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HOW CAREFUL ARE AMERICANS IN THE AGE OF COVID-19? HOW WE ENGAGE IN OTHER ACTIVITIES SERVE AS PROXIES * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 28, 2020 * Post Category:__American Culture/ Pandemics
/ Risks
and Dangers
* Post Comments:__0 Comments "Feb. 29, 2020: 1st death reported in United States." I'll use that date as my start date. Today is Day 87 of COVID-19 here in the U.S., and it is bringing out the best and the worst of Americans. Behold who we are! Lots of careful people mixed in with others willing to take risks. On average, it appears that individual Americans are responding to COVID-19 with the same degree of care that we display when we A) drive our cars, B) take care of our bodies C) nurture the environment and D) fill our brains with TV shows. Why would we expect anything different?Continue Reading__
How Careful are Americans in the Age of Covid-19? How we Engage in Other Activities Serve as Proxies MASKS AND DISTANCE: THE LIMITS OF CHEAP POLITICAL VIRTUE SIGNALING * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 27, 2020 * Post Category:__Politics/ Psychology
Cognition
* Post Comments:__0 Comments Today on FB, I displayed this photo of Joe Biden and made thiscomment:
I'm all for wearing a mask when you need to be near other people, but really? A Twitter comment (see the comments here): "Virtue Signallingknows no distance."
The post drew considerable criticism that caused me to better explain my concern. I did that as an addendum to the original post, asfollows:
Biden's job is to either have Trump voters switch over to him or to convince them that they don't care enough that they simply won't vote for Trump (I knowseveral
Republicans of this latter type). I don't want this election to be a repeat of Michael Dukakis riding in the tank. I fear that this type of image is going to be repeatedly and effectively exploited by Republicans to make the argument that Biden is not a strong andcourageous leader.
The CDC has repeated and strongly warned that we maintain a distance of six feet from other people.CDC
further "advises"
that people wear homemade masks. I fear that this type of image of Biden sitting 15 feet apart AND wearing a mask is going to be repeatedly and effectively exploited by Republicans to make the argument that Biden is not a strong and courageous leader. There are many other images that will be used by Trump, including images where Biden and his wife are wearing masks where no other people are nearby. Those of us who have the strength and courage to unplug from the political matrix instantly realize that this exploit that will certainly be used by Trump _will_ be effective when compared to "fearless" images of Trump NOT wearing a mask. Who do you want as the leader of the United States? The man who worries about invisible germs that kill only 1% of people? Or a courageous man like Trump? That will be the argument and (based on the rhetoric of the clamor-to-reopen-crowd) this argument will siphon votes away fromBiden.
Biden will get the votes from his base, more or less, no matter what he does between now and November, despite his many flaws. Further, his base will forgive him the "sin" of not wearing a mask while sitting 15 feet from one other person outdoors. And, as one of the commenters on my FB page indicated, Biden took off his mask for the actual interview. Good. But this image will live on in isolation from the fact that he took off the mask to conduct the interview, as will thousands of similar images of Biden. Unfortunately, there are real consequences in the balance. Should Biden be 99% safe or 99.99999% safe? It's not a decision for me to make, but while prudent mask-wearing is absolutely a good thing, mask-wearing that looks weak and paranoid will hurt Biden's chances in November. It is my concern that the cheap version of virtue signaling suggested by this image will be quickly sniffed and identified as such by all voters who aren't already for Biden. Many of the people who are already strongly for Biden might will be oblivious to this serious problem. I'll add one more thing. We need to be sensitive to the difference between cheap virtue signaling and expensive virtue signaling. What looks impressive when done by people we believe to be on our team can look terrible when done by members of the other team. There a lot going on under the hood and it includes confirmation bias and displaying of "badges" of in-group membership. This difference is explained by Geoffrey Miller in this definitional section from his new book, _Virtue Signaling: Essays on Darwinian Politics and Free Speech_(2020):
We all virtue signal. I virtue signal; you virtue signal; we virtue signal. And those guys over there, in that political tribe we don’t like – they especially virtue signal. (Just as they believe that we do.) Let’s not pretend otherwise. We are humans, and humans love to show off our moral virtues, ethical principles, religious convictions, political attitudes, and lifestyle choices to other humans. We have virtue signaled ever since prehistoric big-game hunters shared meat with the hungry folks in their clan, or cared for kids who weren’ttheir own.
