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JOHN QUIGGIN
Unsurprisingly, the forced grounding of an airliner flying over Belarus, and the arrest of a critical journalist on board has provoked a burst of whataboutery from Russia and a reciprocal round of ‘false equivalence’ from the West.. The parallel case is that of the forced landing of the Bolivian presidential plane, with President Evo Morales on board, on the basis of the false suspicion ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS I’ve got quite a few events coming up in the next ten days. I’ll be in Adelaide for the Writers Week (program here), appearing at the Pioneer Women’s Memorial Garden, King William Road on Wednesday 4 March at 2pm in conversation with Jane Goodall, on the theme the Common Good. I’ll be signing copies of Economics in Two Lessons.. I’ve fitted in two earlier events on Tuesday 3 March. CCS VS HAZELWOOD (UPDATED) CCS vs Hazelwood (updated) September 7, 2015 John Quiggin 33 Comments. It’s often hard to get an idea of the scale at which different technologies are operating. For example, there’s a lot of discussion about Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS or ‘clean coal’), though less than there used to be. To get an idea of current and near THE TRAGEDY OF GALLIPOLI 100 years ago today, Australian and New Zealand forces landed at what is now Anzac Cove in the Gallipoli Peninsula, suffering heavy losses as they attempted to storm entrenched Turkish positions. Eight months later, having failed to dislodge the Turks, despite the loss of more than 10 000 killed and 20 000 wounded the Anzacs THERE’S A LOT OF RUIN IN A COUNTRY There’s a lot of ruin in a country. So said Adam Smith a couple of centuries ago, and he will, I hope, be proved right, in the US, and elsewhere in the world. Trump and the Republican majority in Congress and (imminently) in the Supreme Court will, in all probability, repeal Obamacare, restore and expand the Bush tax cuts for the rich, stopRAWLS AND BENTHAM
Rawls and Bentham. May 19, 2003 John Quiggin 4 Comments. Rereading what I said earlier about Rawls and utilitarianism, I think it needs a correction. Rawls really is proposing something different in its approach from classical utilitarianism. In particular, his approach focuses attention on the idea that we might want to pay attention tothings
COGNITIVE BIASES
Ross Gittins cites some interesting questions used by some of my QUT colleagues to assess cognitive biases before undertaking a study of investment behavior. Here you go: Try to answer before reading on or checking comments: Give me high and low estimates for the average weight of an adult male sperm whale (the largest of ISLAMISM AND TERRORISM Islamism and terrorism. September 7, 2004 John Quiggin 19 Comments. As Ken Parish observes, in my recent post about Chechnya, I discussed the issue of terrorism and its causes in generic terms and didn’t have anything specific to say about Islamism. So, I’ll start by observing that most of what has been written on this topic is, in my FAREWELL TO EARTH SANCTUARIES The remaining shareholders of Earth Sanctuaries Limited, among whom I'm one, have been advised that the company is to be wound up. ESL, which was floated with high hopes (a little too late to catch the dotcom boom, unfortunately) was Australia's most substantial attempt at private-sector biodiversity conservation. IS THERE A SOLUTION TO THE REFUGEE PROBLEM? Is there a solution to the refugee problem? The announcement by Kevin Rudd and PNG PM O’Neill that asylum seekers arriving by boat would, from now on, be settled in PNG came as a shock to most of us. I’ve waited a while to respond, because I’m neither happy with the policy nor satisfied with the critical responses from the Left.JOHN QUIGGIN
Unsurprisingly, the forced grounding of an airliner flying over Belarus, and the arrest of a critical journalist on board has provoked a burst of whataboutery from Russia and a reciprocal round of ‘false equivalence’ from the West.. The parallel case is that of the forced landing of the Bolivian presidential plane, with President Evo Morales on board, on the basis of the false suspicion ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS I’ve got quite a few events coming up in the next ten days. I’ll be in Adelaide for the Writers Week (program here), appearing at the Pioneer Women’s Memorial Garden, King William Road on Wednesday 4 March at 2pm in conversation with Jane Goodall, on the theme the Common Good. I’ll be signing copies of Economics in Two Lessons.. I’ve fitted in two earlier events on Tuesday 3 March. CCS VS HAZELWOOD (UPDATED) CCS vs Hazelwood (updated) September 7, 2015 John Quiggin 33 Comments. It’s often hard to get an idea of the scale at which different technologies are operating. For example, there’s a lot of discussion about Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS or ‘clean coal’), though less than there used to be. To get an idea of current and near THE TRAGEDY OF GALLIPOLI 100 years ago today, Australian and New Zealand forces landed at what is now Anzac Cove in the Gallipoli Peninsula, suffering heavy losses as they attempted to storm entrenched Turkish positions. Eight months later, having failed to dislodge the Turks, despite the loss of more than 10 000 killed and 20 000 wounded the Anzacs THERE’S A LOT OF RUIN IN A COUNTRY There’s a lot of ruin in a country. So said Adam Smith a couple of centuries ago, and he will, I hope, be proved right, in the US, and elsewhere in the world. Trump and the Republican majority in Congress and (imminently) in the Supreme Court will, in all probability, repeal Obamacare, restore and expand the Bush tax cuts for the rich, stopRAWLS AND BENTHAM
