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BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX Brexit and COVID-19 are a toxic mix. The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy to adjust to Brexit. Britain’s finance minister, Rishi Sunak, announced last week that his furlough scheme would continue, after vowing it would end on October 31st. THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge.DRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors. EU TRIES TO LOOSEN BREXIT DEADLOCK WITH COLOUR-CODED PLAN 44 minutes ago · Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the obvious solution was a Swiss-style deal for Northern Ireland “even on a temporary basis” to allow the UK government to diverge in the future for the sake of a trade deal with another country, such as the US. IS A EUROPEAN SECURITY COUNCIL A GOOD IDEA? Is a European Security Council a good idea? The EU is a trade and regulatory superpower, but it has consistently punched below its weight in foreign and security policy. Its sanctions on Russia for its intervention in Ukraine, and its work in negotiating the Iran nuclear deal stand out as rare successes. AN EU ARMY? FOUR REASONS IT WILL NOT HAPPEN Two: Unwillingness to deploy. The lack of a shared vision of how to use EU forces would be an enormous problem in a crisis. Member-states would be keen to protect their sovereignty, which means that a single government could block a deployment. Europeans have learned this the EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM “Behind the scenes the effect is clearly showing up in the data,” said John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, citing his own research and figures from the Office for National Statistics, the London School of Economics and the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX Brexit and COVID-19 are a toxic mix. The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy to adjust to Brexit. Britain’s finance minister, Rishi Sunak, announced last week that his furlough scheme would continue, after vowing it would end on October 31st. THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge.DRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors. EU TRIES TO LOOSEN BREXIT DEADLOCK WITH COLOUR-CODED PLAN 44 minutes ago · Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the obvious solution was a Swiss-style deal for Northern Ireland “even on a temporary basis” to allow the UK government to diverge in the future for the sake of a trade deal with another country, such as the US. IS A EUROPEAN SECURITY COUNCIL A GOOD IDEA? Is a European Security Council a good idea? The EU is a trade and regulatory superpower, but it has consistently punched below its weight in foreign and security policy. Its sanctions on Russia for its intervention in Ukraine, and its work in negotiating the Iran nuclear deal stand out as rare successes. AN EU ARMY? FOUR REASONS IT WILL NOT HAPPEN Two: Unwillingness to deploy. The lack of a shared vision of how to use EU forces would be an enormous problem in a crisis. Member-states would be keen to protect their sovereignty, which means that a single government could block a deployment. Europeans have learned this the EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
T20 WEBINAR ON 'AFTER COVID-19: A MOST WANTED RECOVERY T20 webinar on 'After COVID-19: A most wanted recovery'. 19 May 2021. Organised by Bruegel and ISPI in co-operation with Elcano Royal Institute and the CER. This event addressed the measures to foster a quick recovery after the pandemic, but one which also ensures a sustainable and more inclusive future. The event was held in theframework of
HOW GREECE CAN RECOVER FROM COVID The amount that Athens can expect to receive in grants over the 2021-28 period is around €19.5 billion (roughly 12 per cent of 2020 GDP, plus another €12.4 billion in cheap loans). Greece can expect a very large growth boost of about 2 per cent a year from the THE IMPACT OF BREXIT ON THE EU The impact of Brexit on the EU. Brexit will weaken those forces in the EU that favour greater integration. It will also make Germany even more preponderant. Meanwhile the British face a lengthy and difficult negotiation for a new relationship – probably along lines of the ‘Canadian model’. Last December Marine Le Pen said that if the UK CER PODCAST: JOE BIDEN'S BRIDGE-BUILDING EUROPEAN TOUR 44 minutes ago · This week's CER podcast looks ahead to Joe Biden's trip to Europe, where he will meet Boris Johnson and the Queen, before taking part in the G7, EU TRIES TO LOOSEN BREXIT DEADLOCK WITH COLOUR-CODED PLAN 44 minutes ago · Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the obvious solution was a Swiss-style deal for Northern Ireland “even on a temporary basis” to allow the UK government to diverge in the future for the sake of a trade deal with another country, such as the US. PRESIDENT BIDEN WENT TO EUROPE, AND ALL WE GOT WAS 20 hours ago · Biden is America’s most Atlanticist president since Bill Clinton. Europe and the US will not see eye-to-eye on everything, but they should not waste this chance to strengthen their partnership. THE G7 CORPORATE TAX DEAL: WHY THE EU SHOULD CURB ITS 1 day ago · The recent G7 deal will not bolster the European Commission’s broader efforts to fight aggressive tax practices. The Commission needs political 'UP YOUR GAME!' EU CRUMBLING AS MAJORITY OF EUROPEANS NO Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said France will use its EU presidency in the first half of next year ahead of the French presidential elections to "promote its ideas of Europe".RECENT EVENTS