There’s virtue signaling, and then there’s virtue signaling. This book is about both kinds. On the one hand, there’s what economists call ‘cheap talk:’ signals that are cheap, quick, and easy to fake, and that aren’t accurate cues of underlying traits or values. When partisans on social media talk about political virtue signaling by the other side, they’re usually referring to this sort of cheap talk. Virtue signaling as cheap talk includes bumper stickers, yard signs, social media posts, and dating app profiles. The main pressure that keeps cheap talk honest is social: the costs of stigma and ostracism by people who don’t agree with your signal. Wearing a ‘Make America Great Again’ hat doesn’t cost much money, but it can cost you friendships. On the other hand, there’s virtue signaling that’s costly, long-term, and hard to fake, and that can serve as a very reliable indicator of underlying traits and values. This can include volunteering for months on political campaigns, making large, verifiable donations to causes, or giving up a lucrative medical practice to work for Doctors Without Borders in Haiti or New Guinea. The key to reliable virtue signals is that you simply couldn’t stand to produce them, over the long term, if you didn’t genuinely care about the cause. irtue signaling can … be the worst of human instincts. It drives most of partisan politics, especially on social media. It drives the demands to censor, fire, cancel, and ostracize people who express the wrong opinions. It drives moral panics about satanic ritual abuse, ‘rape culture,’ and ‘porn addiction.’ It drives white nationalists to run over protesters. It drives antifa to beat up journalists. … Some of this is cheap talk, but some of it is reliable signaling. What distinguishes good virtue signaling from bad virtue signaling isn’t just the reliability of the signal. It’s the actual real-world effects on sentient beings, societies, andcivilizations.
Continue Reading__
Masks and Distance: The Limits of Cheap Political Virtue Signaling LET’S APPLY THE DRUNK DRIVING ARGUMENT TO THIS PANDEMIC POOL PARTY * Post Author:__Renée Youree Kennison * Post published:__May 26, 2020 * Post Category:__Community/ Complacency
/ Health /
Pandemics
* Post Comments:__2 Comments Take a look at this crowded bar Memorial Day weekend at Lake of theOzarks.
I’m going to assume that most of the people in this picture are drinking. I’m also going to assume that some of the people in this picture will leave this party intoxicated yet believe they’re ok to drive. I’m going to assume every single person in this picture arrived home safely. What would your conclusion be if all the above were true? Would you conclude that because none of the intoxicated people in this crowd got into a car wreck afterward, that drunk driving is ok? Would you think that maybe we don’t need laws forbidding drunk driving? Or, would you conclude that the intoxicated drivers were damned lucky, because intoxicated driving clearly increases your chances of causing an accident and killing yourself and others? Here’s another possible outcome: One of the men driving home was pretty hammered. After getting onto the highway, he realized that he shouldn’t be driving. He kept losing his focus and had some trouble staying in his lane. When he arrived home, he breathed a sigh of relief. No harm, no foul. Unbeknownst to this man, a woman driving in the lane next to him on the highway was trying to get home from her shift at the hospital. She was a nurse tired from another long day. When his car drifted over into her lane, she was forced to swerve, causing her car to roll down an embankment. She is severely injured and may not survive. The man who is breathing a sigh of relief that he got home safely, he has no idea what his actions caused. He may never know. Now let’s look at this picture again, knowing this photo was taken during the pandemic. It’s entirely possible that everyone left this bar feeling good and that all of them continue living a healthy happy life. It’s quite possible, however, that two or three of these people at the bar were infected but had no symptoms. It’s also entirely possible that one of these asymptomatic people talked to three other women while waiting in line in the crowded ladies’ room. As they laugh about the goofy bartender, some infected droplets spray from her mouth and onto the others. After they go home, two of them get sick. Before one of them had symptoms, she visited her elderly mother a few days later. Her mother ended up on a ventilator and dieda week later.