Rawls and Bentham. May 19, 2003 John Quiggin 4 Comments. Rereading what I said earlier about Rawls and utilitarianism, I think it needs a correction. Rawls really is proposing something different in its approach from classical utilitarianism. In particular, his approach focuses attention on the idea that we might want to pay attention tothings
COGNITIVE BIASES
Ross Gittins cites some interesting questions used by some of my QUT colleagues to assess cognitive biases before undertaking a study of investment behavior. Here you go: Try to answer before reading on or checking comments: Give me high and low estimates for the average weight of an adult male sperm whale (the largest of ISLAMISM AND TERRORISM Islamism and terrorism. September 7, 2004 John Quiggin 19 Comments. As Ken Parish observes, in my recent post about Chechnya, I discussed the issue of terrorism and its causes in generic terms and didn’t have anything specific to say about Islamism. So, I’ll start by observing that most of what has been written on this topic is, in my FAREWELL TO EARTH SANCTUARIES The remaining shareholders of Earth Sanctuaries Limited, among whom I'm one, have been advised that the company is to be wound up. ESL, which was floated with high hopes (a little too late to catch the dotcom boom, unfortunately) was Australia's most substantial attempt at private-sector biodiversity conservation. IS THERE A SOLUTION TO THE REFUGEE PROBLEM? Is there a solution to the refugee problem? The announcement by Kevin Rudd and PNG PM O’Neill that asylum seekers arriving by boat would, from now on, be settled in PNG came as a shock to most of us. I’ve waited a while to respond, because I’m neither happy with the policy nor satisfied with the critical responses from the Left. NUCLEAR POWER IS A STALKING HORSE FOR GAS That’s the self-explanatory headline for my latest piece in Independent Australia NUCLEAR POWER IS A STALKING HORSE FOR GAS Thank you JQ. Please consider asking for all prior appointees to be published. Only fair to show real Origin. I emailed to no avail. Note: you and others disappeared from;WORLD EVENTS
John Quiggin 8 Comments. Reading about the recent military coup in Myanmar, I’ve seen the view that Biden’s criticism of the coup is undermined by the fact that the pretext for the coup, a supposedly stolen election, was exactly the same as that raised by Trump and the Republican Party in response to Biden’s 2020 election victory.JOHN QUIGGIN
I’m trying to get the MS of Economic Consequences of the Pandemic finished by May, while chasing a moving target. Over the fold, I return to a favorite topic of mine, the role of generational change. I’ve spent a lot of time pointing out the silliness of most talk about generations, but in the process I’ve learned quite a bit about the nuggets of insight that can be mined by thinking inENVIRONMENT
Posts about Environment written by John Quiggin. There’s not a lot new to be said about the leak of documents from the Heartland Institute, revealing that the Institute was channeling funds from far-right billionaires and corporations to a large number of self-described sceptics, notably including our own Bob Carter, who’s apparently on a monthly retainer, despite his prior claims of SLOW BURN – JOHN QUIGGIN Slow Burn. That’s the headline for my latest piece in Inside Story, with the summary. At the time of writing, at least fourteen people have been killed by this season’s bushfires. And with most of January and all of February still to come, the number is sure to rise. But these dramatic deaths are far outweighed by the hundreds, perhaps ISLAMISM AND TERRORISM Islamism and terrorism. September 7, 2004 John Quiggin 19 Comments. As Ken Parish observes, in my recent post about Chechnya, I discussed the issue of terrorism and its causes in generic terms and didn’t have anything specific to say about Islamism. So, I’ll start by observing that most of what has been written on this topic is, in myTHREE WORD SLOGANS