With Sir John Sawers, former head of the Secret Intelligence Service, partner and chairman of Macro Advisory Partners IMPORT OF HORMONE-TREATED BEEF 'NOT HAPPENING' SAYS TRADE 44 minutes ago · "If the UK government is making hormone-treated beef a red line in negotiations with Australia, the US and other trade partners, this will provide some protection for British cattle farmers, who are not allowed to give their own animals hormones," said THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX Brexit and COVID-19 are a toxic mix. The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy to adjust to Brexit. Britain’s finance minister, Rishi Sunak, announced last week that his furlough scheme would continue, after vowing it would end on October 31st. THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists. 'DOPPELGÄNGER UK' SHOWS BRITAIN'S ECONOMY IS 2.3% SMALLER Britain voted to leave the European Union over two years ago and on 29 March this year, it will sever ties for good. While Brexit hasn’t technically happened, it has caused the economy to be 2.3% smaller than if Brits had voted to remain in the EU.ROSIE GIORGI
Rosie joined the CER in May 2019 as media co-ordinator and PA to the director, Charles Grant. She is the first port of call at the CER and also assists in the co-ordination of travel and diary management for researchers. Rosie also produces the CER podcast. She recently graduated from the University of Bristol with a BA in French and Spanish, and spent her year abroad working in THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Insight. John Kerr. 23 July 2014. Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. Opinion polls currently show a lead for the pro-Union side, but 15 or 20 per cent remain undecided. MARINE LE PEN AND THE RISE OF POPULISM Marine Le Pen and the rise of populism. Insight. Charles Grant. Twitter. 20 July 2011. Since becoming leader of France’s Front National in January, Marine Le Pen has started to shift her party away from the far right. She has not only dropped the overt racism and Islamophobia of her father but also adopted hard-left economicpolicies. “Left
THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX Brexit and COVID-19 are a toxic mix. The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy to adjust to Brexit. Britain’s finance minister, Rishi Sunak, announced last week that his furlough scheme would continue, after vowing it would end on October 31st. THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists. 'DOPPELGÄNGER UK' SHOWS BRITAIN'S ECONOMY IS 2.3% SMALLER Britain voted to leave the European Union over two years ago and on 29 March this year, it will sever ties for good. While Brexit hasn’t technically happened, it has caused the economy to be 2.3% smaller than if Brits had voted to remain in the EU.ROSIE GIORGI
Rosie joined the CER in May 2019 as media co-ordinator and PA to the director, Charles Grant. She is the first port of call at the CER and also assists in the co-ordination of travel and diary management for researchers. Rosie also produces the CER podcast. She recently graduated from the University of Bristol with a BA in French and Spanish, and spent her year abroad working in THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Insight. John Kerr. 23 July 2014. Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. Opinion polls currently show a lead for the pro-Union side, but 15 or 20 per cent remain undecided. MARINE LE PEN AND THE RISE OF POPULISM Marine Le Pen and the rise of populism. Insight. Charles Grant. Twitter. 20 July 2011. Since becoming leader of France’s Front National in January, Marine Le Pen has started to shift her party away from the far right. She has not only dropped the overt racism and Islamophobia of her father but also adopted hard-left economicpolicies. “Left
THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE G7 CORPORATE TAX DEAL: WHY THE EU SHOULD CURB ITS 13 hours ago · The recent G7 deal will not bolster the European Commission’s broader efforts to fight aggressive tax practices. The Commission needs politicalDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors. THE IMPACT OF BREXIT ON THE EU The impact of Brexit on the EU. Brexit will weaken those forces in the EU that favour greater integration. It will also make Germany even more preponderant. Meanwhile the British face a lengthy and difficult negotiation for a new relationship – probably along lines of the ‘Canadian model’. Last December Marine Le Pen said that if the UKANNUAL REPORT 2020
Deadly coronavirus, domineering China and divided America by Charles Grant A few weeks after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Tony Blair gaveone of the
A TALE OF BATTERIES, BREXIT AND EU STRATEGIC AUTONOMY A tale of batteries, Brexit and EU strategic autonomy. Recently leaked proposals suggest the EU wants to use the EU-UK trade deal to help on-shore an electric vehicle supply chain. But this heavy handed approach risks undermining its claim to be a world leader on climate change and green technologies. In an ideal world, the EU’s tradepolicy
TYPICAL! FRENCH OFFICIALS TO USE EU PRESIDENCY TO 'HELP French officials are set to use their EU presidency to help Emmanuel Macron get re-elected as the President of France, according to the director of the Centre for European Reform. Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said France will use its EU presidency in the first half of next year ahead of the French presidential elections to "promote its ideas of Europe".JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of TARIFFS CUT ON CHEESE, PORK AND POULTRY IN UK-NORWAY TRADE Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, described the UK-EEA deal as “necessary” and a “good thing” but said its success depended on the baseline of measurement. “If you are comparing it to normal free trade agreements, then it is certainly true that the deal has raised the bar in some areas, for example mutual recognition of professional THE UKRAINE MODEL FOR BREXIT: IS DISSOCIATION JUST LIKE 1: Andrew Duff raises the possibility of adding a customs union onto an association agreement. But customs union membership restricts members’ ability to independently negotiate trade deals. Therefore membership is very unpopular with the ‘Global Britain’ Brexiteers, who envisage a freshly unshackled UK striking its own trade agreementsall over the world.