I keep hearing, “everyone is going to die of something.” That’s 100% true. A lot of people die in car accidents, with or without intoxication involved. But the reason we enact laws for public safety is to reduce the risk of harming or killing other people. Wearing a mask in public during a pandemic is as practical and important as NOT drinking and driving, or taking the keys away from someone who drank too much. > Wearing a mask in public is like taking the car keys away from > someone who drank too much. There’s an even more compelling reason to social distance and wear a mask. The man who got home safely, may wake up the next morning and recognize how lucky he is. He may vow to never again drink and drive. Should that happen, he will never have or cause a wreck due tointoxication.
The woman who unknowingly passed the virus to the ladies in the restroom may see how quickly it’s spreading in her community and decide she’s now going to be more careful. She vows to keep a social distance, wear a mask in public, and do what she can to keep others safe. Even if she does that starting now, the people she infected last night can continue spreading the virus, exponentially. The two people she infected can spread it to four, and those four can spread it toeight and so on.
So why would we intervene to prevent death by drunk driving but not intervene to prevent death by social distancing and wearing masks inpublic?
https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/812864 In 2019, “only” about 10,000 people died as a result of drunk driving, but most of us feel compelled to strictly enforce the law to prevent those needless deaths. No one complains about the government violating their constitutional rights by enacting drunk driving laws. As I finish writing this article, ten times as many people, more than 100,000 people, have died as a result of COVID-19 in just few months, with many other people barely hanging on. It’s far more deadly thandrunk driving.
--
The above video is on Snapchat in the Lake of the Ozarks? Unreal.What are we doing?
pic.twitter.com/m0qsEQ4KLp — Max Baker (@maxbaker_15) May 24, 2020Continue Reading__
Let’s Apply the Drunk Driving Argument to This Pandemic Pool Party CONTEMPLATING THE COVID-19 POOL PARTY AT LAKE OF THE OZARKS * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 26, 2020 * Post Category:__American Culture/ Community
/ Good and Evil
* Post Comments:__6 Comments This image of the COVID-19 era pool party in Missouri's Lake of theOzarks
is deservedly viral.These are stunning and disturbing images for me. I'm struggling to get inside of the heads of these people. Are they extroverts suffering from living in isolation? Are they simply in denial of the danger? Are they innumerate, not appreciating the meaning of exponential? Are they succumbing to incessant pressures of their in-group. to conform. Are they doing expensive signaling to impress each other? Have they attempted any sort of moral calculus in their minds, or have they simply declared themselves to be mini-Fiefdoms, self-legislating that it's time to move on, the consequences be damned? I'm working hard to pull myself out of any Manichean matrix that might tempt me to see the world in terms of "good" people and "bad" people. I prefer to think of these people are ordinary flawed people, just like the rest of us, except that they are making a bad decision here.Continue Reading__
Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lake of the Ozarks COVID-19 PULLS BACK THE CURTAIN ON WHO WE ARE * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 26, 2020 * Post Category:__American Culture/ Quality of Life
* Post Comments:__2 Comments "Feb. 29, 2020: 1st death reported in United States." OK, I'll use that date as my start date. Today is Day 87 of COVID-19 here in the U.S., and it is bringing out the best and the worst of Americans. Behold who we are! On average, it appears that we are responding to COVID-19 with the same degree of care that we display when we A) drive our cars, B) take care of our bodies C) nurture the environment and D) fill our brains with TV shows. Why would we expect anything different?Continue Reading__
COVID-19 Pulls Back the Curtain on Who We Are CENTRAL PARK CONFRONTATION PROVOKES THOUGHTS ON ADEQUATE APOLOGIES * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 26, 2020 * Post Category:__Bigotry/
Communication
/ Culture
/ Quality of
Life
* Post Comments:__2 Comments Hmmm. How would I grade these two actors? I'd give Mr. Christian Cooper, dedicated birder, an A+. I'd give Ms. Amy Cooper (no relation), an entitled, leash-ordinance-violating, racist, hostile, COVID-endangering financial analyst, an F. It's not fun to see anyone fall so far and so hard, but I was relieved that Mr. Cooper kept his cool and kept the recording rolling to protect himself. The world now knows exactly what happened that day in Central Park. There are many good safety reasons people should keep their dogs on leashes. It's too bad that Mr. Cooper had to ask Ms. Cooper to obeythe law.