I have a piece up at the Drum, looking at how the three-word slogan approach of the Abbott government helps to explain their budget problems. Text is over the fold Assuming the current Parliament runs its full term, the Abbott government has one more budget to deliver before facing the voters. In assessing its options, AGAINST LOCKE, PART 3 Obama’s statement, “You didn’t build that,” certainly resonates. There are certain genres of writing, usually dynasty novels or sentimental histories of famous families, where the following sorts of statements are made. TWO BILLION EXAMPLES OF INNUMERACY Two billion examples of innumeracy. In the leadup to the recent British Royal wedding, it was repeatedly suggested that the event would be watched by 2 billion people worldwide, that is, about 30 per cent of the world’s population. It says something for the quality of the news media that none of those reporting this estimate offered asource
JOHN QUIGGIN
Unsurprisingly, the forced grounding of an airliner flying over Belarus, and the arrest of a critical journalist on board has provoked a burst of whataboutery from Russia and a reciprocal round of ‘false equivalence’ from the West.. The parallel case is that of the forced landing of the Bolivian presidential plane, with President Evo Morales on board, on the basis of the false suspicion ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS I’ve got quite a few events coming up in the next ten days. I’ll be in Adelaide for the Writers Week (program here), appearing at the Pioneer Women’s Memorial Garden, King William Road on Wednesday 4 March at 2pm in conversation with Jane Goodall, on the theme the Common Good. I’ll be signing copies of Economics in Two Lessons.. I’ve fitted in two earlier events on Tuesday 3 March. CCS VS HAZELWOOD (UPDATED) CCS vs Hazelwood (updated) September 7, 2015 John Quiggin 33 Comments. It’s often hard to get an idea of the scale at which different technologies are operating. For example, there’s a lot of discussion about Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS or ‘clean coal’), though less than there used to be. To get an idea of current and near THE TRAGEDY OF GALLIPOLI 100 years ago today, Australian and New Zealand forces landed at what is now Anzac Cove in the Gallipoli Peninsula, suffering heavy losses as they attempted to storm entrenched Turkish positions. Eight months later, having failed to dislodge the Turks, despite the loss of more than 10 000 killed and 20 000 wounded the Anzacs THERE’S A LOT OF RUIN IN A COUNTRY There’s a lot of ruin in a country. So said Adam Smith a couple of centuries ago, and he will, I hope, be proved right, in the US, and elsewhere in the world. Trump and the Republican majority in Congress and (imminently) in the Supreme Court will, in all probability, repeal Obamacare, restore and expand the Bush tax cuts for the rich, stopRAWLS AND BENTHAM
Rawls and Bentham. May 19, 2003 John Quiggin 4 Comments. Rereading what I said earlier about Rawls and utilitarianism, I think it needs a correction. Rawls really is proposing something different in its approach from classical utilitarianism. In particular, his approach focuses attention on the idea that we might want to pay attention tothings
COGNITIVE BIASES
Ross Gittins cites some interesting questions used by some of my QUT colleagues to assess cognitive biases before undertaking a study of investment behavior. Here you go: Try to answer before reading on or checking comments: Give me high and low estimates for the average weight of an adult male sperm whale (the largest of ISLAMISM AND TERRORISM Islamism and terrorism. September 7, 2004 John Quiggin 19 Comments. As Ken Parish observes, in my recent post about Chechnya, I discussed the issue of terrorism and its causes in generic terms and didn’t have anything specific to say about Islamism. So, I’ll start by observing that most of what has been written on this topic is, in my FAREWELL TO EARTH SANCTUARIES The remaining shareholders of Earth Sanctuaries Limited, among whom I'm one, have been advised that the company is to be wound up. ESL, which was floated with high hopes (a little too late to catch the dotcom boom, unfortunately) was Australia's most substantial attempt at private-sector biodiversity conservation. IS THERE A SOLUTION TO THE REFUGEE PROBLEM? Is there a solution to the refugee problem? The announcement by Kevin Rudd and PNG PM O’Neill that asylum seekers arriving by boat would, from now on, be settled in PNG came as a shock to most of us. I’ve waited a while to respond, because I’m neither happy with the policy nor satisfied with the critical responses from the Left.JOHN QUIGGIN