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would be if the UK had voted to remain in the European Union, according to our latest estimate of the cost THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The first of a new CER series provides estimates for the effect of Brexit on UK trade – both before and after the end of the transitionperiod.
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy toadjust to Brexit.
THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Populists and extremists are on the rise across Europe. Even Germany is now seeing the rise of a eurosceptic party. The euro crisis is the reason for growing political risk in the eurozone. WHY THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD NOT LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION With the prospect of a British in-or-out referendum by 2017 and the eurosceptic UK Independence Party (UKIP) polling around 15%, the future membership of the UK in the European Union (EU) is in doubt. Exit supporters argue that Britain should be able to restrict immigration as it sees fit; spend its net contribution to the EU budget elsewhere; shift its economic focus to regions beyond EuropeROSIE GIORGI
Rosie joined the CER in May 2019 as media co-ordinator and PA to the director, Charles Grant. She is the first port of call at the CER and also assists in the co-ordination of travel and diary management for researchers. Rosie also produces the CER podcast. She recently graduated from the University of Bristol with a BA in French and Spanish, and spent her year abroad working in MARINE LE PEN AND THE RISE OF POPULISM Since becoming leader of France’s Front National in January, Marine Le Pen has started to shift her party away from the far right. She has not only dropped the overt racism and Islamophobia of her father but also adopted hard-left economic policies. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would be if the UK had voted to remain in the European Union, according to our latest estimate of the cost THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The first of a new CER series provides estimates for the effect of Brexit on UK trade – both before and after the end of the transitionperiod.
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy toadjust to Brexit.
THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Populists and extremists are on the rise across Europe. Even Germany is now seeing the rise of a eurosceptic party. The euro crisis is the reason for growing political risk in the eurozone. WHY THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD NOT LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION With the prospect of a British in-or-out referendum by 2017 and the eurosceptic UK Independence Party (UKIP) polling around 15%, the future membership of the UK in the European Union (EU) is in doubt. Exit supporters argue that Britain should be able to restrict immigration as it sees fit; spend its net contribution to the EU budget elsewhere; shift its economic focus to regions beyond EuropeROSIE GIORGI
Rosie joined the CER in May 2019 as media co-ordinator and PA to the director, Charles Grant. She is the first port of call at the CER and also assists in the co-ordination of travel and diary management for researchers. Rosie also produces the CER podcast. She recently graduated from the University of Bristol with a BA in French and Spanish, and spent her year abroad working in MARINE LE PEN AND THE RISE OF POPULISM Since becoming leader of France’s Front National in January, Marine Le Pen has started to shift her party away from the far right. She has not only dropped the overt racism and Islamophobia of her father but also adopted hard-left economic policies. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE G7 CORPORATE TAX DEAL: WHY THE EU SHOULD CURB ITS 9 hours ago · The recent G7 deal will not bolster the European Commission’s broader efforts to fight aggressive tax practices. The Commission needs politicalDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
Mario Draghi will be the next Italian prime minister. He is Italy’s best hope to steer the country through its worst crisis since World War II. But he faces daunting challenges, especially if the COVID pandemic does not wane quickly. THE IMPACT OF BREXIT ON THE EU Brexit will weaken those forces in the EU that favour greater integration. It will also make Germany even more preponderant. Meanwhile the British face a lengthy and difficult negotiation for a new relationship – probably along lines of the ‘Canadian model’.ANNUAL REPORT 2020
Deadly coronavirus, domineering China and divided America by Charles Grant A few weeks after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Tony Blair gaveone of the
THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. A TALE OF BATTERIES, BREXIT AND EU STRATEGIC AUTONOMY Recently leaked proposals suggest the EU wants to use the EU-UK trade deal to help on-shore an electric vehicle supply chain. But this heavy handed approach risks undermining its claim to be a world leader on climate change and green technologies.JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of TYPICAL! FRENCH OFFICIALS TO USE EU PRESIDENCY TO 'HELP French officials are set to use their EU presidency to help Emmanuel Macron get re-elected as the President of France, according to the director of the Centre for European Reform. Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said France will use its EU presidency in the first half of next year ahead of the French presidential elections to "promote its ideas of Europe". TARIFFS CUT ON CHEESE, PORK AND POULTRY IN UK-NORWAY TRADE Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, described the UK-EEA deal as “necessary” and a “good thing” but said its success depended on the baseline of measurement. “If you are comparing it to normal free trade agreements, then it is certainly true that the deal has raised the bar in some areas, for example mutual recognition of professional THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would be if the UK had voted to remain in the European Union, according to our latest estimate of the cost THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The first of a new CER series provides estimates for the effect of Brexit on UK trade – both before and after the end of the transitionperiod.