Reading this article is making me think of what makes for an adequate apology. When are mere words enough? It seems like we need some expensive signaling here, something much more than words.Continue Reading__
Central Park Confrontation Provokes Thoughts on Adequate Apologies OUR SPHERE-SHAPED PETRI DISH, COURTESY OF COVID-19 * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 25, 2020 * Post Category:__American Culture/ Bigotry
/ Health
/ Pandemics
/
Quality of Life
* Post Comments:__0 Comments I find myself repeatedly contemplating the potentially vast predictive power of Terror Management Theoryin light of
this cold blast of mortality salience related to COVID-19. This is the biggest flare-up of mortality salience since 9/11 and much of the resulting frenzied societal dysfunction was foreseeable, including the fact that so many modern-day tribes are so vigorously circling their wagons. COVID-19 is a such terrible thing to grapple with. Many of the people we care about are going to be hurt, physically and economically. We are particularly taunted by COVID's invisibility because, as a species, we rely so heavily on brain systems related to vision. That said, we human animals are now living in a huge sphere-shaped petri dish. It's difficult to imagine the huge number of dissertations and research papers that will result from this upheaval. My speculative hope is that as a result of this pandemic we will learn something critically important about how to get along with each other. Whatever we learn, we need to learn it both in our hearts and our minds. We so desperately need some sort of reboot down here on Planet Earth.Continue Reading__
Our Sphere-Shaped Petri Dish, Courtesy of COVID-19 JONATHAN HAIDT DESCRIBES TODAY’S CONSERVATIVES AND LIBERALS * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 25, 2020 * Post Category:__American Culture/ Bigotry
/
Community
/ Culture /
Human animals
/
Ingroup/Outgroup
/ Politics /
Psychology Cognition/
Quality of Life
/ Religion /
Science
* Post Comments:__0 Comments I've closely followed the writings of Jonathan Haidt. His conclusions are closely tied to scientific findings. He crosscuts the current American political divide. He is hopeful that we will find our way asa country.
In this recent article at The Atlantic, "Jonathan Haidt Is Trying to Heal America’s Divisions: The psychologist shares his thoughts on the pandemic, polarization, and politics,"Haidt
explains what has gone wrong with many of those who consider themselves to be liberals and conservatives. What they have in common is authoritarianism populism: > Haidt laments the state of contemporary American politics, believing > that on both the right and the left we’re seeing populism that > responds to real problems but in illiberal ways. “On the right,” > he said, “the populism there is really explicitly xenophobic and > often explicitly racist … I think we see strands of populism on > the right that are authoritarian, that I would say are incompatible > with a tolerant, pluralistic, open democracy.”>
> Looking in the other direction, Haidt says, “we’ve messed up the > word liberal and we’ve used it to just mean ‘left.’ I’ve > always thought of myself as a liberal, in the John Stuart Mill > sense. I believe in a society that is structured to give individuals > the maximum freedom to construct lives that they want to live. We > use a minimum of constraint, we value openness, creativity, > individual rights. We try hard to maximize religious liberty, > economic liberty, liberty of conscience, freedom of speech. That’s > my ideal of a society, and that’s why I call myself a liberal.”>
> But on the left, Haidt said, “there’s been a movement that has > made something else sacred, that has not focused on liberty, but > that is focused instead on oppression and victimhood and > victimization. And once you get into a framework of seeing your > fellow citizens as good versus evil based on their group, it’s > kind of a mirror image of the authoritarian populism on the right. > Any movement that is assigning moral value to people just by looking > at them is a movement I want no part of.”>