Unsurprisingly, the forced grounding of an airliner flying over Belarus, and the arrest of a critical journalist on board has provoked a burst of whataboutery from Russia and a reciprocal round of ‘false equivalence’ from the West.. The parallel case is that of the forced landing of the Bolivian presidential plane, with President Evo Morales on board, on the basis of the false suspicion ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS I’ve got quite a few events coming up in the next ten days. I’ll be in Adelaide for the Writers Week (program here), appearing at the Pioneer Women’s Memorial Garden, King William Road on Wednesday 4 March at 2pm in conversation with Jane Goodall, on the theme the Common Good. I’ll be signing copies of Economics in Two Lessons.. I’ve fitted in two earlier events on Tuesday 3 March. CCS VS HAZELWOOD (UPDATED) CCS vs Hazelwood (updated) September 7, 2015 John Quiggin 33 Comments. It’s often hard to get an idea of the scale at which different technologies are operating. For example, there’s a lot of discussion about Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS or ‘clean coal’), though less than there used to be. To get an idea of current and near THE TRAGEDY OF GALLIPOLI 100 years ago today, Australian and New Zealand forces landed at what is now Anzac Cove in the Gallipoli Peninsula, suffering heavy losses as they attempted to storm entrenched Turkish positions. Eight months later, having failed to dislodge the Turks, despite the loss of more than 10 000 killed and 20 000 wounded the Anzacs THERE’S A LOT OF RUIN IN A COUNTRY There’s a lot of ruin in a country. So said Adam Smith a couple of centuries ago, and he will, I hope, be proved right, in the US, and elsewhere in the world. Trump and the Republican majority in Congress and (imminently) in the Supreme Court will, in all probability, repeal Obamacare, restore and expand the Bush tax cuts for the rich, stopRAWLS AND BENTHAM
Rawls and Bentham. May 19, 2003 John Quiggin 4 Comments. Rereading what I said earlier about Rawls and utilitarianism, I think it needs a correction. Rawls really is proposing something different in its approach from classical utilitarianism. In particular, his approach focuses attention on the idea that we might want to pay attention tothings
COGNITIVE BIASES
Ross Gittins cites some interesting questions used by some of my QUT colleagues to assess cognitive biases before undertaking a study of investment behavior. Here you go: Try to answer before reading on or checking comments: Give me high and low estimates for the average weight of an adult male sperm whale (the largest of ISLAMISM AND TERRORISM Islamism and terrorism. September 7, 2004 John Quiggin 19 Comments. As Ken Parish observes, in my recent post about Chechnya, I discussed the issue of terrorism and its causes in generic terms and didn’t have anything specific to say about Islamism. So, I’ll start by observing that most of what has been written on this topic is, in my FAREWELL TO EARTH SANCTUARIES The remaining shareholders of Earth Sanctuaries Limited, among whom I'm one, have been advised that the company is to be wound up. ESL, which was floated with high hopes (a little too late to catch the dotcom boom, unfortunately) was Australia's most substantial attempt at private-sector biodiversity conservation. IS THERE A SOLUTION TO THE REFUGEE PROBLEM? Is there a solution to the refugee problem? The announcement by Kevin Rudd and PNG PM O’Neill that asylum seekers arriving by boat would, from now on, be settled in PNG came as a shock to most of us. I’ve waited a while to respond, because I’m neither happy with the policy nor satisfied with the critical responses from the Left. NUCLEAR POWER IS A STALKING HORSE FOR GAS That’s the self-explanatory headline for my latest piece in Independent Australia NUCLEAR POWER IS A STALKING HORSE FOR GAS Thank you JQ. Please consider asking for all prior appointees to be published. Only fair to show real Origin. I emailed to no avail. Note: you and others disappeared from;WORLD EVENTS
John Quiggin 8 Comments. Reading about the recent military coup in Myanmar, I’ve seen the view that Biden’s criticism of the coup is undermined by the fact that the pretext for the coup, a supposedly stolen election, was exactly the same as that raised by Trump and the Republican Party in response to Biden’s 2020 election victory.JOHN QUIGGIN
I’m trying to get the MS of Economic Consequences of the Pandemic finished by May, while chasing a moving target. Over the fold, I return to a favorite topic of mine, the role of generational change. I’ve spent a lot of time pointing out the silliness of most talk about generations, but in the process I’ve learned quite a bit about the nuggets of insight that can be mined by thinking inENVIRONMENT
Posts about Environment written by John Quiggin. There’s not a lot new to be said about the leak of documents from the Heartland Institute, revealing that the Institute was channeling funds from far-right billionaires and corporations to a large number of self-described sceptics, notably including our own Bob Carter, who’s apparently on a monthly retainer, despite his prior claims of SLOW BURN – JOHN QUIGGIN Slow Burn. That’s the headline for my latest piece in Inside Story, with the summary. At the time of writing, at least fourteen people have been killed by this season’s bushfires. And with most of January and all of February still to come, the number is sure to rise. But these dramatic deaths are far outweighed by the hundreds, perhaps ISLAMISM AND TERRORISM Islamism and terrorism. September 7, 2004 John Quiggin 19 Comments. As Ken Parish observes, in my recent post about Chechnya, I discussed the issue of terrorism and its causes in generic terms and didn’t have anything specific to say about Islamism. So, I’ll start by observing that most of what has been written on this topic is, in myTHREE WORD SLOGANS