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy toadjust to Brexit.
THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Populists and extremists are on the rise across Europe. Even Germany is now seeing the rise of a eurosceptic party. The euro crisis is the reason for growing political risk in the eurozone. WHY THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD NOT LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION With the prospect of a British in-or-out referendum by 2017 and the eurosceptic UK Independence Party (UKIP) polling around 15%, the future membership of the UK in the European Union (EU) is in doubt. Exit supporters argue that Britain should be able to restrict immigration as it sees fit; spend its net contribution to the EU budget elsewhere; shift its economic focus to regions beyond EuropeROSIE GIORGI
Rosie joined the CER in May 2019 as media co-ordinator and PA to the director, Charles Grant. She is the first port of call at the CER and also assists in the co-ordination of travel and diary management for researchers. Rosie also produces the CER podcast. She recently graduated from the University of Bristol with a BA in French and Spanish, and spent her year abroad working in MARINE LE PEN AND THE RISE OF POPULISM Since becoming leader of France’s Front National in January, Marine Le Pen has started to shift her party away from the far right. She has not only dropped the overt racism and Islamophobia of her father but also adopted hard-left economic policies. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would be if the UK had voted to remain in the European Union, according to our latest estimate of the cost THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The first of a new CER series provides estimates for the effect of Brexit on UK trade – both before and after the end of the transitionperiod.
BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy toadjust to Brexit.
THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Populists and extremists are on the rise across Europe. Even Germany is now seeing the rise of a eurosceptic party. The euro crisis is the reason for growing political risk in the eurozone. WHY THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD NOT LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION With the prospect of a British in-or-out referendum by 2017 and the eurosceptic UK Independence Party (UKIP) polling around 15%, the future membership of the UK in the European Union (EU) is in doubt. Exit supporters argue that Britain should be able to restrict immigration as it sees fit; spend its net contribution to the EU budget elsewhere; shift its economic focus to regions beyond EuropeROSIE GIORGI
Rosie joined the CER in May 2019 as media co-ordinator and PA to the director, Charles Grant. She is the first port of call at the CER and also assists in the co-ordination of travel and diary management for researchers. Rosie also produces the CER podcast. She recently graduated from the University of Bristol with a BA in French and Spanish, and spent her year abroad working in MARINE LE PEN AND THE RISE OF POPULISM Since becoming leader of France’s Front National in January, Marine Le Pen has started to shift her party away from the far right. She has not only dropped the overt racism and Islamophobia of her father but also adopted hard-left economic policies. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE G7 CORPORATE TAX DEAL: WHY THE EU SHOULD CURB ITS 5 hours ago · The recent G7 deal will not bolster the European Commission’s broader efforts to fight aggressive tax practices. The Commission needs politicalDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
Mario Draghi will be the next Italian prime minister. He is Italy’s best hope to steer the country through its worst crisis since World War II. But he faces daunting challenges, especially if the COVID pandemic does not wane quickly. THE IMPACT OF BREXIT ON THE EU Brexit will weaken those forces in the EU that favour greater integration. It will also make Germany even more preponderant. Meanwhile the British face a lengthy and difficult negotiation for a new relationship – probably along lines of the ‘Canadian model’.ANNUAL REPORT 2020
Deadly coronavirus, domineering China and divided America by Charles Grant A few weeks after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Tony Blair gaveone of the
THE EU AND AN INDEPENDENT SCOTLAND Scots living in Scotland vote on September 18th on whether to end their 300-year union with England. If they win, the nationalists aim for actual independence, and full EU membership, in March 2016. A TALE OF BATTERIES, BREXIT AND EU STRATEGIC AUTONOMY Recently leaked proposals suggest the EU wants to use the EU-UK trade deal to help on-shore an electric vehicle supply chain. But this heavy handed approach risks undermining its claim to be a world leader on climate change and green technologies.JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of TYPICAL! FRENCH OFFICIALS TO USE EU PRESIDENCY TO 'HELP French officials are set to use their EU presidency to help Emmanuel Macron get re-elected as the President of France, according to the director of the Centre for European Reform. Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said France will use its EU presidency in the first half of next year ahead of the French presidential elections to "promote its ideas of Europe". TARIFFS CUT ON CHEESE, PORK AND POULTRY IN UK-NORWAY TRADE Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, described the UK-EEA deal as “necessary” and a “good thing” but said its success depended on the baseline of measurement. “If you are comparing it to normal free trade agreements, then it is certainly true that the deal has raised the bar in some areas, for example mutual recognition of professional CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. MIGRATION & SCHENGEN Migration & Schengen. The EU’s migration and security woes have boosted populism and nativism across the bloc. The COVID-19 outbreak has complicated things even further. Member-states have re-instated national borders, leaders refuse to take asylum seekers in and lack of co-ordination threatens the single market and hampers the EU’sDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors.JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