> Haidt went on: “I think this is a very important point for us to > all keep in mind, that left and right in this country are not > necessarily liberal and conservative anymore. On the left, it’s > really clear that there are elements that many of us consider to be > very illiberal; and on the right, it’s hard to see how Trump and > many of his supporters are conservatives who have any link > whatsoever to Edmund Burke. It’s very hard for me to see that. You > know, I would love to live in a country with true liberals and true > conservatives that engage with each other. That, I think, is a very > productive disagreement. But it’s the illiberalism on each side > that is making our politics so ugly, I believe.” The key quote from the passage above: "Any movement that is assigning moral value to people just by looking at them is a movement I want no part of.” This is a modern version of MLK's classic advice that is scorned by many modern day "liberals": "I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character. Why has this beautiful sentiment become so difficult today?Continue Reading__
Jonathan Haidt Describes Today’s Conservatives and Liberals PRINT AND LAMINATE THIS CARD FOR YOUR FRIENDS WHO INSIST THAT COVID-19 IS “LIKE THE FLU.” * Post Author:__Erich Vieth * Post published:__May 25, 2020 * Post Category:__Health/ Pandemics
* Post Comments:__0 Comments Are you getting _explainer fatigue_ these days? Those people who insist that COVID-19 is "like the flu" seem to be everywhere these days. And now, as many states are "opening up," they can be expected to become ever more vocal and insistent. As a public service, I am offering this image for printing and laminating. Instructions for Use: Pull this card out and hold it at a reading distance from those who insist that COVID-19 is merely like "the flu."Continue Reading__
Print and Laminate This Card for Your Friends Who Insist that COVID-19 is “Like the Flu.”* 1
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There
is no cure for STUPID. * TIMOTHY Eves HOGAN on Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lakeof the Ozarks
As
of 05/27/2020, worldwide COVID-19 cases are some 5,495,052; with deaths of 346,230. As of 05/27/2… * Erich Vieth on More on the Dunning-Kruger cognitive bias“'The
fool doth think he is wise, but the wise man knows himself to be a fool,' wrote Shakespeare in… * Erich Vieth on Let’s Apply the Drunk Driving Argument to This Pandemic Pool PartyRenée:
This willingness to crowd together in the pool during the pandemic seems to illustrate the po… * Erich Vieth on Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lake of the OzarksThanks,
Andy. That was disturbing. Those links confirm that there are many types of people who live… * Andrew Wahl on Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lake of theOzarks
Erich,
you can only get so much (and that is very little) from the analysis of a static image or pho… * Erich V Vieth on Central Park Confrontation Provokes Thoughts onAdequate Apologies
This
is the man who was threatened by the woman who refused to leash her dog. You'll need to look ha… * Anonymous on Central Park Confrontation Provokes Thoughts onAdequate Apologies
Karma
is a BITCH!!!
* Anonymous on COVID-19 Pulls Back the Curtain on Who We AreWe
are truly losing the war on morality. Society has shown time and time again that we are collectiv… * Anonymous on Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lake of theOzarks
My
REAL fear is that this mentality is shared by a far larger percentage of people than I imagined. * Erich Vieth on Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lake of the OzarksI'm
thinking of William James theory of the emotions. "I feel afraid BECAUSE I RUN." Does it work in… * Lindy on COVID-19 Pulls Back the Curtain on Who We AreAll
brains are created equal...but some are more equal (and thoughtful)than others...
* Lindy on Contemplating the COVID-19 Pool Party at Lake of theOzarks
One
more possibility: they are rebellious. Like a rebellious child who does the opposite of what the… * TIMOTHY Eves HOGAN on Why Trump Blames the Chinese for CreatingCoronavirus
Erich:
It's far more sinister than you think. Trump has a time proven three step process he engages… * TIMOTHY Eves HOGAN on The Political Left Cheers Law Enforcement Abuses in the Case of Michael FlynnI
do not know if my look at Flynn's real criminal conduct is tribal or not. I'll look at Greenwald's… Copyright - OceanWP Theme by Nick__Close Menu
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