I have a piece up at the Drum, looking at how the three-word slogan approach of the Abbott government helps to explain their budget problems. Text is over the fold Assuming the current Parliament runs its full term, the Abbott government has one more budget to deliver before facing the voters. In assessing its options, AGAINST LOCKE, PART 3 Obama’s statement, “You didn’t build that,” certainly resonates. There are certain genres of writing, usually dynasty novels or sentimental histories of famous families, where the following sorts of statements are made. TWO BILLION EXAMPLES OF INNUMERACY Two billion examples of innumeracy. In the leadup to the recent British Royal wedding, it was repeatedly suggested that the event would be watched by 2 billion people worldwide, that is, about 30 per cent of the world’s population. It says something for the quality of the news media that none of those reporting this estimate offered asource
JOHN QUIGGIN
Unsurprisingly, the forced grounding of an airliner flying over Belarus, and the arrest of a critical journalist on board has provoked a burst of whataboutery from Russia and a reciprocal round of ‘false equivalence’ from the West.. The parallel case is that of the forced landing of the Bolivian presidential plane, with President Evo Morales on board, on the basis of the false suspicionJOHN QUIGGIN
Sandpit. May 3, 2021 John Quiggin 21 Comments. A new sandpit for long side discussions, conspiracy theories, idees fixes and so on. To be clear, the sandpit is for regular commenters to pursue points that distract from regular discussion, including conspiracy-theoretic takes on the issues at hand.WORLD EVENTS
John Quiggin 8 Comments. Reading about the recent military coup in Myanmar, I’ve seen the view that Biden’s criticism of the coup is undermined by the fact that the pretext for the coup, a supposedly stolen election, was exactly the same as that raised by Trump and the Republican Party in response to Biden’s 2020 election victory. THE TRAGEDY OF GALLIPOLI 100 years ago today, Australian and New Zealand forces landed at what is now Anzac Cove in the Gallipoli Peninsula, suffering heavy losses as they attempted to storm entrenched Turkish positions. Eight months later, having failed to dislodge the Turks, despite the loss of more than 10 000 killed and 20 000 wounded the Anzacs CCS VS HAZELWOOD (UPDATED) CCS vs Hazelwood (updated) September 7, 2015 John Quiggin 33 Comments. It’s often hard to get an idea of the scale at which different technologies are operating. For example, there’s a lot of discussion about Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS or ‘clean coal’), though less than there used to be. To get an idea of current and near MAY 2003 – JOHN QUIGGIN Economists v philosophers Round V. May 29, 2003 John Quiggin 16 Comments. Matt Yglesias accepts my invitation to demonstrate the naivety of economic thinking about consequentialism. He proposes the following example. John is at the casino and he puts $100 on the number 12 spot at the roulette table. While the wheel is spinning,John dies suddenly.
RAWLS AND BENTHAM
Rawls and Bentham. May 19, 2003 John Quiggin 4 Comments. Rereading what I said earlier about Rawls and utilitarianism, I think it needs a correction. Rawls really is proposing something different in its approach from classical utilitarianism. In particular, his approach focuses attention on the idea that we might want to pay attention tothings
THERE’S A LOT OF RUIN IN A COUNTRY There’s a lot of ruin in a country. So said Adam Smith a couple of centuries ago, and he will, I hope, be proved right, in the US, and elsewhere in the world. Trump and the Republican majority in Congress and (imminently) in the Supreme Court will, in all probability, repeal Obamacare, restore and expand the Bush tax cuts for the rich, stop RIGHT-WING POSTMODERNISM Right-wing postmodernism. September 6, 2003 John Quiggin 7 Comments. Josh Marshall observes. the administration’s main obstacle has been the experts themselves–the economists who didn’t trust the budget projections, the generals who didn’t buy the troop estimates, intelligence analysts who questioned the existence of an activenuclear
FAREWELL TO EARTH SANCTUARIES The remaining shareholders of Earth Sanctuaries Limited, among whom I'm one, have been advised that the company is to be wound up. ESL, which was floated with high hopes (a little too late to catch the dotcom boom, unfortunately) was Australia's most substantial attempt at private-sector biodiversity conservation.JOHN QUIGGIN
Unsurprisingly, the forced grounding of an airliner flying over Belarus, and the arrest of a critical journalist on board has provoked a burst of whataboutery from Russia and a reciprocal round of ‘false equivalence’ from the West.. The parallel case is that of the forced landing of the Bolivian presidential plane, with President Evo Morales on board, on the basis of the false suspicionJOHN QUIGGIN