'DOPPELGÄNGER UK' SHOWS BRITAIN'S ECONOMY IS 2.3% SMALLER Britain voted to leave the European Union over two years ago and on 29 March this year, it will sever ties for good. While Brexit hasn’t technically happened, it has caused the economy to be 2.3% smaller than if Brits had voted to remain in the EU. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. MIGRATION & SCHENGEN Migration & Schengen. The EU’s migration and security woes have boosted populism and nativism across the bloc. The COVID-19 outbreak has complicated things even further. Member-states have re-instated national borders, leaders refuse to take asylum seekers in and lack of co-ordination threatens the single market and hampers the EU’sDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors.JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
'DOPPELGÄNGER UK' SHOWS BRITAIN'S ECONOMY IS 2.3% SMALLER Britain voted to leave the European Union over two years ago and on 29 March this year, it will sever ties for good. While Brexit hasn’t technically happened, it has caused the economy to be 2.3% smaller than if Brits had voted to remain in the EU. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justifyCORONAVIRUS
Coronavirus | Centre for European Reform. Why Europe should spend big like Biden. Christian Odendahl, John Springford. 29 March 2021. The scale of Biden’s spending plans means the US economy will recover much faster than Europe’s. Yet in many ways it is the European economy that is in greater need of stimulus. BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX Brexit and COVID-19 are a toxic mix. The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy to adjust to Brexit. Britain’s finance minister, Rishi Sunak, announced last week that his furlough scheme would continue, after vowing it would end on October 31st. THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. TYPICAL! FRENCH OFFICIALS TO USE EU PRESIDENCY TO 'HELP French officials are set to use their EU presidency to help Emmanuel Macron get re-elected as the President of France, according to the director of the Centre for European Reform. Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said France will use its EU presidency in the first half of next year ahead of the French presidential elections to "promote its ideas of Europe". EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
TARIFFS CUT ON CHEESE, PORK AND POULTRY IN UK-NORWAY TRADE 1 day ago · Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, described the UK-EEA deal as “necessary” and a “good thing” but said its success depended on the baseline of measurement. “If you are comparing it to normal free trade agreements, then it is certainly true that the deal has raised the bar in some areas, for example mutual recognition ofprofessional
IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists.RECENT EVENTS
With Charlie McCreevy, European commissioner for internal market andservices.
THE UKRAINE MODEL FOR BREXIT: IS DISSOCIATION JUST LIKE 1: Andrew Duff raises the possibility of adding a customs union onto an association agreement. But customs union membership restricts members’ ability to independently negotiate trade deals. Therefore membership is very unpopular with the ‘Global Britain’ Brexiteers, who envisage a freshly unshackled UK striking its own trade agreementsall over the world.
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. MIGRATION & SCHENGEN Migration & Schengen. The EU’s migration and security woes have boosted populism and nativism across the bloc. The COVID-19 outbreak has complicated things even further. Member-states have re-instated national borders, leaders refuse to take asylum seekers in and lack of co-ordination threatens the single market and hampers the EU’sDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors.JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
'DOPPELGÄNGER UK' SHOWS BRITAIN'S ECONOMY IS 2.3% SMALLER Britain voted to leave the European Union over two years ago and on 29 March this year, it will sever ties for good. While Brexit hasn’t technically happened, it has caused the economy to be 2.3% smaller than if Brits had voted to remain in the EU. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justify THE COST OF BREXIT, JANUARY 2021: THE END OF TRANSITION The cost of Brexit, January 2021: The end of transition edition. New analysis by the Centre for European Reform finds that leaving the EU’s single market and customs union led total UK goods trade to fall by 22 per cent, relative to a modelled Britain that remained within the single market and customs union. This figure will improvein future
THE COST OF BREXIT: FEBRUARY 2021 Last month, our cost of Brexit model showed that leaving the single market and customs union in January 2021 had reduced the UK’s total goods trade by 22 per cent. Using the data for February, which was released today, we estimate that goods trade is now 5 per cent, or 3.5 billion, lower. MIGRATION & SCHENGEN Migration & Schengen. The EU’s migration and security woes have boosted populism and nativism across the bloc. The COVID-19 outbreak has complicated things even further. Member-states have re-instated national borders, leaders refuse to take asylum seekers in and lack of co-ordination threatens the single market and hampers the EU’sDRAGHI'S CHALLENGE
The European Commission expects the spending to go hand-in-hand with reform. Draghi will find it just as challenging to enact long called-for reforms to strengthen Italy’s economy – such as reforming the civil service and the justice system – as did his reform-minded predecessors.JOHN SPRINGFORD
