forecast in a series of reports entitled The Swedish Economy. In the report Swedish Economy, forecasts for one to two SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT SEPTEMBER 2020 Swedish Economy Report September 2020. As expected, Sweden’s GDP fell dramatically in the second quarter due to the COVID-19 pandemic. There are now clear signs of a strong rebound in the third quarter. The government’s measures are providing support for both firms andhouseholds.
OCCASIONAL STUDIES
4/10/2017 | Occasional Studies Fiscal Sustainability Report 2017 This report presents an assessment of the sustainability of Sweden’s public finances. It is based on the NIER’s December 2016 fiscal and economic projections and Statistics Sweden’s October 2016 populationforecast.
PANDEMIC TO WEIGH ON SWEDISH ECONOMY FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER Pandemic to weigh on Swedish economy for at least another year. The COVID-19 pandemic means that Sweden’s GDP will fall by around 10 per cent in the second quarter. The downturn will be much greater in the euro area, for example. One reason why the Swedish economy has not been hit quite as hard in the second quarter is that the Swedish ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY INDICATORS The Economic Tendency Indicator and other indicators by Indicator and Period . March 2021. April 2021. May 2021. Manufacturing. 117.9. 120.7. 126.0. Building and civil engineering (41+42) CONFIDENCE PROPPED UP BY STRONG MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY Confidence propped up by strong manufacturing industry. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed from 103.8 in February to 105.3 in March and thus continues to show stronger sentiment than normal in the economy. It is, however, exclusively strong signals from manufacturing that are keeping the indicator above the historical average.SPECIAL ANALYSES
2013. 2013. December. Higher Risk Weight Floor for Mortgages. House Prices and Home-building –an International Perspective. The Budget Bill for 2014. August. Labour Market Participation among Older People. The Riksbank has Systematically Overestimated Inflation. ENGLISH - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET English - Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet. Economic Forecasts. Economic Tendency Survey. Wage Formation in Sweden. The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed further in May from 113.5 to 119.3, the highest in its 25-year history. This strong situation is largely down to thehigh-flying
ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year.WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on totalOCCASIONAL STUDIES
Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001. The purpose of this paper is to present calculations of non-marketed values of changes in Swedish natural capital assets. The value of changes in natural capital, or wealth change, is then estimated as net values of current and future production of non-marketed ecosystemservices.
SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4. ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. ENGLISH - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET English - Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet. Economic Forecasts. Economic Tendency Survey. Wage Formation in Sweden. The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed further in May from 113.5 to 119.3, the highest in its 25-year history. This strong situation is largely down to thehigh-flying
ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year.WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on totalOCCASIONAL STUDIES
Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001. The purpose of this paper is to present calculations of non-marketed values of changes in Swedish natural capital assets. The value of changes in natural capital, or wealth change, is then estimated as net values of current and future production of non-marketed ecosystemservices.
SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4. ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment among CONTACT US - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET registrator@konj.se. Opening hours. Switchboard Monday-Friday 8 a.m.—5 p.m. Registrar's office 9 a.m.—3.30 p.m. Search employee or field: Search. Search suggestion is presented under search box. SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT DECEMBER 2020 Swedish Economy Report December 2020. After the sharp downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the second quarter 2020, the Swedish economy recovered more strongly than expected in the third quarter as infections eased. However, the second wave of infections now engulfing Sweden and the rest of Europe has caused the recovery to stall in the FORECASTING AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Forecasting and economic analysis. NIER monitors the current development of the economy. Four times a year, it publishes its latest analysis and forecast in a series of reports entitled The Swedish Economy. In the report Swedish Economy, forecasts for one to two SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT SEPTEMBER 2020 Swedish Economy Report September 2020. As expected, Sweden’s GDP fell dramatically in the second quarter due to the COVID-19 pandemic. There are now clear signs of a strong rebound in the third quarter. The government’s measures are providing support for both firms andhouseholds.
OCCASIONAL STUDIES
4/10/2017 | Occasional Studies Fiscal Sustainability Report 2017 This report presents an assessment of the sustainability of Sweden’s public finances. It is based on the NIER’s December 2016 fiscal and economic projections and Statistics Sweden’s October 2016 populationforecast.
PANDEMIC TO WEIGH ON SWEDISH ECONOMY FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER Pandemic to weigh on Swedish economy for at least another year. The COVID-19 pandemic means that Sweden’s GDP will fall by around 10 per cent in the second quarter. The downturn will be much greater in the euro area, for example. One reason why the Swedish economy has not been hit quite as hard in the second quarter is that the Swedish ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY INDICATORS The Economic Tendency Indicator and other indicators by Indicator and Period . March 2021. April 2021. May 2021. Manufacturing. 117.9. 120.7. 126.0. Building and civil engineering (41+42) CONFIDENCE PROPPED UP BY STRONG MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY Confidence propped up by strong manufacturing industry. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed from 103.8 in February to 105.3 in March and thus continues to show stronger sentiment than normal in the economy. It is, however, exclusively strong signals from manufacturing that are keeping the indicator above the historical average.SPECIAL ANALYSES
2013. 2013. December. Higher Risk Weight Floor for Mortgages. House Prices and Home-building –an International Perspective. The Budget Bill for 2014. August. Labour Market Participation among Older People. The Riksbank has Systematically Overestimated Inflation. ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
DATA SETS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET Data in our forecast report The Swedish Economy contains forecasts for a range of macroeconomic variables, along with historic time series of actual data for the forecast variables. The Swedish Economy data set is produced in conjunction with our regular forecast reports. It is intended as a data appendix to the report, and not as a generalWORKING PAPERS
Working Papers. Wage Formation Report. Swedish Economy Report. Öppna/Stäng. Occasional Studies. Data Sets. Öppna/Stäng. Economic Tendency Survey Indicators. Forecast Data Published 2007–2015. SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year.OCCASIONAL STUDIES
Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001. The purpose of this paper is to present calculations of non-marketed values of changes in Swedish natural capital assets. The value of changes in natural capital, or wealth change, is then estimated as net values of current and future production of non-marketed ecosystemservices.
WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on total ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. NIER STATISTICAL DATABASE NIER Statistical database - Select table. To the Top. >> Economic Tendency Survey. Choose table. Choose variable. Show result. ABOUT NIER - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET About NIER. The National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) is a government agency operating under the Ministry of Finance. We perform analyses and forecasts of the Swedish and international economy as a basis for economic policy in Sweden, and conduct related research. Our forecasts are not only an independent basis for economic policy, but SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT Swedish Economy Report. A second wave of infections and tighter restrictions caused the economic recovery in Sweden to stall in the fourth quarter last year. Extended restrictions and a third wave of infections have also brought subdued growth in the first quarter this year. The recovery will gradually get going again in the secondquarter
DATA SETS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET Data in our forecast report The Swedish Economy contains forecasts for a range of macroeconomic variables, along with historic time series of actual data for the forecast variables. The Swedish Economy data set is produced in conjunction with our regular forecast reports. It is intended as a data appendix to the report, and not as a generalWORKING PAPERS
Working Papers. Wage Formation Report. Swedish Economy Report. Öppna/Stäng. Occasional Studies. Data Sets. Öppna/Stäng. Economic Tendency Survey Indicators. Forecast Data Published 2007–2015. SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year.OCCASIONAL STUDIES
Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001. The purpose of this paper is to present calculations of non-marketed values of changes in Swedish natural capital assets. The value of changes in natural capital, or wealth change, is then estimated as net values of current and future production of non-marketed ecosystemservices.
WORKING PAPER
Working Paper no. 151 | 2018-06-20 EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism Effects of national measures From 2023 onwards, allowances held in the market stability reserve above the number of allowances auctioned the previous year will be cancelled. In this paper, we analyse what consequences additional national emission reductions in the EU ETS sector will have on total ECONOMIC TENDENCY SURVEY 2018-10-25 - October 2018. Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year. 2018-09-27 - September 2018. Strong rise in retail and service indicators. 2018-08-30 - August 2018. The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month. 2018-07-26 - July 2018. Manufacturing at peak capacity. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. NIER STATISTICAL DATABASE NIER Statistical database - Select table. To the Top. >> Economic Tendency Survey. Choose table. Choose variable. Show result. DATA SETS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET Data in our forecast report The Swedish Economy contains forecasts for a range of macroeconomic variables, along with historic time series of actual data for the forecast variables. The Swedish Economy data set is produced in conjunction with our regular forecast reports. It is intended as a data appendix to the report, and not as a general ENGLISH - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET English - Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet. Economic Forecasts. Economic Tendency Survey. Wage Formation in Sweden. The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high. The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed further in May from 113.5 to 119.3, the highest in its 25-year history. This strong situation is largely down to thehigh-flying
CONTACT US - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET registrator@konj.se. Opening hours. Switchboard Monday-Friday 8 a.m.—5 p.m. Registrar's office 9 a.m.—3.30 p.m. Search employee or field: Search. Search suggestion is presented under search box. SWEDISH ECONOMY REPORT The Swedish Economy Report is the English translation of the summary of the report Konjunkturläget. The report provides forecasts and analyses of the Swedish and international economy. The report is issued four times a year: in March, June, October, and November. A short update is also published in August each year. SURVEYS - KONJUNKTURINSTITUTET The Economic Tendency Survey is a report that summarises how firms and consumers view the economy. The report is published monthly and consists of three parts. Similar surveys are conducted in other EU countries. The Economic Tendency Indicator is based on monthly surveys of households and firms and consequently captures the sentiment amongOCCASIONAL STUDIES
4/10/2017 | Occasional Studies Fiscal Sustainability Report 2017 This report presents an assessment of the sustainability of Sweden’s public finances. It is based on the NIER’s December 2016 fiscal and economic projections and Statistics Sweden’s October 2016 populationforecast.
NOWCASTING SWEDISH GDP GROWTH Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth. In this paper we nowcast Swedish GDP growth using several types of popular short-term forecasting models. By Sebastian Ankargren and Unn Lindholm. Our results indicate that medium-sized MIDAS regressions and small-scale bridge equation models provided the most accurate nowcasts in 2010Q1-2019Q4. WAGE FORMATION REPORT Wage formation can boost employment. The Swedish economy is in a slowdown phase, and unemployment has risen sharply in recent months. Profitability in the business sector is currently close to the historical average. In manufacturing, profitability is likely to fall as export growth and business conditions deteriorate. NIER STATISTICAL DATABASE NIER Statistical database - Select table. To the Top. >> Economic Tendency Survey. Choose table. Choose variable. Show result. ECOSYSTEMS, SUSTAINABILITY AND GROWTH FOR SWEDEN DURING 2004-05-26. Specialstudie 4: Ecosystems, Sustainability and Growth for Sweden during 1991-2001 Hoppa till innehåll Hoppa till meny_Meny_
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