Sandpit. May 3, 2021 John Quiggin 21 Comments. A new sandpit for long side discussions, conspiracy theories, idees fixes and so on. To be clear, the sandpit is for regular commenters to pursue points that distract from regular discussion, including conspiracy-theoretic takes on the issues at hand.WORLD EVENTS
John Quiggin 8 Comments. Reading about the recent military coup in Myanmar, I’ve seen the view that Biden’s criticism of the coup is undermined by the fact that the pretext for the coup, a supposedly stolen election, was exactly the same as that raised by Trump and the Republican Party in response to Biden’s 2020 election victory. THE TRAGEDY OF GALLIPOLI 100 years ago today, Australian and New Zealand forces landed at what is now Anzac Cove in the Gallipoli Peninsula, suffering heavy losses as they attempted to storm entrenched Turkish positions. Eight months later, having failed to dislodge the Turks, despite the loss of more than 10 000 killed and 20 000 wounded the Anzacs CCS VS HAZELWOOD (UPDATED) CCS vs Hazelwood (updated) September 7, 2015 John Quiggin 33 Comments. It’s often hard to get an idea of the scale at which different technologies are operating. For example, there’s a lot of discussion about Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS or ‘clean coal’), though less than there used to be. To get an idea of current and near MAY 2003 – JOHN QUIGGIN Economists v philosophers Round V. May 29, 2003 John Quiggin 16 Comments. Matt Yglesias accepts my invitation to demonstrate the naivety of economic thinking about consequentialism. He proposes the following example. John is at the casino and he puts $100 on the number 12 spot at the roulette table. While the wheel is spinning,John dies suddenly.
RAWLS AND BENTHAM
Rawls and Bentham. May 19, 2003 John Quiggin 4 Comments. Rereading what I said earlier about Rawls and utilitarianism, I think it needs a correction. Rawls really is proposing something different in its approach from classical utilitarianism. In particular, his approach focuses attention on the idea that we might want to pay attention tothings
THERE’S A LOT OF RUIN IN A COUNTRY There’s a lot of ruin in a country. So said Adam Smith a couple of centuries ago, and he will, I hope, be proved right, in the US, and elsewhere in the world. Trump and the Republican majority in Congress and (imminently) in the Supreme Court will, in all probability, repeal Obamacare, restore and expand the Bush tax cuts for the rich, stop RIGHT-WING POSTMODERNISM Right-wing postmodernism. September 6, 2003 John Quiggin 7 Comments. Josh Marshall observes. the administration’s main obstacle has been the experts themselves–the economists who didn’t trust the budget projections, the generals who didn’t buy the troop estimates, intelligence analysts who questioned the existence of an activenuclear
FAREWELL TO EARTH SANCTUARIES The remaining shareholders of Earth Sanctuaries Limited, among whom I'm one, have been advised that the company is to be wound up. ESL, which was floated with high hopes (a little too late to catch the dotcom boom, unfortunately) was Australia's most substantial attempt at private-sector biodiversity conservation.WORLD EVENTS
Reading about the recent military coup in Myanmar, I’ve seen the view that Biden’s criticism of the coup is undermined by the fact that the pretext for the coup, a supposedly stolen election, was exactly the same as that raised by Trump and the Republican Party in response to Biden’s 2020 election victory. There’s a problem in this reasoning which is easy to see, but harder to resolve. NUCLEAR POWER IS A STALKING HORSE FOR GAS 1 day ago · That’s the self-explanatory headline for my latest piece in Independent Australia NUCLEAR POWER IS A STALKING HORSE FOR GAS 1 day ago · Thank you JQ. Please consider asking for all prior appointees to be published. Only fair to show real Origin. I emailed to no avail. Note: you and others disappeared from; SLOW BURN – JOHN QUIGGIN Slow Burn. That’s the headline for my latest piece in Inside Story, with the summary. At the time of writing, at least fourteen people have been killed by this season’s bushfires. And with most of January and all of February still to come, the number is sure to rise. But these dramatic deaths are far outweighed by the hundreds, perhaps ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS I’ve got quite a few events coming up in the next ten days. I’ll be in Adelaide for the Writers Week (program here), appearing at the Pioneer Women’s Memorial Garden, King William Road on Wednesday 4 March at 2pm in conversation with Jane Goodall, on the theme the Common Good. I’ll be signing copies of Economics in Two Lessons.. I’ve fitted in two earlier events on Tuesday 3 March.ENVIRONMENT
Despite Fukushima and the failure of the US “nuclear renaissance”, nuclear power still has plenty of fans in Australia. A question which opponents routinely ask is “where are the nuclear power plants goingto go?”.