John Springford is deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. He acted as secretary to the CER’s commission on the economic consequences of leaving the EU, which published its final report in June 2014. Before joining the CER, he worked at the Social Market Foundation and CentreForum think-tanks. He studied at Oxford and Glasgow universities and at the London School of EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
'DOPPELGÄNGER UK' SHOWS BRITAIN'S ECONOMY IS 2.3% SMALLER Britain voted to leave the European Union over two years ago and on 29 March this year, it will sever ties for good. While Brexit hasn’t technically happened, it has caused the economy to be 2.3% smaller than if Brits had voted to remain in the EU. IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists. THE MEMBER-STATES AND THE EU: TAKING BACK CONTROL? and the Parliament, even at the cost of the EU’s . democratic legitimacy. As Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council,argued after
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN REFORM Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said that while rules relating to the standards of a final product — for example, on food safety — were "fairly well understood, the more tricky issue is rules around processing and production methods."He said that while EU leaders could have some room for maneuver, these kinds of restrictions are "much more difficult to justifyCORONAVIRUS
Coronavirus | Centre for European Reform. Why Europe should spend big like Biden. Christian Odendahl, John Springford. 29 March 2021. The scale of Biden’s spending plans means the US economy will recover much faster than Europe’s. Yet in many ways it is the European economy that is in greater need of stimulus. BREXIT AND COVID-19 ARE A TOXIC MIX Brexit and COVID-19 are a toxic mix. The second wave of COVID-19 is arriving just before the UK leaves the single market. The pandemic will make it harder for the economy to adjust to Brexit. Britain’s finance minister, Rishi Sunak, announced last week that his furlough scheme would continue, after vowing it would end on October 31st. THE EU'S CARBON BORDER ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM: HOW TO MAKE The EU’s proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) risks unfairly penalising the exports of developing countries. If the mechanism applied to the imports of all goods currently covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System, up to $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU could face an additional charge. TYPICAL! FRENCH OFFICIALS TO USE EU PRESIDENCY TO 'HELP French officials are set to use their EU presidency to help Emmanuel Macron get re-elected as the President of France, according to the director of the Centre for European Reform. Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said France will use its EU presidency in the first half of next year ahead of the French presidential elections to "promote its ideas of Europe". EUROPE WITHOUT THE UK: LIBERATED OR DIMINISHED? 1. Even without the UK, the consensus for liberalising the internal market in goods, services and labour will endure. The signs are that deepening of the single market will continue, with a focus on the digital market. Though integrating services markets would be a big prize, the opposition of national regulators and professional bodiesis
TARIFFS CUT ON CHEESE, PORK AND POULTRY IN UK-NORWAY TRADE 1 day ago · Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, described the UK-EEA deal as “necessary” and a “good thing” but said its success depended on the baseline of measurement. “If you are comparing it to normal free trade agreements, then it is certainly true that the deal has raised the bar in some areas, for example mutual recognition ofprofessional
IS THE EURO CRISIS RESPONSIBLE FOR POPULISM? Applying this definition, the rise in populism in Europe predates the euro crisis by quite a few years. Think of Jörg Haider in Austria, Pim Fortuyn in the Netherlands, the Kaczynski brothers in Poland or Jean-Marie Le Pen in France. Two trends have eroded people’s trust in public authority and thus helped the populists.RECENT EVENTS
With Charlie McCreevy, European commissioner for internal market andservices.
THE UKRAINE MODEL FOR BREXIT: IS DISSOCIATION JUST LIKE 1: Andrew Duff raises the possibility of adding a customs union onto an association agreement. But customs union membership restricts members’ ability to independently negotiate trade deals. Therefore membership is very unpopular with the ‘Global Britain’ Brexiteers, who envisage a freshly unshackled UK striking its own trade agreementsall over the world.
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CER PODCAST: A HAMILTON MOMENT? Christian Odendahl ,John Springford
22 May 2020
On 18th May, Merkel and Macron proposed a €500bn recovery fund for the EU. John Springford and Christian Odendahl discuss why it's needed, and whether reluctant countries will back it.*
THREE WAYS COVID-19 WILL CAUSE ECONOMIC DIVERGENCE IN EUROPE Christian Odendahl ,John Springford
21 May 2020
Europe's economies will diverge further as a result of COVID-19, as the economic impact will be larger in Southern Europe. Fiscal transfers would help to restart the EU's 'convergence machine'.*
CORONAVIRUS IS PUSHING THE EU IN NEW AND UNDESIRABLE DIRECTIONSCharles Grant
15 May 2020
COVID-19 is transforming the EU works in several ways, accelerating trends that were visible before the virus struck. These changes are good news for anti-EU populists.*
HOW TO IMPLEMENT THE NORTHERN IRELAND PROTOCOLSam Lowe
14 May 2020
The UK must face up to its responsibilities and work with the EU to ensure goods can move as freely as possible between Great Britain andNorthern Ireland.
*
PUTIN HITS A BAD PATCHIan Bond
07 May 2020
Putin may have thought 2020 was going to be an excellent year for him. Instead, he has to deal with the oil price crash and COVID-19.0
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PUBLICATIONS
BULLETIN ISSUE 132 - JUNE/JULY 2020 Sam Lowe , Christian Odendahl, John Springford
, Luigi Scazzieri
29 May 2020
* Securing Europe's medical supply chains against future shocks,
Sam Lowe
* The recovery fund faces a tricky passage,
Christian Odendahl, John Springford * Trump's COVID-19 response is deepening the transatlantic rift,
Luigi Scazzieri
THREE WAYS COVID-19 WILL CAUSE ECONOMIC DIVERGENCE IN EUROPE Christian Odendahl ,John Springford
21 May 2020
Europe's economies will diverge further as a result of COVID-19, as the economic impact will be larger in Southern Europe. Fiscal transfers would help to restart the EU's 'convergence machine'. BULLETIN ISSUE 131 - APRIL/MAY 2020 Sophia Besch , ChristianOdendahl , Luigi
Scazzieri , John
Springford
26 March 2020
* The two economic stages of coronavirus,
Christian Odendahl, John Springford * Turkey and the EU: Preserving transactional co-operation,
Luigi Scazzieri
* Can the EU's defence ambitions survive budget cuts?,
Sophia Besch
CAN EUROPE OVERCOME ITS PARALYSIS ON ISRAEL AND PALESTINE?Beth Oppenheim
26 February 2020
Despite Trump, the EU can still play a leading role in promoting a just resolution to the Israel-Palestine conflict. To influence, the Union will need to go beyond statements. CAN FRANCE AND GERMANY STEER EUROPE TO SUCCESS? ANNUAL REPORT 2019Charles Grant
06 February 2020
The CER's annual report features an essay on the state Franco-German friendship. It also describes some of the CER’s achievements in 2019, including the increasingly prominent role played by our Brusselsand Berlin offices.
BULLETIN ISSUE 130 - FEBRUARY/MARCH 2020 - BREXIT EDITION Charles Grant , Sam Lowe, Ian Bond
27 January 2020
* Who needs the CER?, Charles
Grant
* Priorities for 'Global Britain',
Sam Lowe
* UK foreign and security policy after Brexit,
Ian Bond
DEMOCRACY AND THE RULE OF LAW: FAILING PARTNERSHIP?Ian Bond , Agata
Gostyńska-Jakubowska20 January 2020
Lack of respect for the rule of law is not just a Central European problem. EU institutions must make defending the rule of law in all member-states a top priority. CONFERENCE REPORT: FIVE CHALLENGES FOR EUROPEJohn Springford ,
Christian Odendahl ,Sam Lowe
16 December 2019
A new CER report summarises its 2019 Ditchley Park conference, which brought together 50 leading economists to discuss 'Five challenges forEurope'.
CAN EUROPE LEARN TO PLAY POWER POLITICS?Zaki Laïdi
28 November 2019
The EU's liberal model of shared sovereignty is under threat. Europe cannot afford to remain a pure soft power. It has to reform and learn how to play power politics. LATEST INSIGHTS AND OPINION PIECES JUDY ASKS: HONG KONG CALLS. CAN EUROPE RESPOND?Ian Bond
28 May 2020
Carnegie Europe
What happens in Hong Kong with China’s new national security legislation will seriously test Europe’s commitment to democracy, international law, and human rights. THE EU RECOVERY FUND IS A HISTORIC STEP, ALMOSTJohn Springford
21 May 2020
Financial Times
Frugal states may block needed transfers to the south but there is away forward.
LET'S NOT PRETEND THE UK ISN'T AFTER A SPECIAL TRADE DEAL. IN FACT, IT'S GOOD THAT IT ISSam Lowe
20 May 2020
The Telegraph
Given the EU's most significant economic relationship is with the UK, a trade deal should be ambitious - but compromise is still needed. CORONAVIRUS IS PUSHING THE EU IN NEW AND UNDESIRABLE DIRECTIONSCharles Grant
15 May 2020
COVID-19 is transforming the EU works in several ways, accelerating trends that were visible before the virus struck. These changes are good news for anti-EU populists. DIE EZB SOLLTE AUF DAS URTEIL NICHT WEITER REAGIERENChristian Odendahl
14 May 2020
Capital.de
Das Urteil des Verfassungsgerichts über den Ankauf von Staatsanleihen durch die EZB wird hitzig diskutiert. Christian Odendahl meint: Die Karlsruher Richter sind zu weit gegangen und ihre ökonomischen Argumente sind dünn. Ein Selbstgespräch. HOW TO IMPLEMENT THE NORTHERN IRELAND PROTOCOLSam Lowe
14 May 2020
The UK must face up to its responsibilities and work with the EU to ensure goods can move as freely as possible between Great Britain andNorthern Ireland.