DISCUSSION POLICY
Discussion policy – please read before commenting. 1. This is a forum for discussion. I publish it at my own expense and in my own time. It is not a public place. There is no automatic right to comment here. 2. The purpose of the comments section is to allow constructiveCOGNITIVE BIASES
Ross Gittins cites some interesting questions used by some of my QUT colleagues to assess cognitive biases before undertaking a study of investment behavior. Here you go: Try to answer before reading on or checking comments: Give me high and low estimates for the average weight of an adult male sperm whale (the largest of TWO BILLION EXAMPLES OF INNUMERACY Two billion examples of innumeracy. In the leadup to the recent British Royal wedding, it was repeatedly suggested that the event would be watched by 2 billion people worldwide, that is, about 30 per cent of the world’s population. It says something for the quality of the news media that none of those reporting this estimate offered asource
IS THERE A SOLUTION TO THE REFUGEE PROBLEM? Is there a solution to the refugee problem? The announcement by Kevin Rudd and PNG PM O’Neill that asylum seekers arriving by boat would, from now on, be settled in PNG came as a shock to most of us. I’ve waited a while to respond, because I’m neither happy with the policy nor satisfied with the critical responses from the Left.Skip to content
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JOHN QUIGGIN
COMMENTARY ON AUSTRALIAN AND WORLD EVENTS FROM A SOCIALIST AND DEMOCRATIC VIEWPOINT CHEAP AT TWICE THE PRICE __July 31, 2019August 1, 2019__John
Quiggin __5 Comments One of the vanished joys of academic life is the experience, after publishing an article, of getting a bundle of 25 or 50 reprints in the mail, to be distributed to friends and colleagues, or mailed out in response to requests from faraway places (if you live in Australia, everywhere is faraway), often coming on little postcards. Everything is much more efficient nowadays, and I just finished throwing away my remaining collection of reprints. But now, an electronic ghost of the reprint has come to visit. Earlier this year, I contributed an article to a special issue of _Globalizations_ on “The diffusion of public private partnerships: a world systems analysis”. This is a fair way outside my usual academic area of expertise, a fact which may be apparent to readers who know more about the topic than me, but I wanted to say something about Australia and New Zealand. I just got an email from the publisher offering 50 free e-prints . I don’t think my fellow economists will be much interested, and most would have library subscriptions anyway. So, I’m opening it up to my readers. As I understand it, the first 50 to download it get it for free. After that, anyone really interested can email me for acopy.
UPDATE If you want a copy just click on the link MONDAY MESSAGE BOARD__July 29, 2019
__John
Quiggin __46 Comments Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and _idees fixes_ to the sandpits, please. If you would like to receive my (hopefully) regular email news, please sign up using the followinglink
http://eepurl.com/dAv6sX You can also follow me on Twitter @JohnQuiggin, at my Facebook public pageand at my
Economics in Two Lessons page MESMERISED BY MESSMER__July 29, 2019
__John
Quiggin __19 Comments Faced with glaring evidence of delays and cost blowouts, advocates of nuclear power invariably fall back on the same argument: France did it in the 1970s, why can’t we? An obvious riposte is that France can’t do it any more, as shown by the Flamanville fiasco. A more reasonable answer, which I put forward some years ago, is that the 1970s program depended on characteristics of the French state at the time: centralised, technocratic and with complete control of the energy sector. Those characteristics can’t be replicated today – the state doesn’t have the same power to ignore public opinion or todirect investment.
In writing this, I wasn’t aware of the details of the French experience, which make the point even more clearly. The French nuclear expansion began with the announcement of the Messmer Plan,
by PM Pierre Messmer for France to go ‘all nuclear, all electric’. Messmer announced the plan in early 1974, and construction of the first three plants started in December of that year. There was no parliamentary debate, no opportunity for public discussion and of course nothing like an environmental impact statement. It was the absence of any kind of due process, rather than super-efficient construction that accounts for the speed with which the Plan took effect. The first plants took six years to build; delays and costs increased over time. Even so, the Plan was not delivered in full.The plan envisaged the construction of around 80 nuclear plants by 1985 and a total of 170 plants by 2000. Even so, the Plan was not delivered in full. The actual number was only 56, and the hoped for transition to an all-electric economy didn’t happen. ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS, BY CAPTAIN HADDOCK? __July 28, 2019July 28, 2019 __John Quiggin __8 Comments Last week, I did a couple of events in Melbourne for _Economics in Two Lessons_. One was at Readings in Hawthorn, where my old friend and colleague Al Watson kindly introduced me. The other was at the University of Melbourne, organized by the Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, of which I’ve been a member for 40 yearsnow.
Max Corden, Australia’s greatest living economist, was going to give the talk there, but was unfortunately taken ill. Another old friend and occasional collaborator, Nicholas Gruen stepped in and, among many other reminiscences, mentioned by (long ago now) resemblance to Captain Haddock, friend of the cartoon hero Tintin. You can read the full talk at Club Troppo or in the more elegant venue of The Mandarin.
MONDAY MESSAGE BOARD__July 22, 2019
__John
Quiggin __68 Comments Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and _idees fixes_ to the sandpits, please. If you would like to receive my (hopefully) regular email news, please sign up using the followinglink
http://eepurl.com/dAv6sX You can also follow me on Twitter @JohnQuiggin, at my Facebook public pageand at my
Economics in Two Lessons page THE R WORD, FIFTEEN YEARS ON __July 20, 2019July 20, 2019__John Quiggin
__58 Comments
Back in 2004, I wrote that > There is only one real instance of political correctness in > Australia today and that is that you are never, ever allowed to call > anyone a racist. It’s OK to say that Adolf Hitler was a racist, > and that apartheid was racist, but the idea that any actual > Australian could be a racist is utterly taboo. Of course, the same was true in the US. But after two and a half years of an openly racist Trump Presidency in the US, the taboo seems finally to be open to challenge. Opinion writers and individual Democratic politicians have been calling out Trump’s racism for some time, but news reports have stuck with lame euphemisms like “racially charged”, or saying that “critics have called itracist”
In the wake of the House resolution condemning Trump latest racist tweets, the ground may have shifted, at least a little. Quite a few news organizations have used the R-word, in their own voice, to describe Trump’s “go back to where you came from” tweets, and others have tiptoed towards the line. Most notably. CNN political reports are now referring to Trump’s “racist jabs” in matter-of-fact terms,
noting that Trump sees them as politically advantageous and discussing the implications for the 2020 campaign. (Hat tip: Daniel Quiggin). There’s still quite a few steps to go before the taboo is ended. Even moving from “Trump’s racist tweets” to “Trump’s racism” will take a fair bit of courage. And so far only CNN has used the word routinely. The NY Times hasn’t even got past “widely seen as racist.” . (For that matter, it’s still calling Trump’s lies “falsehoods” to avoid feeding ” the mistaken notion that we’re taking political sides.”
This isn’t just a matter of rhetoric. It’s difficult to do any kind of political analysis clearly if one of the main political tendencies can’t be named. Trump’s re-election hopes depend to a large extent on motivating racist Republicans to vote and on peeling off the remaining racists from the Democratic Party. Try to make this obvious point without using the R word and you end up with obfuscation or worse, such as the use of”working class” as code for racism.MOVERS AND STAYERS
__July 19, 2019
__John
Quiggin __40 Comments A lot of discussion of immigration is framed around the distinction between movers and stayers. Until recently, most of what I’ve seen has framed “stayers” as those who see their economic interests as being threatened by competition from immigrants. To protect themselves, they want to restrict immigration, even if the consequence is to restrict the opportunities for “movers” from their own country. The harm to these “movers-out” is just collateral damage But lately I’ve been seeing a different account, in which it’s the departure of the movers-out that is causing problems by reducing the supply of workers to provide services to, and pay taxes to support, the stayers (particularly, the old). In economic terms, the obvious solution would be to replace the movers-out with movers-in, but they are of the wrong religion, skin colour and so on, and are therefore rejected. That exacerbates visible economic decline, particularly in terms of the level of economic activity, even when income per person holds up or is sustained by transfer payments. This in turn produces support for Trumpism and its variants. This story comes up most clearly in relation to Eastern Europe (most notably Hungary) following accession to the EU, but I think it’s applicable to many rural areas in richer countries. The feelings of the stayers in this story are understandable. They liked things better as they were, and resent changes. But they are hard to defend in moral terms, since keeping things as they were requires massively constraining the rights of others to work, marry and live in the way they wish to. On this account, there’s also a lot of self-selection going on here. Staying, and demanding that others do so, is a conservative and authoritarian choice, so the stayers will tend to be those in a given population who fit this description. This comes back to the question of why rural voters support conservative parties, even when those parties serve the interests of the urban rich. I’ve seen (but can’t now find) a very old discussion of this point in relation to France, where it’s been relevant ever since 1789. In the US context, it’s being rediscovered right now.POSTS NAVIGATION
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