HOW CORONAVIRUS IS RESHAPING EUROPE IN DANGEROUS WAYSCharles Grant
14 May 2020
The Guardian
From green backlash to reimposition of border controls, pandemic is accelerating tensions that could unravel the EU. NO TRIUMPH FOR PUTIN ON VICTORY DAYIan Bond
11 May 2020
Encompass
A few weeks ago, Vladimir Putin was expecting Victory Day on May 9th to cap an excellent start to 2020. PUTIN HITS A BAD PATCHIan Bond
07 May 2020
Putin may have thought 2020 was going to be an excellent year for him. Instead, he has to deal with the oil price crash and COVID-19. IN THE PRESS - STILTON, WHISKY AND PORK PIES BECOME THE NEXT BREXITBATTLEGROUND
Sam Lowe
29 May 2020
The Telegraph
“I’m slightly at a loss as to why the UK thinks it can reopen the discussion on GIs, having already conceded to the EU’s demands as part of the Withdrawal Agreement,” said Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform. IN THE PRESS - GAME-CHANGING EU RECOVERY FUND MUST DELIVER CASH FASTTO SUCCEED
Christian Odendahl
29 May 2020
Bloomberg Quint
“What is the immediate fiscal and macroeconomic boost, that we get from this? It may be more modest than many believe,” said Christian Odendahl, the Berlin-based chief economist at the Centre for European Reform. “It’s important that national governments complement this investment-led strategy with more down-to-earth, plain-vanilla demand spending of their own.” IN THE PRESS - DEADLOCK LOOMS AT BREXIT TALKS NEXT WEEKCharles Grant
28 May 2020
The Economist
Mujtaba Rahman of the Eurasia Group, a consultancy, says it is even possible that the June summit may decide to abandon the negotiations, though Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, suggests the crunch is more likely to be in the autumn. IN THE PRESS - HAS THE EU JUST CROSSED ITS RUBICON TO UNITY?Christian Odendahl
28 May 2020
The New European
Christian Odendahl, the chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, confirms. However, German politicians are stressing that the half-a-trillion-euro plan is a one-off solution for a once-in-a-lifetime crisis, he says.“So, in a way you can say that Germany broke its own taboos – but only to a certain extent,” Odendahl told me. “This shows that Germany really is willing to put its money where its mouth is and provide solidarity for Europe in an crisis. Describing it as a 180-degree turnaround is not fair though. It does not change the basics.” IN THE PRESS - 'DEFINING MOMENT' AS EU EXECUTIVE PUSHES FOR €500BNIN GRANTS
28 May 2020
The Guardian
“Member-states hate because they basically lose power,” Philippe Lamberts, a Belgian Green MEP, told the Centre for European Reform think-tank on Wednesday. But he expressed hope EU finance ministers would change their attitudes. “I think that the pandemic and this recovery plan are gamechangers and if we agree to borrow together we will need to reimburse together … in a way the pandemic opened doors that many believed totally shut up until now.” IN THE PRESS - BREXIT FURY: BORIS AND VARADKAR SET TO CLASH OVER UK-IRELAND CUSTOMS INFRASTRUCTURESam Lowe
21 May 2020
The Express
Centre for European Reform research fellow Sam Lowe added: “The British request to have British qualifications recognised by default, subject to terms and conditions, goes far beyond the EU-Japan deal, or the CETA deal with Canada.“This is not necessarily impossible but it is not the kind of things the EU hands readily in its free tradeagreements.”
IN THE PRESS - UK: BREXIT TRADE DEAL DEMANDS 'GO BEYOND' OTHER EUAGREEMENTS
Sam Lowe
20 May 2020
City A.M
Centre for European Reform research fellow Sam Lowe added: “The British request to have British qualifications recognised by default, subject to terms and conditions, goes far beyond the EU-Japan deal, or the Ceta deal with Canada. “This is not necessarily impossible but it is not the kind of things the EU hands readily in its free trade agreements.” IN THE PRESS - TO BURN OR NOT TO BURN? WASTE AND BRIDGESCharles Grant
20 May 2020
Interfax
But interestingly, a few days ago, an article was released in London about how Covid-19 is transforming how the European Union works, by Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform. Despite the fact that the UK has left the EU, Grant remains one of the most informed and acute experts and he highlights the following as what he sees as undesirable trends for Europe: IN THE PRESS - BRITAIN’S VISION FOR EU TRADE DEAL PROMPTS CLAIMS OFCHERRY PICKING
Sam Lowe
19 May 2020
Financial Times
“The British request to have British qualifications recognised by default, subject to terms and conditions, goes far beyond the EU-Japan deal, or the Ceta deal with Canada,” said Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform.“This is not necessarily impossible but it is not the kind of things the EU hands readily in its free tradeagreements.”
IN THE PRESS - UK POST-BREXIT TRADE PLAN CUTS TARIFFS BUT HIGHLIGHTSEU RISKS
Sam Lowe
19 May 2020
Bloomberg
An advantage of the U.K.’s announcement is that it helps its ongoing trade negotiations with the EU, the U.S and Japan, because it makes clear what the default duties would be if no agreement is reached in these talks, according to Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.Britain’s plan also marks a walk-back from the temporary tariff schedule it proposed in the event of a no-deal Brexit last year, which would have seen 87% of U.K. imports made tariff-free. That proposal was criticized for giving away too much British leverage in future trade talks.0
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